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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Dalla Piccola, Apocrypha)
  Four More Years II- the Third Obama Administration
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Author Topic: Four More Years II- the Third Obama Administration  (Read 26548 times)
Oregon Blue Dog
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« Reply #150 on: June 16, 2018, 06:57:51 pm »

-_-
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #151 on: June 18, 2018, 12:35:29 pm »

May 25th, 2018

Baldwin, lawmakers holds high-profile meeting with Parkland survivors, report progress; conservatives condemn 'submission' and 'weakness' to teenagers



WASHINGTON, D.C. - A group of Parkland survivors, who lead the "Never Again" gun control movement, have arrived at Capitol Hill today for meetings with lawmakers, trying to lobby them to move towards a comprehensive, tough gun control law. The survivors met with Vice President Tammy Baldwin (D-WI), who's leading the Obama administration's efforts to draft and advance the gun control bill, and received some updates from her, along with a formal invintation to visit the White House and meet President Obama himself. They also met with lawmakers who take part of the gun control efforts including Senators Chuck Schumer (D-NY), Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), Cory Booker (D-NJ), Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), Susan Collins (R-ME), Joe Heck (R-NV) and Jason Kander (D-MO), Representatives Elijah Cummings (D-MD), Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), John Lewis (D-GA), Charlie Dent (R-PA), Elsie Stefanik (R-NY) and others as well as most of the Florida congressial delegation. According to Emma Gonzales, one of the student leaders, the meetings were "productive and encouraging" and there is "substantial progress", Cameron Kasky called Vice President Baldwin "very kind and helpful" and said that he was "deeply thankful for her and the President's invitation to the White House", and David Hogg said that it was "exciting and heart-warming" to meet "so many of my state's congressmen and women". But not everyone was happy- some conservatives criticized the Obama administration and lawmakers for the meetings. Senator Jim Inhofe called out Vice President Baldwin and President Obama for "weakness" before "an interest group of teenagers", and Senate candidate Rick Scott (R-FL) said the President was "submitting to children rather than governing", earning criticism in his own state. But making the most waves was Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), who lambasted the administration for "bowing and kowtowing before a bunch of teenagers who haven't experienced much", prompting outrage. The Vice President attacked Cruz in an interview, calling his remarks "disgusting and soulless", and saying that the Parkland survivors "experienced more than Senator Cruz ever will".

June 1st, 2018

Obama to hold talks with Kim Jong Un, Moon and Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Singapore



SEOUL - Following Kim Jong Un's historic meeting with South Korean leader Moon Jae-in, another major diplomatic breakthrough was announced yesterday by Secretary of State Joe Biden. According to Biden, the U.S. has reached an agreement with North Korean and Chinese officials on a summit in Singapore where President Obama and South Korean President Moon Jae-in will meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping and, historically, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. Originally planned as a summit only between the President and the North Korean leader, Obama and Biden decided to change course and make it a multi-day summit between the four major leaders in the conflict, because, as Biden said today, "only with all the sides having a seat around the table actual progress can be achieved". According to sources, Obama plans to not only present de-nuclearization of the Korean peninsula as a demand, but also a betterment of the human rights situation in North Korea, and hopes to achieve cooperation with the Chinese. Accompanying Obama to the meetings will be Secretary Biden and National Security Advisor James Stavridis.

June 6th, 2018

Eight states hold high profile primaries, Democrats face high-profile battle for retiring Feinstein's seat; DNC Chair Perez says party "cautiously optimistic" about results



SACRAMENTO - In what many are calling the "Super Tuesday" of the 2018 midterm primaries, contests for the nominations of the major parties were held in eight states. In California, the most watched state last night, Democrats can breath a sigh of relief- they avoided a lockout in most major congressial races, and their endangered incumbents who unseated Republican Representatives in 2016 received robust primary numbers. Several races to watch, where Democratic freshment will try to hold their seats, will be between U.S. Rep. Michael Eggman (CD-10) and fmr. U.S. Rep. Jeff Dunham whom he unseated in 2016, U.S. Rep. Bryan Caforio (CD-25) and fmr. State Sen. Tony Strickland, U.S. Rep. Doug Applegate (CD-49) and fmr. Assemblywoman Diane Harkey, U.S. Rep. Hans Keirstead (CD-48) and the controversial ousted fmr. U.S. Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, and others. In the state's gubernatorial race, Republicans managed to avoid a dangerous lockout as Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom will face Republican businessman John Cox in the runoff, in a race where Democrats are heavily favoured. However, the race receiving the most attention was the Senate race, where 84 years old incumbent Senator Dianne Feinstein announced her retirement following a meeting with President Obama where he asked her to retire so that new faces could emerge. Instead, Feinstein will likely be appointed Ambassador to Canada to replace the retiring Bruce Heyman. Feinstein's retirement invigourated the California political scene, and a slew of candidates entered the race to replace her, including Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti (D), former U.S. Rep. Loretta Sanchez (D), State Senate President Kevin de León (D), hedge fund manager and environmental activist Tom Steyer (D), TYT Host and progressive activist Cenk Uygur (D), former State Controller Steve Westly, former Fresno Mayor Ashley Swearengin (R), former U.S. Rep. Doug Ose (R) and conservative radio host Michael Savage (R). The end result was a disappointment to Republicans, and pitted two Democrats in the runoff- Garcetti and Steyer. It's considered a big relief for Democrats, who feared a doomsday scenario where the controversial Uygur advances to the runoff against one of the Republicans.

California Senate Election (Jungle Primary)- Results
Mayor Eric Garcetti- 19.3% ✓
Hedge Fund Manager Tom Steyer- 17.1% ✓
Fmr. Mayor Ashley Swearengin- 16.4%
State Sen. Kevin de León- 11.7%
Mr. Cenk Uygur- 10.5%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Doug Ose- 8.4%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Loretta Sanchez- 5.2%
Mr. Michael Savage- 4.8%
Fmr. State Controller Steve Westly- 2.6%
Others- 4.0%

California Senate Election (General)- Polling
Mayor Eric Garcetti- 37%
Hedge Fund Manager Tom Steyer- 35%
Undecided/Other- 28%

California Gubernatorial Election (Jungle Primary)- Results
Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom- 26.0% ✓
Businessman John Cox- 21.4% ✓
State Treasurer John Chiang- 20.9%
Fmr. Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa- 15.5%
State Assemblyman Travis Allen- 8.3%
Fmr. Superintendant Delaine Eastin- 3.2%
Transhumanist Zoltan Istvan- 1.1%
Others- 3.6%

California Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom- 62%
Businessman John Cox- 25%
Undecided/Other- 13%

But California wasn't the only state to hold its primaries last night. Seven other states with high profile races also held their contests, and in each of them there is at least one Senate or Governor's race at stake, making it an especially high-profile day. In Mississippi there was no surprise, as Democrats Howard Sherman and David Baria will go to a runoff to face Republican incumbent Senator Roger Wicker, in a race where he's heavily favoured. In Montana, endangered Democratic Senator Jon Tester will face Republican U.S. Rep. Ryan Zinke, who defeated a slew of more-conservative opponents such as Rob O'Neill, a former navy SEAL who claimed to have killed Bin Laden, Christian fundamentalist Chuck Baldwin and State Auditor Matt Rosendale. Senator Bob Menendez (D-NJ) won his party's nomination for Senate in New Jersey despite corruption allegations, but will face a tough challenge from moderate Republican State Senate Minority Leader Thomas Kean Jr., son of the former Governor of the same name, who defeated the socially conservative U.S. Rep. Chris Smith for the Republican nomination. This is considered a closely-watched race where the incumbent Democrat could lose a crucial seat for his party. And in New Mexico, another high-profile Senate race will pit Governor Susana Martinez (R) against incumbent Senator Martin Heinrich (D) and Public Lands Commissioner Aubrey Dunn, Jr. (L), forcing Democrats to spend money in a favourable state.

Montana Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
U.S. Rep. Ryan Zinke- 28.8% ✓
Former Navy SEAL Robert J. O'Neill- 23.5%
State Auditor Matt Rosendale- 19.5%
Baptist Pastor Chuck Baldwin- 17.1%
Fmr. District Judge Russell Fagg- 7.3%
State Senator Albert Olszewski- 3.8%

Montana Senate Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Ryan Zinke- 46%
Senator Jon Tester*- 44%
Undecided/Other- 10%

New Jersey Senate Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
Senator Bob Menendez*- 47.9% ✓
Fmr. State Assemblyman John Wisniewski- 38.7%
Activist Lisa McCormick- 13.4%

New Jersey Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
State Sen. Thomas Kean Jr.- 44.8% ✓
U.S. Rep. Chris Smith- 37.9%
Fmr. State Sen. Joe Kyrillos- 11.2%
Businessman Bob Hugin- 5.6%
Others- 0.5%

New Jersey Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Bob Menendez*- 47%
State Sen. Thomas Kean Jr.- 41%
Undecided/Other- 13%

New Mexico Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Governor Susana Martinez- 63.6% ✓
Businessman Mick Rich- 36.4%

New Mexico Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Martin Heinrich*- 45%
Governor Susana Martinez- 36%
Public Lands Commissioner Aubrey Dunn, Jr.- 10%
Undecided/Other- 9%

There were also some interesting gubernatorial primaries. In Alabama, incumbent Governor Kay Ivey (R) will face former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Sue Bell Cobb, a conservative Democrat. Meanwhile, in Iowa's gubernatorial race, following sexual harrassment allegations against Democratic frontrunner and State Senator Nate Boulton, Union Leader and nurse Cathy Glasson, supported by progressives, narrowly won the party's nomination to face Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds in the general election. New Mexico is also holding a gubernatorial race, where U.S. Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D), who ran unopposed for her party's nomination, will face U.S. Rep. Steve Pearce (R) and former Governor Gary Johnson (L) in a high-profile three-way battle in which Johnson, a two-time Presidential candidate, will try to make a political comeback and has the potential to win a governorship for the Libertarian Party. Finally, in South Dakota, U.S. Rep. Kristi Noem (R) defeated favourite Attorney General Marty Jackley (R) by a large margin following allegations that he treated sexual misconduct in his office lightly, and will face Democrat Billie Sutton in the gubernatorial race. This is a showing of strength for the #Metoo movement in the Republican party.

