2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2
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  2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Recruitment/Fundraising/Ratings Megathread v2  (Read 174174 times)
Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1800 on: October 05, 2018, 09:05:15 AM »





If Heidi keeps her seat, its because of this spike in funding and the fact that the National Rs have left the airwaves in the area. Which, in my opinion, has to be THE stupidest decision this entire midterm, yes, even more than "Nancy had a little lamb".
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Almost Anyone But Biden Or Trump (ABBoT but not Greg Abbott)
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1801 on: October 05, 2018, 10:18:24 AM »


Did someone say messenger?
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #1802 on: October 05, 2018, 11:01:08 AM »

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Don't worry, Phil, I'm sure that voters won't notice the (D) next to your name. Roll Eyes It's like this guy wants to be the next Mark Pryor or something.
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Orser67
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1803 on: October 05, 2018, 12:50:14 PM »

Honestly, these changes all reflect pretty poorly on Cook. NE should have been rated safe long ago, Menendez is a strong favorite in NJ, and Tester has consistently led in polls.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1804 on: October 05, 2018, 12:53:16 PM »


That’s the ratings chance you people take issue with? Classic Atlas.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1805 on: October 05, 2018, 01:01:06 PM »

Tilt D IN,FL,WVA and NV
Tossup TX,ND,MO, AZ, MS
Tilt R TN
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1806 on: October 05, 2018, 02:08:11 PM »

NE and OH were overdue. MT I can see but its still not very reasonable since Tester has led every poll, even if narrowly. NJ, however, is absolute fools gold for Republicans even more so than TN is for Democrats. Sabato has been a much better prognosticator than Cook, even if they have flaws too.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1807 on: October 05, 2018, 03:24:15 PM »

NE and OH were overdue. MT I can see but its still not very reasonable since Tester has led every poll, even if narrowly. NJ, however, is absolute fools gold for Republicans even more so than TN is for Democrats. Sabato has been a much better prognosticator than Cook, even if they have flaws too.

I think Sabato and Cook are pretty even when it comes to the House rankings as Wasserman clearly has some connections, but Sabato is 100x better when it comes to the Senate and Governor races.
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America needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1808 on: October 05, 2018, 07:50:55 PM »

I have now shifted my Senate prediction from D+02 to D+03, with Democrats now gaining Texas. As before, Democrats are holding all of their seats, and picking up Arizona and Nevada.
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Young Conservative
youngconservative
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« Reply #1809 on: October 05, 2018, 08:47:22 PM »

I have now shifted my Senate prediction from D+02 to D+03, with Democrats now gaining Texas. As before, Democrats are holding all of their seats, and picking up Arizona and Nevada.
Lol mkay.
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America needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1810 on: October 05, 2018, 08:49:40 PM »

At this point, I am switching my 2018 intent in the Senate race from voting for some dumb write in to voting for Ben Cardin. I still despise Ben Cardin but Republicans literally mishandled the Kavanaugh situation that terribly.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #1811 on: October 05, 2018, 08:57:57 PM »

I have now shifted my Senate prediction from D+02 to D+03, with Democrats now gaining Texas. As before, Democrats are holding all of their seats, and picking up Arizona and Nevada.
Lol mkay.

That's not how m'kay works, m'kay?
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #1812 on: October 06, 2018, 01:37:50 AM »

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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1813 on: October 07, 2018, 09:21:09 PM »

OJEDA!

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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #1814 on: October 08, 2018, 09:28:39 AM »

https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/rosen-raises-more-than-7-million-for-nevada-senate-race

Rosen raises $7.1M in Q3, $2.6M COH
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #1815 on: October 08, 2018, 10:21:55 AM »

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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #1816 on: October 08, 2018, 10:27:06 AM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #1817 on: October 08, 2018, 11:56:17 AM »

Another over $2 million fundraiser

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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1818 on: October 08, 2018, 03:46:08 PM »

Big debate between Cam Cavasso and Ed Case if anyone else wants to watch.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PsdAQwdPn98
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1819 on: October 08, 2018, 04:26:42 PM »

A few new $ numbers I hadn't found yet on this thread, all of them Democrats:

Senator Baldwin (D-WI) raised $6m, with $5m in the bank.

AZ-08: Hiral Tipirneni raised $916k in Q3, has $416k on hand.

NY-27: Nate McMurray raised $475k in Q3.
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #1820 on: October 09, 2018, 12:25:52 AM »

Tilt D IN,FL,WVA and NV
Tossup TX,ND,MO, AZ, MS
Tilt R TN

538 just moved the chances of the GOP retaining control of the Senate from 7 in 9 to 4 in 5.

It lists Texas and Mississippi as likely R, North Dakota and Tennessee as lean R, and Florida, Nevada, and Missouri as toss ups.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1821 on: October 09, 2018, 12:31:20 AM »

Tilt D IN,FL,WVA and NV
Tossup TX,ND,MO, AZ, MS
Tilt R TN

538 just moved the chances of the GOP retaining control of the Senate from 7 in 9 to 4 in 5.

It lists Texas and Mississippi as likely R, North Dakota and Tennessee as lean R, and Florida, Nevada, and Missouri as toss ups.

Dude, you are beating the dead horse, everyone who is still not in denial knows that the GOP is going to hold the senate, and also WV should be at tossup/tilt R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1822 on: October 09, 2018, 12:36:02 AM »

Tilt D IN,FL,WVA and NV
Tossup TX,ND,MO, AZ, MS
Tilt R TN

538 just moved the chances of the GOP retaining control of the Senate from 7 in 9 to 4 in 5.

It lists Texas and Mississippi as likely R, North Dakota and Tennessee as lean R, and Florida, Nevada, and Missouri as toss ups.


Who cares what they think, holding small leads in TN and TX at best aren't long lasting, either. Average of GOP leads in both are 5, well within margin of error
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Arkansas Yankee
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« Reply #1823 on: October 09, 2018, 12:38:19 AM »

Tilt D IN,FL,WVA and NV
Tossup TX,ND,MO, AZ, MS
Tilt R TN

538 just moved the chances of the GOP retaining control of the Senate from 7 in 9 to 4 in 5.

It lists Texas and Mississippi as likely R, North Dakota and Tennessee as lean R, and Florida, Nevada, and Missouri as toss ups.


Who cares what they think, holding small leads in TN and TX at best aren't long lasting, either. Average of GOP leads in both are 5, well within margin of error

The folks at 538 are certainly not right wingers.
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smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1824 on: October 09, 2018, 03:29:58 AM »
« Edited: October 09, 2018, 07:40:19 AM by Brittain33 »

Tilt D IN,FL,WVA and NV
Tossup TX,ND,MO, AZ, MS
Tilt R TN

538 just moved the chances of the GOP retaining control of the Senate from 7 in 9 to 4 in 5.

It lists Texas and Mississippi as likely R, North Dakota and Tennessee as lean R, and Florida, Nevada, and Missouri as toss ups.


Who cares what they think, holding small leads in TN and TX at best aren't long lasting, either. Average of GOP leads in both are 5, well within margin of error

The folks at 538 are certainly not right wingers.

Absolutely. But, for some of the Atlas posters they are. For some even Stalin will be "too moderate", probably)))))

Stalin was half-Jewish?
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