State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Zaybay]

Looks like Rarick is the favorite at the moment. This means the GOP picks up one state senate seat, which, I believe, would make this the first pickup for 2019.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WITH 74% IN, THE WULFRIC NEWS NETWORK PROJECTS THAT THE REPUBLICANS HAVE PICKED UP THE SEAT:

Legal Marijuana Now      John "Sparky" Birrenbach   193   2.08%   
Republican      Jason Rarick   4889   52.63%   
Democratic-Farmer-Labor      Stu Lourey   4185   45.05%   
WRITE-IN**      WRITE-IN**   22   0.24%   

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1092984935265243136

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

78% in

Legal Marijuana Now      John "Sparky" Birrenbach   208   2.08%   
Republican      Jason Rarick   5278   52.76%   
Democratic-Farmer-Labor      Stu Lourey   4494   44.92%   
WRITE-IN**      WRITE-IN**   24   0.24%

[Oryxslayer]

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

84% in:

Legal Marijuana Now      John "Sparky" Birrenbach   241   2.08%   
Republican      Jason Rarick   6087   52.61%   
Democratic-Farmer-Labor      Stu Lourey   5217   45.09%   
WRITE-IN**      WRITE-IN**   24   0.21%   

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1092988111955607553

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

87% in:

Legal Marijuana Now      John "Sparky" Birrenbach   263   2.06%   
Republican      Jason Rarick   6785   53.12%   
Democratic-Farmer-Labor      Stu Lourey   5701   44.63%   
WRITE-IN**      WRITE-IN**   24   0.19%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

92% in:

Legal Marijuana Now      John "Sparky" Birrenbach   276   2.04%   
Republican      Jason Rarick   7130   52.73%   
Democratic-Farmer-Labor      Stu Lourey   6092   45.05%   
WRITE-IN**      WRITE-IN**   24   0.18%

[henster]

This is the second seat Walz has indirectly handed to Republicans.

[Beet]

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

[henster]

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

Like clockwork with the bad takes, I guess Dems romping last year in MN means nothing now.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

hmm... oh boy i dont wanna apologize to limo

Haha

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

This is the first competitive special of the year, and it went very badly for Ds. This is a district that voted for Klobuchar and Walz, and only very narrowly went for Stauber and Wardlow. Democrats were seen as favored here coming into the night. But they lost, and lost badly. This is a real sign of a potential change from the mood of 2018. The Democratic Party that won MO HD 97 in a shock upset is not the Democratic party of tonight. Tonight was a very weak Democratic Party. Question is - will it continue? We'll see - Plenty of specials during the rest of the month:

Feb. 12 - GA HD 176, TX HD 125
Feb. 19 - VA HoD 86
Feb. 23 - LA HD 12, 17, 18, 26, 27, 47, 62
Feb. 26 - CT SD 3, 5, 6 ; HD 39 & 99

[Horus]

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

This is likely. His approval is following Reagan's and will soon jump up into the high 50s.

[Gass3268]

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

This is likely. His approval is following Reagan's and will soon jump up into the high 50s.

Haha, no

[Zaybay]

This is the first competitive special of the year, and it went very badly for Ds. This is a district that voted for Klobuchar and Walz, and only very narrowly went for Stauber and Wardlow. Democrats were seen as favored here coming into the night. But they lost, and lost badly. This is a real sign of a potential change from the mood of 2018. The Democratic Party that won MO HD 97 in a shock upset is not the Democratic party of tonight. Tonight was a very weak Democratic Party. Question is - will it continue? We'll see - Plenty of specials during the rest of the month:

Feb. 12 - GA HD 176, TX HD 125
Feb. 19 - VA HoD 86
Feb. 23 - LA HD 12, 17, 18, 26, 27, 47, 62
Feb. 26 - CT SD 3, 5, 6 ; HD 39 & 99

Stop with the terrible takes.

[ON Progressive]

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

This is likely. His approval is following Reagan's and will soon jump up into the high 50s.

How can you guys have such terrible takes? This is the kind of district where you'd expect a bad result given that it's a rapidly Republican trending part of Minnesota. Democrats don't even need to win this seat to win statewide, Ellison lost here by 5 and still won statewide.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Walz, I am sorry, but you have been a real pain giving up MN 1 and now this.

[henster]

Dems are DOOOOOMED

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final:

Legal Marijuana Now      John "Sparky" Birrenbach   298   1.91%   
Republican      Jason Rarick   8127   52.02%   
Democratic-Farmer-Labor      Stu Lourey   7171   45.90%   
WRITE-IN**      WRITE-IN**   27   0.17%   

Hopefully next Tuesday will be a better night for Dems than this. This is just an embarrassment.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

hmm... oh boy i dont wanna apologize to limo

Limo will take your concession speech now

[lfromnj]

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

This is likely. His approval is following Reagan's and will soon jump up into the high 50s.

How can you guys have such terrible takes? This is the kind of district where you'd expect a bad result given that it's a rapidly Republican trending part of Minnesota. Democrats don't even need to win this seat to win statewide, Ellison lost here by 5 and still won statewide.

I mean id expect a bad result in the GE. But all the statewide D's still won it in 2018 besides Ellison and this is a special election which means Ds should be more energized to vote. This doesn't signify the end of special election turnout for D's but it is in no way a good result

[ON Progressive]

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

Damn. It wasn't even close. And that's before tonight's centrist SOTU speech. Trump landslide 2020?

This is likely. His approval is following Reagan's and will soon jump up into the high 50s.

How can you guys have such terrible takes? This is the kind of district where you'd expect a bad result given that it's a rapidly Republican trending part of Minnesota. Democrats don't even need to win this seat to win statewide, Ellison lost here by 5 and still won statewide.

I mean id expect a bad result in the GE. But all the statewide D's still won it in 2018 besides Ellison and this is a special election which means Ds should be more energized to vote. This doesn't signify the end of special election turnout for D's but it is in no way a good result

Incorrect. Steve Simon and Julie Blaha couldn't win this seat either. Those were both non-controversial and won by more statewide than Ellison.

[Devout Centrist]

Wow. The end is here. Time for everyone to commit harakiri