Iowa Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
Union Leader Cathy Glasson- 29.0% ✓
Fmr. Chief of Staff John Norris- 28.3%
Fmr. Party Chairwoman Andy McGuire- 24.5%
State Rep. Todd Prichard- 6.9%
State Sen. Nate Boulton- 6.7%
Fmr. Mayor Ross Wilburn- 4.6%

Iowa Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds- 49.8% ✓
Activist Bob Vander Plaats- 36.3%
Mayor Ron Corbett- 13.9%

Iowa Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds- 51%
Union Leader Cathy Glasson- 36%
Undecided/Other- 13%

New Mexico Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
U.S. Rep. Steve Pearce- 51.9% ✓
Lt. Gov. John Sanchez- 45.1%
Fmr. State Sen. Ted Barela- 3.0%

New Mexico Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham- 39%
U.S. Rep. Steve Pearce- 32%
Fmr. Governor Gary Johnson- 21%
Undecided/Other- 8%

South Dakota Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
U.S. Rep. Kristi Noem- 61.3% ✓
Attorney General Marty Jackley- 38.7%

South Dakota Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Kristi Noem- 58%
State Sen. Billie Sutton- 29%
Undecided/Other- 13%

June 13th, 2018

Senate, Governor primaries held in five states; Sandoval Republican nominee in Nevada, Maine's gubernatorial race remains uncertain



PORTLAND - Following the contests held last week, the midterm primaries continue in full steam. Last night, primaries were held for the nominations of the major parties in various crucial, closely-watched races for Senate and Governor. Maine's Senator, Angus King (I), who caucuses with the Democrats, will be facing Democratic teacher Zak Ringlestein, a token candidate, and Republican controversial Governor Paul LePage, who coasted to his party's nomination and makes this a high-profile race despite racist past comments. Another Republican Governor is running for the Senate, with the centrist Brian Sandoval of Nevada defeating right-wing challenges for his party's nomination for the Senate seat vacated by Commerce Secretary Dean Heller and his own appointed incumbent, Senator Joe Heck. Now, Sandoval will face Democrat Rory Reid in a key race for both parties. In North Dakota, Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp is facing a hard reelection battle in a very Republican state and an unfavourable national environment, and will be running against U.S. Rep. Kevin Cramer who emerged out of a crowded field of Republican candidates. Meanwhile, in Virginia, Senator Tim Kaine is considered a strong and popular incumbent and, especially after Governor Perriello's victory last year, the state seems favourable to Democrats. The Republican primary to face him was close, and resulted in a narrow victory for Carly Fiorina, former HP CEO and 2016 Presidential candidate. She defeated former Governor and Presidential candidate Jim Gilmore, County Supervisor Corey Stewart, conservative talk show host Laura Ingraham and Rand Paul-endorsed "Liberty Republican" State Delegate Nick Freitas, who had a better-than-expected showing, in the primary.

Maine Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Angus King*- 41%
Governor Paul LePage- 34%
Mr. Zak Ringelstein- 11%
Undecided/Other- 14%

Nevada Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Governor Brian Sandoval- 54.5% ✓
Businessman Danny Tarkanian- 38.1%
Others- 7.4%

Nevada Senate Election (General)- Polling
Governor Brian Sandoval- 49%
Fmr. County Commissioner Rory Reid- 41%
Undecided/Other- 10%

North Dakota Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
U.S. Rep. Kevin Cramer- 31.8% ✓
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Rick Berg- 27.3%
State Sen. Tom Campbell- 25.4%
Businessman Gary Emineth- 12.9%
Fmr. Mayor Thomas O'Neill- 2.6%

North Dakota Senate Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Kevin Cramer- 45%
Senator Heidi Heitkamp*- 43%
Undecided/Other- 12%

Virginia Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Fmr. CEO Carly Fiorina- 22.6% ✓
State Del. Nick Freitas- 20.8%
Ms. Laura Ingraham- 19.1%
Fmr. Governor Jim Gilmore- 16.4%
County Supervisor Corey Stewart- 16.2%
State Del. James Massie- 4.2%
Others- 0.7%

Virginia Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Tim Kaine*- 50%
Fmr. CEO Carly Fiorina- 40%
Undecided/Other- 10%

Maine also held a high-profile Gubernatorial primary last night, with a first use of the Ranked Choice Voting system and results still inconclusive for the Democratic nomination. Attorney General Janet Mills came first but did not win a majority, and the second-place finisher, former Maine Women's Lobby director Betsy Sweet, appears strong enough to possibly bypass her. Former State House Speaker, Mark Eves, finished third and is considered a Sweet ally, making it likely that she earns most of his second-choice preferences, and a fellow progressive, State Rep. Diane Russell, came fourth. On the Republican side, Businessman Shawn Moody narrowly came first, upsetting U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin, but the results could still change because of RCV. Coming third and fourth, Senate President Mike Thibodeau and former Health Commissioner Mary Mayhew have a substantial chunk of the vote, and pundits are speculating that the former's voters would lean to Poliquin, while the latter's voters would lean towards Moody. There was also a guberantorial primary in Nevada, where Democratic County Commissioner Steve Sisolak will be facing Senator Joe Heck, a moderate Sandoval ally who narrowly defeated the more conservative State Attorney General Adam Laxalt. Lastly, in South Carolina, Democratic businessman Phil Noble won his party's nomination for Governor, but the Republican primary will go to a runoff between Lieutenant Governor Henry McMaster and U.S. Rep. Trey Gowdy, who came ahead of a large field of candidates and will face each other in the runoff. Gowdy, who has more name recognition, is considered favoured.

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
State Att. Gen. Janet Mills- 35.3%
Activist Betsy Sweet- 24.5%
Fmr. State House Speaker Mark Eves- 20.4%
Fmr. State Rep. Diane Russell- 7.3%
State Sen. Mark Dion- 5.5%
Fmr. Mayor Sean Faircloth- 3.8%
Fmr. Mayor Donna Dion- 3.2%%

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Businessman Shawn Moody- 32.3%
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin- 29.1%
State Senate Pres. Mike Thibodeau- 18.6%
Fmr. Commissioner Mary Mayhew- 16.3%
State House Minority Leader Ken Fredette- 3.7%

Maine Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Democratic Candidate- 38%
Republican Candidate- 34%
State Treasurer Terry Hayes- 16%
Fmr. Mayor John Jenkins- 5%
Undecided/Other- 7%

Nevada Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Senator Joe Heck- 44.5% ✓
State Attorney General Adam Laxalt- 41.6%
State Treasurer Dan Schwartz- 6.5%
Others- 7.4%

Nevada Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
County Commissioner Steve Sisolak- 49.6% ✓
County Commissioner Chris Giunchigliani- 43.6%
Others- 6.8%

Nevada Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Senator Joe Heck- 48%
County Commissioner Steve Sisolak- 42%
Undecided/Other- 10%

South Carolina Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Lt. Gov. Henry McMaster- 37.8% ✓
U.S. Rep. Trey Gowdy- 36.4% ✓
State Rep. Tom Davis- 14.4%
Businessman John Warren- 9.1%
Fmr. Lt. Gov. Yancey McGill- 2.3%

South Carolina Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Republican Candidate- 55%
Businessman Phil Noble- 31%
Undecided/Other- 14%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #152 on: June 18, 2018, 12:59:45 pm »

Go Eric Garcetti! Brian Sandoval would also be nice.
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President Biden
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« Reply #153 on: June 18, 2018, 02:15:41 pm »

Yeah, it's going to be a Republican bloodbath.
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MycroftCZ
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« Reply #154 on: June 18, 2018, 07:17:06 pm »

Yeah, it's going to be a Republican bloodbath.
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UBI man good
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« Reply #155 on: June 18, 2018, 07:28:22 pm »


If Obama’s approval rating is under 50%
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Not_A_Man
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« Reply #156 on: June 18, 2018, 08:11:10 pm »

Wow this is nuts.  Go Ridge, Sandoval, Tom Kean, Susana Martinez, Rauner, and Betsy Sweet!
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #157 on: June 22, 2018, 01:08:44 pm »

Whoops, I once again forgot a major event concerning John McCain Tongue So for those of you (aka everyone) who hasn't seen the late edit:

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Parrotguy
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« Reply #158 on: June 22, 2018, 02:48:48 pm »
« Edited: June 30, 2018, 05:11:31 am by Parrotguy »

June 14th, 2018

Singapore summit begins with Obama-Kim Biden; Moon, Jinping to join for extensive talks on Korean peninsula, cooperation and trade



SINGAPORE - History was made today in the city-state of Singapore, the neutral ground decided for the major east Asian summit between U.S. President Barack Obama, Chinese President Xi Jinping, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, and South Korean President Moon Jae-in. It begun with a major meeting between Obama and Un, where the two leaders posed before American and North Korean flag in what is the first summit between the leaders of the two hostile countries. According to spokespeople, the two leaders discussed the de-nuclearization of the Korean peninsula, the human rights situation in North Korea and the American sanctions on the Kim regime, and had civil and productive discussions. Inside sources indicate that Obama was willing to loosen some of the sanctions in exchange for a real process of nuclear disarmament by the Kim regime, but that he was adamant about keeping many of the sanctions due to the harsh human rights condition on the country. President Obama reportedly agreed to allow American companies to open businesses in North Korea, an idea Kim found appealing, in exchange for guarantees that American business executives will not be harmed. Some experts lauded the decision, saying that projecting American soft power into North Korea could have powerful long term effects. In the coming week, Obama and Kim will hold more meetings, along with the two other leaders, in an attempt to reach real agreements.

