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  Talk Elections
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  NV-PPP: Rosen +5
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Author Topic: NV-PPP: Rosen +5  (Read 1631 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: March 20, 2018, 11:19:55 pm »

Jacky Rosen - 44%
Dean Heller - 39%

Poll was paid for by pro-Affordable Care Act advocacy group Protect Our Care.

https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/new-poll-finds-health-care-is-a-key-issue-for-nevada-voters-low-approval-ratings-for-trump-heller
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2018, 11:25:33 pm »

Looks about right.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2018, 11:55:40 pm »

Heller approval at 28/52 lol
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: March 21, 2018, 12:41:24 am »

Junk poll! Unbeatable moderate titan Dean Heller (who won in a Democratice wave year 2012 with Obama on the ballot!!!) will win by at least 5% in Republican-leaning-definitely-not-trending-Democratic-permanent-swing-state NV!
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Free Bird
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« Reply #4 on: March 21, 2018, 02:54:00 am »


Honestly if itís paid for by a pro-Obamacare group, then this honestly isnít too bad a standing for Heller. I still think he loses, but if this is anything to go by, heís not getting Blanched like Atlas has been proclaiming
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: March 21, 2018, 06:12:35 am »


Honestly if itís paid for by a pro-Obamacare group, then this honestly isnít too bad a standing for Heller. I still think he loses, but if this is anything to go by, heís not getting Blanched like Atlas has been proclaiming

LOL
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Unpolled Amash Voter for Trump
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« Reply #6 on: March 21, 2018, 07:59:33 am »


Honestly if itís paid for by a pro-Obamacare group, then this honestly isnít too bad a standing for Heller. I still think he loses, but if this is anything to go by, heís not getting Blanched like Atlas has been proclaiming

Trump's approval is 45-51 in this poll, much higher than his averages in other polls in Nevada (42-53 in Gallup). This is not a push poll by any means, lol.
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Unpolled Amash Voter for Trump
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« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2018, 08:05:26 am »


Honestly if itís paid for by a pro-Obamacare group, then this honestly isnít too bad a standing for Heller. I still think he loses, but if this is anything to go by, heís not getting Blanched like Atlas has been proclaiming

Trump's approval is 45-51 in this poll, much higher than his averages in other polls in Nevada (42-53 in Gallup). This is not a push poll by any means, lol.

That's why I'm not discounting this or the Tennessee poll just because the source. Trump's approvals in those states in these polls are higher than other polls have shown them to be.

Yeah... people forget that PPP has literally always had Trump above 40% approval rating (even during terrible periods like December and September), even as other pollsters found Trump at 35% or lower.

Their results in house races in Clinton-Republican California also show super close races. They have not been D biased whatsoever this polling period, lol.

Like, this pollster even had a 37% favorable rating for Trump in f'ing Illinois of all states....
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2018, 12:39:53 pm »

Heller isn't winning this.
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OneJ
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2018, 12:48:22 pm »


Honestly if itís paid for by a pro-Obamacare group, then this honestly isnít too bad a standing for Heller. I still think he loses, but if this is anything to go by, heís not getting Blanched like Atlas has been proclaiming

You do realize that even though this pollster supports things opposite of you, it actually has a very slight Republican bias, but of course like usual people like you immediately dismiss PPP.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2018, 02:55:17 pm »

Lean Democratic. I predict that Rosen will just win with about five percentage points. About 49-44%.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #11 on: March 21, 2018, 05:24:02 pm »


Honestly if itís paid for by a pro-Obamacare group, then this honestly isnít too bad a standing for Heller. I still think he loses, but if this is anything to go by, heís not getting Blanched like Atlas has been proclaiming

You do realize that even though this pollster supports things opposite of you, it actually has a very slight Republican bias, but of course like usual people like you immediately dismiss PPP.

And people like you take it as gospel
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YE
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« Reply #12 on: March 21, 2018, 05:30:18 pm »

PPP is a reputable pollster. It being done by a pro-Obamacare group doesn't mean they're lying.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #13 on: March 21, 2018, 05:33:27 pm »

PPP is a reputable pollster. It being done by a pro-Obamacare group doesn't mean they're lying.

If they were so reputable, they wouldn't be marked as a partisan group by RCP. There are better groups with better track records, but I have been here long enough to know that Atlas worships the ground that PPP walks on because it gives a result they like.
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Father of Three
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« Reply #14 on: March 21, 2018, 05:34:57 pm »

PPP is a reputable pollster. It being done by a pro-Obamacare group doesn't mean they're lying.

If they were so reputable, they wouldn't be marked as a partisan group by RCP. There are better groups with better track records, but I have been here long enough to know that Atlas worships the ground that PPP walks on because it gives a result they like.

RCP is also a partisan group, by the way.
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InheritTheWind
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« Reply #15 on: March 21, 2018, 06:14:28 pm »

PPP is a reputable pollster. It being done by a pro-Obamacare group doesn't mean they're lying.

If they were so reputable, they wouldn't be marked as a partisan group by RCP. There are better groups with better track records, but I have been here long enough to know that Atlas worships the ground that PPP walks on because it gives a result they like.

RCP is also a partisan group, by the way.
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OneJ
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« Reply #16 on: March 21, 2018, 06:16:26 pm »


Honestly if itís paid for by a pro-Obamacare group, then this honestly isnít too bad a standing for Heller. I still think he loses, but if this is anything to go by, heís not getting Blanched like Atlas has been proclaiming

You do realize that even though this pollster supports things opposite of you, it actually has a very slight Republican bias, but of course like usual people like you immediately dismiss PPP.

And people like you take it as gospel

I never said that PPP was the gold standard or pretended that it was on this forum (the only time I did that was when Quinnipiac nailed VA-Gov and I did it as a joke). If you agree that Heller loses and I'm pretty confident that he will at this point then why are you getting so worked up over what the pollster is affiliated with? Tongue

By the way, I sorta wish they would show crosstabs by region too.
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Southern Motherf***in' Catholic Republicans
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« Reply #17 on: March 22, 2018, 12:52:12 pm »

PPP is a reputable pollster. It being done by a pro-Obamacare group doesn't mean they're lying.

If they were so reputable, they wouldn't be marked as a partisan group by RCP. There are better groups with better track records, but I have been here long enough to know that Atlas worships the ground that PPP walks on because it gives a result they like.

RCP is also a partisan group, by the way.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: March 22, 2018, 12:55:46 pm »

PPP has had a right leaning house effect all cycle.
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NevadanAtHeart
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« Reply #19 on: March 23, 2018, 06:41:19 am »

Really, Rosen just needs to park her campaign in Washoe County and that'll seal the deal. I can't imagine her winning Clark by anything less than double digits in this environment.

This is generally the right strategy - Nevadan pols have this weird tendency to ignore anything north of the Moapa Valley-Indian Springs line. But I also think that the lack of a particularly strong or well-positioned/funded candidate in her old CD3, the continuing incumbency of Dina Titus, and maybe even the controversy in CD4 might lead to lower-than-usual turnout in Clark. Of course, this'll probably be beyond washed out by the national Trump effect + the local Heller effect, but it's something to consider.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #20 on: March 23, 2018, 11:26:39 am »

51-49 Rosen
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