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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  PA-SEN PPP: Casey +18
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Author Topic: PA-SEN PPP: Casey +18  (Read 1935 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: March 21, 2018, 09:38:19 am »
« edited: March 21, 2018, 10:21:12 am by TheRocketRaccoon »

https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/PPP-Battleground-Health-Care-Memo.pdf

Casey 54
Barletta 36

Generic D 53
Generic R 41

Trump approval 42/53
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #1 on: March 21, 2018, 09:45:54 am »

It speaks volumes that this is the only race that isn't competitive in the latest batch of polls. Barletta is a terrible candidate especially for 2018.
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Make PA Blue Again!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #2 on: March 21, 2018, 09:48:59 am »
« Edited: March 21, 2018, 09:52:27 am by PittsburghSteel »

Barletta is a sh**tty candidate. Bob is going to win by a larger margin than 2012.

Safe D
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2018, 09:51:22 am »

Likely D, but inching closer and closer to Safe D. Probably the least likely Trump state seat to flip.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2018, 10:00:30 am »

Casey is getting 16% of Trump voters to only 3% of Clinton voters going to Barletta.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2018, 10:55:43 am »

Casey was never going to lose, though Iíd be surprised if he won by this much.
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2018, 11:48:17 am »

Man we don't really talk about this but between this race, the new map, the state GOP trying to impeach the judges, Lamb winning and now running in a even better seat, and Costello possibly retiring (despite filing for reelection), this November could be a flat out bloodbath for the GOP here
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2018, 12:14:41 pm »

I'd be surprised if Casey didn't win by double digits.
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Ses
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« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2018, 12:19:26 pm »

I saw "Casey +1..." and almost had a heart attack.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2018, 12:49:30 pm »

If Casey wins by this much, it will be a very ominous sign for Trumpís chances of holding PA in 2020. Pretty sure it flips before WI, and if he loses PA/MI/one of WI/FL/AZ, heíll be gone.

Maybe, but midterms donít always tell us much about what will happen in two years. Democrats might have a great year in Pennsylvania this year, but they still shouldnít get cocky and assume the state is safe again in 2020.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2018, 12:50:49 pm »

Likely D, but inching closer and closer to Safe D. Probably the least likely Trump state seat to flip.
Honestly I believe it is between PA and MI the least likely Trump state seat to flip.
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Pollster
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« Reply #11 on: March 21, 2018, 02:45:52 pm »

If Casey wins by this margin (I think it will be closer, but probably still double-digits), how many districts does he carry under the new map?
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#Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #12 on: March 21, 2018, 08:53:25 pm »

If Casey wins by this margin (I think it will be closer, but probably still double-digits), how many districts does he carry under the new map?
only 11 are Not safe R, but assuming he wins all those, I could see him winning PA-14 and PA-12(ancestrally dem, a lot like Holden's old seat.)
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Holmes
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« Reply #13 on: March 21, 2018, 09:32:55 pm »

3% of Clinton voters going to Barletta.

Who are these people? Ultra rich suburbanites in SE PA?
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #14 on: March 22, 2018, 03:22:42 am »

3% of Clinton voters going to Barletta.

Who are these people? Ultra rich suburbanites in SE PA?

WWC in his district who voted Clinton for president but him for congressman?
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PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #15 on: March 22, 2018, 07:36:36 am »

When will the PPP polls be added to the database?
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Don Vito Corleone
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« Reply #16 on: March 23, 2018, 12:54:12 pm »

Remember when Republicans said Barletta was a great candidate?
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #17 on: March 23, 2018, 01:07:48 pm »

Wolf/Casey/Lamb 2018
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