June 20th, 2018

As RCV results come in, Sweet wins shocking upset in Maine Democratic primary; Poliquin edges out Moody for Republican nomination



PORTLAND - Maine's Ranked Choice Voting process presented a first surprising result in the Democratic and Republican primaries for the gubernatorial nomination tonight. For the Democrats, progressive activist and former Maine Women's Lobby director Betsy Sweet won a narrow victory, bypassing the frontrunner, State Attorney General Janet Mills, by less than 1% when all the votes were counted. The victory is attributed to the late alliance forged between Sweet and third-place finisher Mark Eves, as well as Dianne Russell, who came fourth and ran a progressive campaign aking to Sweet's. Following her victory, Sweet was endorsed by all Democratic candidates, including Mills, and held a joint rally with them. She will face U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin, who narrowly beat out insurgent businessman Shawn Moody in the GOP primary's RCV count after coming second in the first round. Poliquin is considered more conservative than Moody, which makes it a close race between two ideologues, with many feeling State Treasurer Terry Hayes, an independent running for Governor, could have a strong showing.

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results, ROUND 1 (D. Dion, Faircloth eliminated)
State Att. Gen. Janet Mills- 35.3%
Activist Betsy Sweet- 24.5%
Fmr. State House Speaker Mark Eves- 20.4%
Fmr. State Rep. Diane Russell- 7.3%
State Sen. Mark Dion- 5.5%
Fmr. Mayor Sean Faircloth- 3.8%
Fmr. Mayor Donna Dion- 3.2%%


Maine Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results, ROUND 2 (M. Dion eliminated)
State Att. Gen. Janet Mills- 37.2% (+1.9%)
Activist Betsy Sweet- 26.0% (+1.5%)
Fmr. State House Speaker Mark Eves- 23.5% (+3.1%)
Fmr. State Rep. Diane Russell- 7.4% (+0.1%)
State Sen. Mark Dion- 5.9% (+0.4%)

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results, ROUND 3 (Russell eliminated)
State Att. Gen. Janet Mills- 39.0% (+1.8%)
Activist Betsy Sweet- 27.1% (+1.1%)
Fmr. State House Speaker Mark Eves- 26.2% (+2.7%)
Fmr. State Rep. Diane Russell- 7.7% (+0.3%)

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results, ROUND 4 (Eves eliminated)
State Att. Gen. Janet Mills- 39.6% (+0.6%)
Activist Betsy Sweet- 31.9% (+4.8%)
Fmr. State House Speaker Mark Eves- 28.5% (+2.3%)

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results, ROUND 5 (Sweet victorious)
Activist Betsy Sweet- 50.2% (+18.3%) ✓
State Att. Gen. Janet Mills- 49.8% (+10.2%)

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results ROUND 1 (Fredette eliminated)
Businessman Shawn Moody- 32.3%
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin- 29.1%
State Senate Pres. Mike Thibodeau- 18.6%
Fmr. Commissioner Mary Mayhew- 16.3%
State House Minority Leader Ken Fredette- 3.7%

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results ROUND 2 (Thibodeau eliminated)
Businessman Shawn Moody- 32.6% (+0.3%)
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin- 29.9% (+0.8%)
Fmr. Commissioner Mary Mayhew- 18.8% (+2.5%)
State Senate Pres. Mike Thibodeau- 18.7% (+0.1%)

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results ROUND 3 (Mayhew eliminated)
Businessman Shawn Moody- 36.7% (+4.1%)
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin- 35.1% (+5.2%)
Fmr. Commissioner Mary Mayhew- 28.2% (+9.4%)

Maine Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results ROUND 4 (Poliquin victorious)
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin- 51.9% (+16.8%) ✓
Businessman Shawn Moody- 48.1% (+11.4%)

Maine Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Activist Betsy Sweet- 35%
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin- 32%
State Treasurer Terry Hayes- 19%
Fmr. Mayor John Jenkins- 6%
Undecided/Other- 8%

June 22nd, 2018

Singapore summit concludes with signing of major unofficial agreements between the nations; McDonald’s to open North Korea branch in coming months



SINGAPORE - The grand East Asian Summit in Singapore closed yesterday, following days of meetings and discussions between American, South Korean, Chinese and North Korean officials. The summit appears to have been extremely constructive, with the four leaders reaching some agreements to advance peace, cooperation and lessening of tensions between them. South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un have reportedly agreed on substantial scaling back of military forces around the Demilitarized Zone, as well as the signing of an official peace agreement to end the Korean War. Meanwhile, Chinese President Xi Jinping reached agreements with President Obama and President Moon to bolster trade and economic ties between the three nations, as well as continued cooperation on climate change and Chinese pressure on North Korea to keep to the agreements. The most important part, however, was the agreement reached with Kim Jong Un after meetings with President Obama and Secretary Biden, who also attended the summit. North Korea agreed to completely disarm of nuclear weapons in exchange for reduction in sanctions and a pledge to not try regime change in the country, with international inspectors sent to make sure it was being followed. According to sources, an unofficial agreement was also reached, with President Obama promising the U.S. will reduce sanctions if inspectors report an improvement of the human rights situation in the country. The two leaders also officially agreed on the opening of commercial relations, with American businesses finally allowed in the isolated country and North Korean businessmen allowed to open businesses in the United States, with a guarantee that American business executives are not harmed, and that such a harming by North Korean officials would be grounds for an American attack. McDonald's already announced on the opening of a North Korean branch, signaling a historic change. President Obama and Secretary Biden received bipartisan praise for the efforts, with Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Ben Cardin (D-MD) calling the agreements "a massive, historic success", Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) saying that she was "enthusiastic about the prospect of peace and improvement of human rights", Senate candidate Tom Ridge (R-PA) stating that "seeing a McDonald's opening in North Korea will be a potentially pivotal moment in Korean history", and even Senator Rand Paul (R-KY), a frequent Obama critic, calling the agreement "a positive development that will hopefully prevent future American involvement in east Asia". Following the summit, the President's approval ratings saw a substantial rise.

President Obama Job Approval
Approve- 53%
Disapprove- 41%
Not Sure- 6%

June 26th, 2018

More primaries held before midterms; Polis to face Stapelton in Colorado, Huntsman Republican nominee for Utah Senate



SALT LAKE CITY - The last batch of midterm primaries was held tonight, with a key Senate primary in Utah, as well as important gubernatorial primaries in Colorado, Maryland, Oklahoma and South Carolina. In a continue of a trend favouring moderate Republicans this cycle, former Governor and 2016 independent Presidential candiate Jon Huntsman soundly defeated conservative U.S. Rep. in Utah's Senate Republican primary, and is almost assured an easy victory in the general election against Democrat Jenny Wilson. There is also a Senate election in New York, where private equity executive Chele Farly was chosen by Republicans to face U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) in a race Republicans hold no hopes of winning.

Utah Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Fmr. Governor Jon Huntsman Jr.- 69.3%% ✓
U.S. Rep. Jason Chaffetz- 30.7%

Utah Senate Election (General)- Polling
Fmr. Governor Jon Huntsman Jr.- 66%
County Councillor Jenny Wilson- 26%
Undecided/Other- 8%

Meanwhile, in the Colorado Gubernatorial race, U.S. Rep. Jared Polis managed to defeat an impressive field of Democrats by a solid margin. This race was initially expected to be a battle between him and former State Treasurer Cary Kennedy, but she was since appointed as Secretary of the Interior by President Obama, giving Polis an easier race. On the Republican side, State Treasurer Walker Stapleton averted disaster for his party by narrowly winning over a tradical conservative and immigration hawk, former U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo, despite a split field. While Polis is considered favoured, Stapelton still has a chance to finally win the Colorado governorship for Republicans. In Maryland, Democrats chose former NAACP President Ben Jealous to face the Governor Larry Hogan (R) in November. Hogan, who's considered a popular moderate, is currently favoured to win reelection. In Oklahoma, meanwhile, the Republican primary for Governor will be going to a runoff between State Attorney General Scott Pruitt, who managed to use his conservative credentials and popularity from anti-environmentalist activities, noteably suing and opposing the Obama administration's acts and especially Al Gore's EPA, and the more moderate Mayor Mick Cornett of Oklahoma City. If elected Governor, Pruitt is likely to become a high-profile opponent of the Obama administration, already promising to do everything not to implement the "destructive, delusional green agenda" and the "disastrous law passed recently". Al Gore already spoke out against Pruitt, calling him "a man who'd see our planet die to grab a bit more donor money into his pockets". Finally, in South Carolina, the gubernatorial runoff resulted in U.S. Rep. Trey Gowdy winning over Lieutenant Governor Henry McMaster, earning himself the exit from congress he reportedly craved.

