day 25: missouri

[Smash255]

What is it about Roy Blunt's district, in the Southwest of MO, that makes it so heavily GOP, much more so than the other rural areas of the state? I know the Branson/Country Music thing is there but that doesn't seem to be an answer, since Nashville votes Democrat.

Is Northern Missouri (rural) like Iowa or more conservative like Kansas and Arkansas, in cultural terms?

If the St. Louis county suburbs became Democrat eventually the same thing will happen with St. Charles County.  k,

Nashville has a more diverse & heavier minority population.  Nashville is about 66% white 27% black, Branson is 94% white, less than 1% black, Taney County Mo (county Branson is located in) is more than 96% white, .35% black.  The vast majortiy of the surrounding counties has a black population of 1% or less, and vast majority  also have a white population between 95-97% (or higher in some cases)

[opebo]

What is it about Roy Blunt's district, in the Southwest of MO, that makes it so heavily GOP, much more so than the other rural areas of the state? I know the Branson/Country Music thing is there but that doesn't seem to be an answer, since Nashville votes Democrat.

The area is heavily infested with religious.

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More like Kansas.  In any case there is hardly anyone there, and the few remaining are dwindling rapidly.

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Though this is inevitable, it may be a long slow process - St. Charles county was 'built out' in the 1980's through the 1990's, and is still not quite full.  Jefferson County has been developing at a slower pace during those decades, but since 2000 has been the location of huge numbers of new subdivisions (though I wonder how $3.00/gallon gas is effecting all those crazed commuters).  Both these counties are still a long way from the maturity of the many very old suburbs of St. Louis County, most of which was developed from the 1920's through the 1970's.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What is it about Roy Blunt's district, in the Southwest of MO, that makes it so heavily GOP, much more so than the other rural areas of the state? I know the Branson/Country Music thing is there but that doesn't seem to be an answer, since Nashville votes Democrat.

Know what the Civil War was?

It's in the Ozarks. Have a look at NW Arkansas as well.

[minionofmidas]

What is it about Roy Blunt's district, in the Southwest of MO, that makes it so heavily GOP, much more so than the other rural areas of the state? I know the Branson/Country Music thing is there but that doesn't seem to be an answer, since Nashville votes Democrat.

Know what the Civil War was?

It's in the Ozarks. Have a look at NW Arkansas as well.

Anyways, Branson is nowhere near as large as Springfield ... Branson isn't really a major place at all, to tell you the truth.

[minionofmidas]

This map:



And a result of only 53-46.

Goes to show how in play Missouri could be if we stopped sucking in rural areas.

Or suburbs. 

A shift of a few percent in just St. Louis county (not City), St. Charles, and Jefferson counties could tip the state.  Most of the dark blue stuff you see there has more cattle and hogs than people.

That's fairly common for rural areas, actually, even if their population density isn't that low.

Ahem...anyways. Any explanation for that deep blue north-to-south line from the center of the state to the arkansas line?

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Most of that is Civil War voting patterns. Not all though.

[memphis]

What is it about Roy Blunt's district, in the Southwest of MO, that makes it so heavily GOP, much more so than the other rural areas of the state? I know the Branson/Country Music thing is there but that doesn't seem to be an answer, since Nashville votes Democrat.

Nashville votes Democrat because it is a decent-sized city and the Republicans have fled to outlying counties (Williamson, Rutherford, Sumner, Wilson). The Nashville area is Republican. Fortunately for the Dems, House seats are gerrymandered so that this fact is not reflected. Republicans received the majority of votes for House statewide but Dems have 5 seats and Reps only have 4.

[OSR stands with Israel]

This map:



And a result of only 53-46.

Goes to show how in play Missouri could be if we stopped sucking in rural areas.

The county map wasnt actually that different in 2004 than it was in 2016 and 2020 but shows you how much the margin the GOP wins rural areas by is huge in Missouri