PA-Sen: Casey +18

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I can actually see some surprise upsets in the congressional races in this state.

PA is going to break HARD for the Democrats.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I can actually see some surprise upsets in the congressional races in this state.

WE AT CNN CAN PROJECT THAT IN A STUNNING UPSET, MIKE KELLY HAS BEEN DEFEATED FOR RE-ELECTION. THIS SEAT IS A DEMOCRATIC PICKUP.

PA16 is definitely a possibility.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I can actually see some surprise upsets in the congressional races in this state.

PA is going to break HARD for the Democrats.

Downballot leg races is where a bigger break would really rack up, no?

I can't wait to see the House GOP get slaughtered.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Honestly, even if you believe that some of the gains that Trump made among rural WWC voters in 2016 are permanent, the growth (and D trend) of the Philly surburbs probably mean that PA will remain a swing state for a long time to come.

Anyway, Casey should be fine. But while Democrats are headed for a good year here this year (and probably in Wisconsin and Michigan as well, to an extent), they shouldn't assume that they have PA in the bag in 2020.

I honestly don't think it will ever become a Lean R state.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

In Pennsylvania, the Trump phenomenon has died down and Democrats will proceed to win.

A pickup in PA10 wouldn't be surprising.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

It would be absolutely hilarious if Casey won by a bigger margin than he did in 2012, considering his opponent then was a Some Dude Generic Rich Businessman and this time they have an "All Star Recruit" coming off just winning the state in a presidential election for the first time in 3 decades.

Casey will probably win by double digits. Barletta is a much weaker candidate than Tom Smith, plus he does not reflect the mood of 2018, especially in Pennsylvania.