Colorado Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
State Tres. Walker Stapleton- 39.4% ✓
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo- 38.6%
State Att. Gen. Cynthia Coffman- 14.0%
Fmr. Mayor Greg Lopez- 4.7%
Fmr. State Rep. Victor Mitchell- 3.3%

Colorado Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
U.S. Rep. Jared Polis- 42.7% ✓
Lt. Gov. Donna Lynne- 35.5%
Fmr. State Rep. Mike Johnston- 18.6%
Businessman Noel Ginsburg- 3.2%

Colorado Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Jared Polis- 48%
State Tres. Walker Stapelton- 43%
Undecided/Other- 9%

Maryland Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
Fmr. NAACP President Ben Jealous- 43.1% ✓
State Sen. Richard Madaleno- 41.9%
Author Alec Ross- 11.4%
Others- 3.6%

Maryland Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Governor Larry Hogan*- 54%
Fmr. NAACP President Ben Jealous- 35%
Undecided/Other- 11%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
State Att. Gen. Scott Pruitt- 33.5% ✓
Fmr. Mayor Mick Cornett- 30.9% ✓
Lt. Gov. Todd Lamb- 22.3%
Fmr. Attorney Gary Richardson- 6.8%
Fmr. State Rep. Dan Fisher- 3.4%
State Auditor Gary Jones- 2.2%
Others- 0.9%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Republican Candidate- 51%
Fmr. State Sen. Connie Johnson- 34%
Undecided/Other- 15%

South Carolina Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary Runoff)- Results
U.S. Rep. Trey Gowdy- 53.2% ✓
Lt. Gov. Henry McMaster- 46.8%

South Carolina Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Trey Gowdy- 58%
Businessman Phil Noble- 30%
Undecided/Other- 12%

July 3rd, 2018

Baldwin, lawmakers present first draft of gun control law; Save Our Children Act will be sent to committee



WASHINGTON, D.C. - The gun control debate continues to dominate the political scene, with the Parkland survivors continuing a public push and a recent school shooting in Texas souring the national mood even further on the NRA and pro-gun activists. Today, Vice President Tammy Baldwin joined Senators Bill Nelson (D-FL), Gwen Graham (D-FL) and Susan Collins (R-ME), as well as U.S. Reps. Ted Deutsch (D-FL), Charlie Crist (D-FL), Elsie Stefanik (R-NY) and Charlie Dent (R-PA), in a press conference announcing the main points of the bill. The Save Our Children Act, as it was named by its co-sponsors, will include many extensive measures of gun control, including a band on bump-stocks, some semi-automatic weapons classified as military-level, a raise of the age requirement to buy a gun to 21 (the same age to buy an alcoholic beverage) save for soldiers, a restriction on magazines any gun can carry, restrictions on gun trafficking and of course, universal and extensive background checks. However, the bill states that the new restrictions will only apply on new purchases and manufactures, and will include no confiscation of guns from any owners, includuing those below 21 years old. The SOCA was praised by gun control activists, including Parkland survivors like Emma Gonzales, who called it "an amazing change that I hope will pass". With the national environment favouring gun controls, many moderate Republicans hoping to win reelection have already announced support for the bipartisan bill, and the Obama administration is likely to aggressively push for it to pass. If all 56 Democrats vote for the bill- what is considered unlikely- the Obama administration would need at least four Republican votes. Co-sponsor Susan Collins and Senator Joe Heck (R-NV) are considered likely to support the bill, but others, like Senators Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) and Cindy McCain (R-AZ), are still on the fence and say they have "reservations" about the bill's restrictions.

July 11th, 2018

Conservative Republicans attack Save Our Children Act, plan to use gun control issue extensively in midterm campaign



AUSTIN - As expected, the SOCA gun control bill came under heavy fire by conservatives and pro-gun activists. NRA Spokeswoman Dana Loesch called it "a monstrous attack on our freedom, reeking of fascism", drawing criticism to her use of "hyperboles and lack of any decency", as worded by Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR). Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) came on many morning and late night shows to attack the bill as "a historic infringement on personal freedoms in America", and confirmed that he will "absolutely do everything I can to oppose it". He was joined by Senators Ted Cruz (R-TX) and Mike Lee (R-UT), who, in a joint press conference, said that the Obama administrator was using "worrying authoritative measures that show a decline in our democracy". Hitting back, Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) said that "Australia passed gun control measures and is perfectly democratic", mocking Cruz's and Lee's statement as "a ridiculous misunderstanding of the meaning of democracy". Not all conservatives opposed the bill, however. Senate candidates Brian Sandoval (R-NV) and Jon Huntsman (R-UT) all said that the SOCA was "better than the statuse quo, when we have children being murdered every other week". Surprisingly, Senator Cindy McCain (R-AZ) echoed similar statements, explaining that "the shootings don't happen in the rest of the western world" and "we need to think about these kids with empathy- they're far more important than gun interests". This even lead to a joke by U.S. Rep. Peter King (R-NY), a supporter of the bill who claimed that "Obama should wait until after the midterms so that he can get Sandoval, Huntsman and Ridge instead of Manchin, Heitkamp and Donnelly". According to polls, the support for gun control is historically high after the recent shootings, making the national environment ripe for reform, so it's unsurprising that many moderate Republicans would turn to support it to help their electoral chances.

President Obama Job Approval
Approve- 52%
Disapprove- 41%
Not Sure- 7%

Do you think there should be more gun control?
Yes- 70%
No- 22%
Not Sure- 8%

Do you support the SOCA?
Yes- 53%
No- 32%
Not Sure- 15%
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President Biden
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« Reply #159 on: June 25, 2018, 05:00:30 pm »

When's the next update?
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Galaxie
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« Reply #160 on: June 27, 2018, 12:17:41 am »


Finally got time to read through this, fantastic TL
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #161 on: June 27, 2018, 05:45:28 pm »

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Parrotguy
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« Reply #162 on: June 28, 2018, 04:59:17 am »


Very soon. I had the inspiration to write a chapter in a potential book I'm working on, but soon enough I'll make the last finishes of the next TL update.
A small hint- Haslam vs Blackburn Wink
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #163 on: June 28, 2018, 09:26:47 am »

Great TL! Curious to see the midterms.
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« Reply #164 on: June 28, 2018, 09:39:46 am »

Third term fatigue is going to hurt Obama hard in the midterms. He won a landslide because of the Trump/Romney GOP split
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #165 on: June 28, 2018, 01:55:23 pm »
« Edited: June 28, 2018, 02:00:59 pm by Parrotguy »

July 19th, 2018

Moderates flooded with constituent letters demanding they vote for SOCA



BISMARCK - As the Save Our Children Act, a bipartisan but extensive bill prompted by the national mood after the Parkland shooting, makes its way through committee, many Senators are facing a tough dilemma about it. For red state Democrats up for reelection this year, the gun control bill is  a double-edged sword, as they need the votes of pro-gun conservatives and moderates in their states, while at the same time the support of their Democratic base, if they want to be reelected. Recently, Democrats like Senators Joe Manchin (D-WV), Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) and Joe Donnelly (D-IN) have received large amounts of constituent mail, most of it overwhelmingly favouring the SOCA. According to various sources, many constituents, mainly Democrats and independents, demand their Senators "protect [their] children" and vote for the bill. Still, the SOCA is facing an uphill battle. Senator Heidi Heitkamp, considered the most pro-gun Democrat in the caucus, has already announced opposition for it, while Senators Manchin and Donnelly, as well as others like Evan Bayh (D-IN), Claire McCaskill (D-MO) and Jon Tester (D-MT) are reluctant. On the Republican side, Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) is co-sponsoring the bill, while Joe Heck (R-NV) and Cindy McCain (R-AZ) are considered likely to support it. But others are not so sure- Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), hailing from a usually pro-gun state, stated that the bill needs to see "some change" if she were to support it, especially targeting the ban on semi-automatic weapons, which she called "unnecessary and restrictive". However, Murkowski did endorse raising the age on buying guns, universal background checks and a bump stock ban, a move to the left from her previous positions reportedly aided by an internal poll in Alaska showing a change on the issue. The New York Times has complied a comprehensive list, showing the tough road of the SOCA to victory in the Senate.

Safe AYE: 49 Senators
Dianne Feinstein (D-CA)
Kamala Harris (D-CA)
Michael Bennet (D-CO)
Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)
Chris Murphy (D-CT)
Tom Carper (D-DE)
Chris Coons (D-DE)
Ben Nelson (D-FL)
Gwen Graham (D-FL)
Mazie Hirono (D-HI)
Brian Schatz (D-HI)
Dick Durbin (D-IL)
Tammy Duckworth (D-IL)
Tom Vilsack (D-IA)

Susan Collins (R-ME)
Angus King (I-ME)
Ben Cardin (D-MD)
Chris Van Hollen (D-MD)
Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
Ed Markey (D-MA)
Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)
Gary Peters (D-MI)
Amy Klobucher (D-MN)
Tina Smith (D-MN)
Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)
Maggie Hassan (D-NH)
Bob Menendez (D-NJ)
Cory Booker (D-NJ)
Tom Udall (D-NM)
Martin Heinrich (D-NM)
Chuck Schumer (D-NY)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
Kay Hagan (D-NC)
Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
Betty Sutton (D-OH)
Ron Wyden (D-OR)
Jeff Merkley (D-OR)
Joe Sestak (D-PA)
Ed Rendell (D-PA)
Jack Reed (D-RI)
Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI)
Patrick Leahy (D-VT)

Bernie Sanders (I-VT)
Mark Warner (D-VA)
Tim Kaine (D-VA)
Patty Murray (D-WA)
Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
Russ Feingold (D-WI)


Likely AYE: 2 Senators
Jason Carter (D-GA)
Jason Kander (D-MO)


Lean AYE: 5 Senators
Cindy McCain (R-AZ)
Evan Bayh (D-IN)
Claire McCaskill (D-MO)
Jon Tester (D-MT)

Joe Heck (R-NV)

TOSSUP: 3 Senators
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)
Joe Donnelly (D-IN)
Joe Manchin (D-WV)


Lean NAY: 2 Senators
Jeff Flake (R-AZ)
Cory Gardner (R-CO)

Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND)
Lamar Alexander (R-TN)

Likely NAY: 7 Senators
Dan Sullivan (R-AK)
Bob Corker (R-TN)
Lindsey Graham (R-SC)


Safe NAY: 33 Senators
Richard Shelby (R-AL)
Jeff Sessions (R-AL)
John Boozman (R-AR)
Tom Cotton (R-AR)
David Perdue (R-GA)
Mike Crapo (R-ID)
Jim Risch (R-ID)
Joni Ernst (R-IA)
Pat Roberts (R-KS)
Jerry Moran (R-KS)
Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
Rand Paul (R-KY)
Bill Cassidy (R-LA)
John Neely Kennedy (R-LA)
Roger Wicker (R-MS)
Thad Cochran (R-MS)
Stever Daines (R-MT)
Deb Fischer (R-NE)
Ben Sasse (R-NE)
Thom Tillis (R-NC)
John Hoeven (R-ND)
Jim Inhofe (R-OK)
James Lankford (R-OK)
Tim Scott (R-SC)
John Thune (R-SD)
Mike Rounds (R-SD)
John Cornyn (R-TX)
Ted Cruz (R-TX)
Orrin Hatch (R-UT)
Mike Lee (R-UT)
Shelly Moore Capito (R-WV)
Sean Duffy (R-WI)
Mike Enzi (R-WY)
John Barrasso (R-WY)


July 24th, 2018

Controversial Herman Cain wins Georgia Republican gubernatorial runoff, will face Abrams (D) in the general election



ATLANTA - This year's gubernatorial election in Georgia was considered a straightforward affair- Republicans would nominate a mainstream conservative candidate like Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle or State Attorney General Brian Kemp, and easily defeat the Democratic nominee, former State House Minority Leader Stacey Abrams, in the general election to earn another term in the state's executive office. But today, the race received a shocking twist- following several corruption scandals, and after the Lieutenant Governor admitted on audio that he pushed a bill for political reasons, he was defeated in the runoff by controversial tea-party businessman Herman Cain. A former 2012 Presidential candidate who dropped out after sexual misconduct allegations, Cain has his own share of scandals and some of his extreme plans, like the famous "999 tax plan" replacing the current tax code with simple 9% percentages, are derided by many. Still, Cain is currently leading the polls against Abrams, prompted by an anti-Obama environment in Georgia as the gun control bill causes waves and by his support among conservatives. Cain's victory did make history- it'll be the first time both major party's nominate an African-American gubernatorial candidate in Georgia.

Georgia Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary Runoff)- Polling
Businessman Herman Cain- 53.2% ✓
Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle- 45.8%

Georgia Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Businessman Herman Cain- 46%
Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams- 43%
Undecided/Other- 11%

August 2nd, 2018

Governor Haslam narrowly beats Blackburn for Tennessee Senate nomination; Sen. Corker Republican nominee for Governor



NASHVILLE - A changing of the guards occured tonight in Tennessee's Republican party- with many of the same faces remaining in the scene. Tennessee's junior Senator, Bob Corker, has announced that he will retire back in 2017, reasoning that he did not want to serve more than two consecutive terms. The Republican primary to replace him, likely to decide the conservative state's next Senator, was fairly crowded, with the hardline U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn running against the more moderate retiring Governor Bill Haslam, former Tea Party favourite and Lieutenant Governor Ron Ramsey and U.S. Rep. Dianne Black. Though Blackburn was considered the favourite initially, she eventually lost steam due to a campaign without much energy and various gaffes, and the conservative vote was split with Ramsey and Black, leading to the victory of Haslam, who was considered the moderate in the race, with past support for moderate social and healthcare positions, despite being a generally staunch conservative. Governor Haslam will face Democrat Karl Dean, the former Mayor of Nashville, in the general election and is considered very unlikely to lose. The gubernatorial race was upended when the retiring Senator Bob Corker stepped in, saying that he wishes to continue "serving the people of Tennessee". Corker's entrance resulted in Rep. Black, who was the frontrunner, switching to the Senate race, and he ran against a weaker field consisting of former U.S. Rep. Stephen Fincher, State Senate Majority Leader Mark Norris, former State Sen. Jamie Woodson and State House Speaker Beth Harwell, from which he emerged victorious by a comfortable margin. He will face Democratic Mayor of Chattanooga, Andy Berke.

Tennessee Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Governor Bill Haslam- 34.2% ✓
U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn- 32.9%
U.S. Rep. Dianne Black- 19.2%
Fmr. Lt. Gov. Ron Ramsey- 11.7%
Others- 2.0%

Tennessee Senate Election (General)- Polling
Governor Bill Haslam- 51%
Fmr. Mayor Karl Dean- 36%
Undecided/Other- 13%

Tennessee Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Senator Bob Corker- 43.8% ✓
State Sen. Mark Norris- 17.3%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Stephen Fincher- 15.7%
Speaker Beth Harwell- 11.5%
Fmr. State Sen. Jamie Woodson- 8.9%
Others- 2.8%

Tennessee Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Senator Bob Corker- 50%
Mayor Andy Berke- 35%
Undecided/Other- 15%

August 7th, 2018

Hawley wins Republican nomination to challenge McCaskill in Missouri, runner-up Petersen to run as libertarian; Kobach to face independent Orman in Kansas, with Democrat Svaty joining the ticket; Whitmer to face off against Schutte in Michigan



JEFFERSON CITY - In a bunch of high-profile primary races for the Senate and Governor races of several states, there were some expected results and some surprising upsets. In Missouri's key Senate race, State Attorney General Josh Hawley narrowly won against a crowded field, a result which was an expected result ever since U.S. Rep. and former Ambassador to Luxembourg Ann Wagner dropped out of the race due to declining support. But what was surprising is the second-place finisher, businessman, activist and former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, who was strongly supported by Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) and the Republican Liberty Caucus, and came very close to winning the nomination, yet another midterm show of strength for Paul. But instead of conceding, Petersen announced that he will be running on the Libertarian Party ticket, which could dangerously split the vote for Republicans. Former Navy SEAL Eric Greitens, who was a frontrunner in the guberntorial primary of 2016, but was bogged down by scandals, including an affair and domestic violence, came third. In Michigan, popular Senator Debbie Stabenow (D) will be facing Republican former Governor John Engler, a strong challenge that will face Democrats to invest in the race. And in Washington, Senator Maria Cantwell (D) will be challenged by former State Attorney General and Gubernatorial candidate Rob McKenna.

Missouri Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
State Att. Gen. Josh Hawley- 36.2% ✓
Businessman Austin Petersen- 34.9%
Fmr. Navy SEAL Eric Greitens- 14.7%
Businessman John Brunner- 8.6%
Fmr. Speaker Catherine Hanaway- 3.5%
Others- 2.1%

Missouri Senate Election (General)- Polling
State Att. Gen. Josh Hawley- 36%
Senator Claire McCaskill- 34%
Businessman Austin Petersen- 16%
Undecided/Other- 14%

Michigan Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Debbie Stabenow*- 48%
Fmr. Gov. John Engler- 44%
Undecided/Other- 8%

Washington Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Maria Cantwell*- 49%
Fmr. State Att. Gen. Rob McKenna- 41%
Undecided/Other- 10%

Two important gubernatorial primaries were also held tonight. In Kansas, Republicans nominated former Secretary of State and controversial anti-immigrant advocate Kris Kobach, who defeated Lieutenant Governor Jeff Coyler in the primary. Democrats nominated former State Secretary of Agriculture Josh Svaty, a young rising star, who promised before the primary to drop out and join the ticket with independent businessman Greg Orman, in a model similar to independent Governor Bill Walker and Democratic Lieutenant Governor Brian Mallott in Alaska. After winning the nomination he dropped out as promised, effectively uniting the opposition to Kobach, who will now face the Orman\Svaty independent ticket. Democrats are on-board with the decision, endorsing Orman, who's considered a political centrist who can win in Kansas due to his lack of connection to the President's party and the deep unpopularity of Governor Sam Brownback (R). Meanwhile, in Michigan, Democratic former State Senator Gretchen Whitmer won her party's nomination and will face Republican State Attorney General Bill Schutte in what will be a closely-watched race- the national environment favours Republicans and Donald Trump performed surprisingly strongly in this state in 2016, despite President Obama easily winning it, but Governor Rick Snyder is deeply unpopular after failing in the handling of the Flint Water Crisis.

Kansas Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Sec. of State Kris Kobach- 46.6% ✓
Lt. Gov. Jeff Colyer- 33.2%
Fmr. State Sen. Jim Barnett- 7.4%
KLC Pres. Ed O'Malley- 6.8%
Insurance Comis. Ken Selzer- 4.2%
Fmr. State Rep. Mark Hutton- 1.8%
Others- 0.5%

Kansas Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Businessman Greg Orman\Fmr. Sec. of Agriculture Josh Svaty- 42%
Sec. of State Kris Kobach- 40%
Undecided/Other- 18%

Michigan Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
State Att. Gen. Bill Schutte- 56.4% ✓
Lt. Gov. Brian Calley- 29.6%
State Sen. Patrick Colbeck- 13.4%
Others- 0.6%

Michigan Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
Fmr. State Sen. Gretchen Whitmer- 35.4% ✓
Businessman Shri Thanedar- 27.9%
Attorney Geoffrey Fieger- 26.7%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Bart Stupak- 11.0%

Michigan Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Fmr. State Sen. Gretchen Whitmer- 47%
State Att. Gen. Bill Schutte- 44%
Undecided/Other- 9%
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Oregon Blue Dog
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« Reply #166 on: June 28, 2018, 02:00:16 pm »

Petersen is running and McCaskill is still losing? RIP the Dems.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #167 on: June 29, 2018, 03:06:12 pm »
« Edited: August 13, 2018, 11:49:07 am by Parrotguy »

August 9th, 2018

Polls show SOCA with high support in key states, putting pressure on reluctant lawmakers



DENVER - As part of an aggressive public push to convince Republican lawmakers to support the Save Our Children Act, pro-gun control and Democratic groups, as well as neutral organizations, have been investing in polls to gauge the support of voters in key states for the signature gun control bill. Some of the particular states polled were Colorado, where Democrats are hoping to scare Senator Cory Gardener (R-CO) to support the bill in order to increase his chances for reelection in 2020, Florida, represented by two Democrats but holding high-profile Senate and Governor races this year, Maine, where Senator Susans Collins (R-ME) is co-sponsoring the bill, and Arizona, where two Republican Senators, Cindy McCain and Jeff Flake, are mulling their support for the bill. Results were encouraging for Democrats in most polls- Colorado voters showed overwhelming support for gun control, putting strong pressure on Gardener, while Maine and Florida voters showed clear support for the efforts of their Senators and Arizona voters surprisingly shifted in favour of gun control. Governor and Senate races in these states were also polled. Meanwhile, Republicans in conservative states such as West Virginia, Indiana and Montana, where Democratic Senators are contemplating or leaning towards support for the bill, are aggressively using the issue in the midterm campaigns.

President Obama Job Approval
Approve- 49%
Disapprove- 43%
Not Sure- 8%

Do you support the SOCA? (Arizona)
Yes- 49%
No- 39%
Not Sure- 12%

Arizona Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Polling
Fmr. State Sen. Kelli Ward- 48%
Senator Jeff Flake*- 41%
Undecided/Other- 11%

Arizona Senate Election (General)- Sinema vs Flake Polling
U.S. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema- 47%
Senator Jeff Flake*- 43%
Undecided/Other- 10%

Arizona Senate Election (General)- Sinema vs Ward Polling
U.S. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema- 51%
Fmr. State Sen. Kelly Ward- 40%
Undecided/Other- 9%

Arizona Senate Special Election (Republican Primary)- Polling
Fmr. Sheriff Joe Arpaio- 27%
U.S. Rep. Martha McSally- 23%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Ben Quayle- 18%
Fmr. Chairman Robert Graham- 12%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Matt Solomon- 6%
Undecided/Other- 14%

Arizona Senate Special Election (General)- Gallego vs Arpaio Polling
U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego- 55%
Fmr. Sheriff Joe Arpaio- 32%
Undecided/Other- 13%

Arizona Senate Special Election (General)- Gallego vs McSally Polling
U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego- 45%
U.S. Rep. Martha McSally- 43%
Undecided/Other- 12%

Arizona Senate Special Election (General)- Gallego vs Quayle Polling
U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego- 45%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Ben Quayle- 45%
Undecided/Other- 10%

Do you support the SOCA? (Colorado)
Yes- 61%
No- 30%
Not Sure- 9%

Colorado Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Jared Polis- 48%
State Tres. Walker Stapelton- 45%
Undecided/Other- 7%

Do you support the SOCA? (Florida)
Yes- 57%
No- 32%
Not Sure- 11%

Florida Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Polling
Governor Rick Scott- 38%
Fmr. Senator Marco Rubio- 36%
State Att. Gen. Pam Bondy- 20%
Undecided/Other- 6%

Florida Senate Election (General)- Nelson vs Scott Polling
Governor Rick Scott- 47%
Senator Bill Nelson*- 45%
Undecided/Other- 8%

Florida Senate Election (General)- Nelson vs Rubio Polling
Fmr. Senator Marco Rubio- 47%
Senator Bill Nelson*- 44%
Undecided/Other- 9%

Florida Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Polling
AG Commissioner Adam Putnam- 28%
Fmr. AR Governor Mike Huckabee- 26%
U.S. Rep. Ron DeSantis- 18%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. David Jolly- 17%
Undecided/Other- 11%

Florida Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Polling
Businessman Jeff Greene- 32%
Mayor Andrew Gillum- 31%
State Attorney Katherine Fernandez Rundle- 14%
Entrepreneur Chris King- 9%
Undecided/Other- 14%

Florida Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Republican Candidate- 35%
Democratic Candidate- 30%
Lawyer John Morgan- 24%
Undecided/Other- 11%

Do you support the SOCA? (Maine)
Yes- 64%
No- 26%
Not Sure- 10%

Maine Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Activist Betsy Sweet- 34%
U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin- 33%
State Treasurer Terry Hayes- 20%
Fmr. Mayor John Jenkins- 4%
Undecided/Other- 9%

August 11th, 2018

Powered by Obama endorsement, David Ige narrowly defeats primary challenge in Hawaii



HONOLULU - Midterm primaries were held in Hawaii today, putting President Obama's influence in his original home state in the spotlight. In the state's Democratic gubernatorial primaries, very likely to decide the next Governor of Hawaii, incumbent David Ige was challenged by U.S. Rep. Colleen Hanabusa. Initially, Hanabusa was heavily favoured, leading some polls by over 20 points, but then President Obama stepped in, shocking the state's political scene with an endorsement of the Governor. He even campaigned for Ige, calling him "an excellent executive for Hawaii who doesn't budge from his duty in favour of other positions". This is a subtle criticism of Hanabusa, which was aggressively used by the Ige campaign- the Governor painted his challenger as an opportunist, who just won a House seat in 2016 and already jumped to the next race, and all of this after challenging Senator Brian Schatz (D-HI) in the 2014 Special Election for his Senate seat. The attacks and the President's support seemed to work, and Ige defeated Hanabusa by a small margin. He'll face perenniel candidate John Carroll in the general, and is widely expected to win easily.

Hawaii Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
Governor David Ige*- 48.7% ✓
U.S. Rep. Colleen Hanabusa- 47.1%
Fmr. State Sen. Clayton Hee- 3.4%
Others- 0.8%

Hawaii Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Governor David Ige*- 62%
Fmr. State Sen. John Carroll- 28%
Undecided/Other- 10%

August 14th, 2018

Pawlenty beats Bachmann to win Republican nod for Governor in Minnesota, Coleman to face Smith for old Senate seat; Republican Stewart will run against Democrat Kennedy in Connecticut, Walker challenged by Kind in Wisconsin reelection bid, Sen. Duffy faces Democrat Mitchell for Vice President's seat



SAINT PAUL - Key primaries for several Senate and Gubernatorial races were held tonight in several states in the northeast and the midwest. In Connecticut, Senator Chris Murphy (D) will be challenged by Republican businesswoman and 2012 Senate nominee Linda McMahon, in a race Democrats are expected to have no problems winning. Minnesota will hold two Senate races this year- the Special Election for the seat of former Senator Al Franken (D), where appointed incumbent Senator Tina Smith (D) will be challenged by moderate former Senator Norm Coleman (R), who's running in a bid to return to his old seat and is expected to make it a very close race, especially with Smith having little name recognition. Senator Amy Klobucher (D) is much safer, and is expected to easily triumph over her challenger, State Senator Karin Housley. In Vermont, businessman and perenniel candidate Rocky De La Fuente won the GOP nomination to face Senator Bernie Sanders (I) due to a lack of candidates running, and in Wisconsin, Senator Sean Duffy (R), elected in 2017 to Vice President Tammy Baldwin's seat is running for a full term and facing a considerably weaker challenger than he did in the Special Election- progressive activist Mahlon Mitchell, who defeated several candidates to win the Democratic nomination.

Minnesota Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Amy Klobucher*- 49%
State Sen. Karin Housley- 38%
Undecided/Other- 13%

Minnesota Senate Special Election (General)- Polling
Senator Tina Smith*- 43%
Fmr. Sen. Norm Coleman- 43%
Undecided/Other- 14%

Vermont Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Bernie Sanders*- 68%
Businessman Rocky De La Fuente- 17%
Undecided/Other- 15%

Wisconsin Senate Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
Activist Mahon Mitchell- 37.8% ✓
State Sen. Kathleen Vinehout- 34.6%
County Exec. Chris Abele- 21.3%
Others- 6.3%

Wisconsin Senate Election (General)- Polling
Senator Sean Duffy*- 48%
Activist Mahon Mitchell- 39%
Undecided/Other- 13%

All of the aforementioned states will also hold gubernatorial races in 2018. In Connecticut, incumbent Democrat Dan Malloy announced that he will not be running for a third term. However, his deep unpopularity is bogging State Sen. Ted Kennedy Jr. (D) down, making his race against the Republican nominee, Erin Stewart, much harder. Stewart is a young, popular Mayor and a socially moderate to progressive candidate, one who could win in a northeastern liberal state, and many Democrats feel there is a real threat of her defeating Kennedy. In Minnesota, the race is expected the be tight and high profile as former Governor Tim Pawlenty defeated ultra conservative, controversial former U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann in the Republican primary, and will go on to face progressive State Rep. Erin Murphy in the general election. Vermont will pit incumbent Governor Phil Scott, a popular centrist, against Democratic CEO Christine Hallquist, in a race Republicans are expected to win easily. Finally, Wisconsin will have a high-profile Gubernatorial race as Democratic U.S. Rep. Ron Kind, the nominee for Senate in 2017 who's still very popular in the state, was reportedly recruited by heavy efforts of the Obama administration to face the polarizing, union-busting Governor Scott Walker (R).

Connecticut Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Mayor Erin Stewart- 28.4% ✓
Mayor Mark Boughton- 23.9%
Businessman Stephen Obsitnik- 12.7%
State Rep. Prasad Srinivasan- 11.4%
Fmr. U.S. Comptroller General David Walker- 9.0%
Fmr. First Selectman Tim Herbst- 8.1%
Businessman Bob Stefanowski- 5.3%
Hedge Fun Manager David Stemerman- 1.2%

Connecticut Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
State Sen. Edward M. Kennedy Jr.- 41.2% ✓
Mayor Dan Drew- 32.8%
Mayor Joe Ganim- 16.4%
Fmr. Sec. of State Susan Bysiewicz- 9.6%

Connecticut Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
State Sen. Edward M. Kennedy Jr.- 44%
Mayor Erin Stewart- 40%
Undecided/Other- 16%

Minnesota Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Fmr. Governor Tim Pawlenty- 43.9% ✓
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann- 38.4%
County Commis. Jeff Johnson- 11.7%
Mayor Mary Giuliani Stephens- 4.7%
Others- 1.3%

Minnesota Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
State Rep. Erin Murphy- 43.1% ✓
Fmr. Mayor Chris Coleman- 32.6%
State Auditor Rebecca Otto- 12.8%
Fmr. Mayor R. T. Rybak-  7.4%
State Rep. Paul Thissen- 3.3%
Others- 0.8%

Minnesota Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Fmr. Governor Tim Pawlenty- 46%
State Rep. Erin Murphy- 45%
Undecided/Other- 9%

Vermont Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Governor Phil Scott*- 52%
CEO Christine Hallquist- 31%
Undecided/Other- 17%

Wisconsin Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
U.S. Rep. Ron Kind- 52.6% ✓
State Superintendant Tony Evers- 32.1%
Fmr. State Rep. Kelda Roys- 7.6%
Activist Mike McCabe- 3.5%
Fmr. Chairman Matt Flynn- 2.9%
Others- 1.3%

Wisconsin Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Governor Scott Walker*- 48%
U.S. Rep. Ron Kind- 47%
Undecided/Other- 5%

August 18th, 2018

Lawmakers, Vice President Baldwin present final draft of SOCA; changes include softer magazine limit and no blanket semi-automatic ban



WASHINGTON, D.C. - After long work in the House Oversight Committee, lead by U.S. Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-MD) and the Senate Judiciary Committee, lead by Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), as well as negotiations with Vice President Tammy Baldwin (D-WI), representing the White House, and various lawmakers, a final version of the Save Our Children Act was presented before congress and the press. Supported by a bipartisan coalition of liberals and moderate Republicans, the bill rides on the wave of anti-gun sentiments in the U.S. following two deadly shootings this year, but is expected to have a tough road towards the 60 votes needed to pass the Senate without a filibuster. However, with the moderate Republican Tuesday Group endorsing it in the House, it's expected to pass there quite easily. The changes to the initial bill include a reduction and softening in restrictions, including magazine and bullet limits, as well as a removal of the blanket ban of semi-automatic rifles in favour of selective banning of several rifles deemed "military-rank". The changes are touted by several moderates as making the bill "much more reasonable", as Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) said, and, according to a statement by Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV), make him "likelier to support it". Following the changes, the NYT complied a list of the previously swinging Senators according to their new classification after new media statements.

Safe AYE: 52 Senators
46 Previous Democrats confirming support
Jason Carter (D-GA)
(Likely to Safe, announced that he's "enthusiastically endorsing" the bill after the changes)
Evan Bayh (D-IN) (Lean to Safe, praised the bill as a "great bipartisan effort" and announced his support)
Susan Collins (R-ME)
Angus King (I-ME)
Jason Kander (D-MO) (Likely to Safe, announced two weeks ago that the bill is "good and fair for Missouri")
Bernie Sanders (I-VT)

Likely AYE: 3 Senators
Cindy McCain (R-AZ) (Lean Aye to Likely Aye, both she and husband spoke favourably of the bill)
Claire McCaskill (D-MO) (Lean Aye to Likely Aye, speaks increasingly favourably of the bill)
Joe Heck (R-NV) (Lean Aye to Likely Aye, both he and Gov. Sandoval announced that the changes make the bill "a positive reform")

Lean AYE: 4 Senators
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) (Tossup to Lean Aye, spoke favourably of the bill)
Joe Donnelly (D-IN) (Tossup to Lean Aye, spoke favourably of the bill)
Jon Tester (D-MT) (no change of position, pressured from voters at home)
Joe Manchin (D-WV) (Tossup to Lean Aye, spoke favourably of the bill)

TOSSUP: 2 Senators
Jeff Flake (R-AZ) (said he respects the work on the bill)
Cory Gardner (R-CO) (is under heavy pressure from home state voters)

Lean NAY: 2 Senators
Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) (no change in position, remains staunchly against gun control)
Lamar Alexander (R-TN) (no change)

Likely NAY: 3 Senators
Dan Sullivan (R-AK) (no change)
Bob Corker (R-TN)(no change)
Lindsey Graham (R-SC)(no change)


Safe NAY: 33 Senators
33 Previous Republicans confirming opposition
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« Reply #168 on: June 29, 2018, 10:34:38 pm »

How does de la Fuente manage to get literally everywhere
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #169 on: June 30, 2018, 03:56:35 am »

How does de la Fuente manage to get literally everywhere

He's the saviour we need, but not the one we deserve.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #170 on: June 30, 2018, 04:10:38 am »

Great developments. I hope Stacy Abrams badly beats Herman Cain.
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Parrotguy
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« Reply #171 on: June 30, 2018, 05:43:54 am »
« Edited: August 13, 2018, 11:50:28 am by Parrotguy »

August 21st, 2018

Dunleavy to face Walker in Alaska as Democrats get behind independent Governor again



ANCHORAGE - Alaska's gubernatorial race will see a battle between Republican conservative former State Senator Mike Dunleavy, who won the Republican nomination, and the state's independent incumbent Governor, Bill Walker, who's running again with his Democratic Lieutenant Governor, Byron Mallot. This comes after former Senator Mark Begich, a Democrat, was rumourd to be interested in entering the race as a Democrat, but then reportedly dissuaded by Democratic leaders and the White House, as President Obama thought Walker would have the best chance to prevent the state from falling into Republican hands. Walker ran for the Democratic nomination too, hoping to prevent a candidate from the party splitting the vote, but was still challenged by State Senator Bill Wielechowski and State Representative Les Gara. Walker edged them out for the Democratic nomination, and so he will be facing Republican nominee Mike Dunleavy and Libertarian nominee    Cean Stevens. It's expected to be a close race, with Walker having declining approvals.

Alaska Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Fmr. State Sen. Mike Dunleavy- 41.0% ✓
Fmr. Lt. Gov. Mead Treadwell- 36.8%
State Rep. Mike Chenault- 14.9%
Others- 7.3%

Alaska Gubernatorial Election (Democratic-Libertarian-Independence Primary)- Results
Governor Bill Walker*- 37.6% ✓
State Rep. Les Gara- 25.5%
State Sen. Bill Wielechowski- 20.6%
Ms. Cean Stevens- 16.3% ✓

Minnesota Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Fmr. State Sen. Mike Dunleavy- 42%
Governor Bill Walker\Lt. Gov. Byron Mallott- 41%
Ms. Cean Stevens- 5%
Undecided/Other- 12%

August 25th, 2018

Democrats, moderate Republicans ready to put gun control bill before Senate in "beginning of September", Nelson says



WASHINGTON, D.C. - Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL) confirmed today that the work on the Save Our Children Act is fully complete, and that it will be presented before the Senate chamber in the "beginning of September, likely the 5th" by its co-sponsors, Nelson, Senator Gwen Graham (D-FL) and Senator Susan Collins (R-ME). The vote on the bill is expected to be close, with several Senators still on the fence, and White House sources confirmed that Vice President Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) will arrive on Capitol Hill early in the morning to support the bill and, possibly, cast a tie-breaking vote in its favour if it comes to that. Several legislators opposed to the bill, including Senators Rand Paul (R-KY), Ted Cruz (R-TX), Mike Lee (R-UT) and, notably, Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) already promised to filibuster SOCA if it fails to reach the 60 votes required to bypass a filibuster, with the addition of Baldwin's vote. Pundits are closely watching Senators Joe Manchin (D-WV), Joe Donnelly (D-IN), Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), Cory Gardener (R-CO) and Jeff Flake (R-AZ) as important swing votes.

August 28th, 2018

Arizona, Florida select candidates for Senate and Governor in last multi-state primary of 2018 midterms



TALLAHASSEE - Several primaries for very high-profile Senate and Governor elections were held today in Florida and Arizona, two competitive states with high hispanic populations won by President Obama in 2016. Arizona had two closely-watched primaries for Senate- one for the regularly-held election to the seat held by Senator Jeff Flake (R), and the other for a special election to the seat vacated by ill Senator John McCain (R) and his appointed replacement and wife, Cindy McCain (R). Senator Flake, who infamously criticised 2016 Republican nominee Donald Trump and has very low approval ratings in the state, lost the primary to a far-right challenger, former Senator Kelly Ward who's a hard-line pro-Trump conservative accused of supporting the chemtrails conspiracy theory. It's considered a blow to Republican chances of keeping the seat and a rare opportunity for U.S. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema, an atheis bisexual woman with a moderate record, to give Democrats a midterm pickup. The other primary race resulted in a narrow victory for U.S. Rep. Martha McSally over the convicted felon and immigration hardliner former Sheriff Joe Arpaio, who was running a campaign accusing the Obama administration of conspiring against him. It's considered a sigh of relief for Republican leaders, who were afraid of losing this seat too because of Arpaio's deep unpopularity, but the far-right challenge forced McSally to move to the right as well, so that she praised Trump and controversially called for the "dismantling of DACA" in the campaign trail. The rightward move caused many to see her as a "flip-flopping opportunist", as Arpaio called her on the trail, and the polls between her and Democratic U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego, a young hispanic veteran who won his party's nomination unopposed, show him with a narrow lead. Lastly, in Florida, a tight race between former Senator Marco Rubio, Governor Rick Scott and state Attorney General Pam Bondy for the right to face vulnerable Senator Bill Nelson (D) in November added with a shocker, as Rubio, who was considered the underdog against the rich, moderately popular Governor, won a narrow victory, attributed to him managing to present himself as the more conservative candidate. Rubio, who was reluctantly endorsed by Scott, who became his political enemy, will be bruised heading to a tough battle against a popular incumbent, despite a favourable national climate. Whether his remarkable comeback bid succeeds remains to be seen.

Arizona Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Fmr. State Sen. Kelli Ward- 53.5% ✓
Senator Jeff Flake*- 46.5%

Arizona Senate Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema- 48%
Fmr. State Sen. Kelly Ward- 42%
Undecided/Other- 10%

Arizona Senate Special Election (Republican Primary)- Results
U.S. Rep. Martha McSally- 29.4% ✓
Fmr. Sheriff Joe Arpaio- 28.0%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Ben Quayle- 22.9%
Fmr. Chairman Robert Graham- 15.1%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. Matt Solomon- 4.6%

Arizona Senate Special Election (General)- Polling
U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego- 46%
U.S. Rep. Martha McSally- 45%
Undecided/Other- 9%

Florida Senate Election (Republican Primary)- Polling
Fmr. Senator Marco Rubio- 39.4% ✓
Governor Rick Scott- 38.9%
State Att. Gen. Pam Bondy- 21.4%
Divine God Rocky De La Fuente- 0.3%

Florida Senate Election (General)- Polling
Fmr. Senator Marco Rubio- 45%
Senator Bill Nelson*- 44%
Undecided/Other- 11%

In addition to Senate races, Arizona and Florida also have gubernatorial elections this November. In Arizona, incumbent Governor Doug Ducey (R) is considered popular and fairly safe, as he will face a fairly weak Democratic recruit in November, Professor David Garcia who was the only serious Democrat to file. Meanwhile, Florida's race is considered much more competitive as Republican voters nominated a familiar face for Governor- former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, the runnerup for the Republican Presidential nomination in 2008 and a candidate in 2016, who moved to northern Florida and enjoys strong popularity with evangelicals and conservatives there. The staunchly socially conservative former pastor defeated the more establishment-minded state Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam, who was bogged down by a controversy regarding his enforcement of gun laws and his lack of support for Trump in 2016. Moderate former U.S. Rep. David Jolly came a surprisingly strong third, continuing to show the increasing strength of the centrist wing of the GOP. Meanwhile, Andrew Gillum, the progressive Mayor of Tallahassee, was nominated by Democrats, but is facing rumours of a corruption investigation which could bog him down. The gubernatorial race was upended a few months ago when renowned lawyer and marijuanna legalization advocate John Morgan announced his bid for Governor as an independent. Now, with controversial nominees for the major parties, the famous lawyer could have an opening, but some call him a "spoiler" for Democrats. The state of Oklahoma also held a gubernatorial runoff today, with controversial Attorney General Scott Pruitt easily dispatching the more moderate Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett and advancing to a likely win in the general election.

Arizona Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Governor Doug Ducey*- 47%
Professor David Garcia- 41%
Undecided/Other- 12%

Florida Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
Fmr. AR Governor Mike Huckabee- 30.3% ✓
AG Commissioner Adam Putnam- 25.9%
Fmr. U.S. Rep. David Jolly- 24.0%
U.S. Rep. Ron DeSantis- 18.6%
Others- 1.2%

Florida Gubernatorial Election (Democratic Primary)- Results
Mayor Andrew Gillum- 32.4% ✓
Businessman Jeff Greene- 31.6%
State Attorney Katherine Fernandez Rundle- 21.2%
Entrepreneur Chris King- 12.3%
Others- 2.5%

Florida Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
Fmr. AR Governor Mike Huckabee- 33%
Mayor Andrew Gillum- 29%
Lawyer John Morgan- 25%
Undecided/Other- 13%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election (Republican Primary)- Results
State Att. Gen. Scott Pruitt- 61.3% ✓
Fmr. Mayor Mick Cornett- 38.7%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Election (General)- Polling
State Att. Gen. Scott Pruitt- 49%
Fmr. State Sen. Connie Johnson- 35%
Undecided/Other- 16%

September 5th, 2018

BREAKING: Save Our Children Act as vote reaches 60-40 count, breaking the filibuster and passing the historic bill as Vice President Baldwin presides over the session



WASHINGTON, D.C. - It was a historic morning today on Capitol Hill. After long efforts to pass a substantial gun control bill, the Obama Administration finally succeeded, with the Save Our Children Act winning 60 votes for and 40 votes against, breaking the filibuster threatened by Senators Rand Paul (R-KY) and Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND). Vice President Tammy Baldwin (D-WI), who lead the efforts to craft and move the bill through congress, appeared teary-eyed and happy as she presided over the Senate session that passed it. SOCA's co-sponsors in the House, U.S. Reps. Ted Deutsch (D-FL), Charlie Crist (D-FL), Elsie Stefanik (R-NY) and Charlie Dent (R-PA) are expected to present the bill before the House of Representatives in the coming days, where it's expected to easily pass, especially with strong support from the Republican moderate Tuesday Group, whose floor leader is co-sponsoring it. The SOCA was carried by the wings of a strong wave in favour of gun control after the Parkland shooting this February, and the public support is attributed by many to a group of young activists who fiercely fought and marched for gun control in the months following the trauma they went through. President Obama celebrated the passage of the measure, calling it "an amazing, historic day" and saying that "America finally managed to break the corporate interests of the gun lobby and care for its children and teenagers".

AYE: 60 Senators ✓
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)
Cindy McCain (R-AZ)

Dianne Feinstein (D-CA)
Kamala Harris (D-CA)
Michael Bennet (D-CO)

Cory Gardner (R-CO)
Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)
Chris Murphy (D-CT)
Tom Carper (D-DE)
Chris Coons (D-DE)
Ben Nelson (D-FL)
Gwen Graham (D-FL)
Jason Carter (D-GA)
Mazie Hirono (D-HI)
Brian Schatz (D-HI)
Dick Durbin (D-IL)
Tammy Duckworth (D-IL)
Joe Donnelly (D-IN)
Evan Bayh (D-IN)
Tom Vilsack (D-IA)

Susan Collins (R-ME)
Angus King (I-ME)
Ben Cardin (D-MD)
Chris Van Hollen (D-MD)
Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
Ed Markey (D-MA)
Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)
Gary Peters (D-MI)
Amy Klobucher (D-MN)
Tina Smith (D-MN)
Claire McCaskill (D-MO)
Jason Kander (D-MO)
Jon Tester (D-MT)
Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)

Joe Heck (R-NV)
Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)
Maggie Hassan (D-NH)
Bob Menendez (D-NJ)
Cory Booker (D-NJ)
Tom Udall (D-NM)
Martin Heinrich (D-NM)
Chuck Schumer (D-NY)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)
Kay Hagan (D-NC)
Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
Betty Sutton (D-OH)
Ron Wyden (D-OR)
Jeff Merkley (D-OR)
Joe Sestak (D-PA)
Ed Rendell (D-PA)
Jack Reed (D-RI)
Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI)
Patrick Leahy (D-VT)

Bernie Sanders (I-VT)
Mark Warner (D-VA)
Tim Kaine (D-VA)
Patty Murray (D-WA)
Maria Cantwell (D-WA)
Joe Manchin (D-WV)
Russ Feingold (D-WI)


NAY: 40 Senators
Richard Shelby (R-AL)
Jeff Sessions (R-AL)
Dan Sullivan (R-AK)
Jeff Flake (R-AZ)
John Boozman (R-AR)
Tom Cotton (R-AR)
David Perdue (R-GA)
Mike Crapo (R-ID)
Jim Risch (R-ID)
Joni Ernst (R-IA)
Pat Roberts (R-KS)
Jerry Moran (R-KS)
Mitch McConnell (R-KY)
Rand Paul (R-KY)
Bill Cassidy (R-LA)
John Neely Kennedy (R-LA)
Roger Wicker (R-MS)
Thad Cochran (R-MS)
Stever Daines (R-MT)
Deb Fischer (R-NE)
Ben Sasse (R-NE)
Thom Tillis (R-NC)

Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND)
John Hoeven (R-ND)
Jim Inhofe (R-OK)
James Lankford (R-OK)
Lindsey Graham (R-SC)
Tim Scott (R-SC)
John Thune (R-SD)
Mike Rounds (R-SD)
Lamar Alexander (R-TN)
Bob Corker (R-TN)
John Cornyn (R-TX)
Ted Cruz (R-TX)
Orrin Hatch (R-UT)
Mike Lee (R-UT)
Shelly Moore Capito (R-WV)
Sean Duffy (R-WI)
Mike Enzi (R-WY)
John Barrasso (R-WY)
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aaroncd107
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« Reply #172 on: June 30, 2018, 12:34:27 pm »

Ok, forgive my ignorance, but why exactly would Baldwin have to cast a tie breaker?
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« Reply #173 on: June 30, 2018, 12:39:59 pm »

VP only is able to vote to break ties in 50/50 votes

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Parrotguy
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« Reply #174 on: June 30, 2018, 02:25:55 pm »

VP only is able to vote to break ties in 50/50 votes



Got it, and it seems 60 votes is enough to break a filibuster. Fixed, thanks!

Ok, forgive my ignorance, but why exactly would Baldwin have to cast a tie breaker?

You're not the ignorant one Smiley
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