Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22

[VPH]

I'm bummed out that Baxter and Scheinberg lost. Two good candidates went down to far weaker candidates.

[136or142]

Overall, it's not that bad. Braun winning sucks, but it was expected. Blankenship winning would've been the dream scenario, but Manchin is favoured against Morrisey I would say.

And the GOP practically handing us NC-09 by nominating a right-wing religious extremist tops it off

This is almost as sure a thing as President Hillary Clinton's win over Donald Trump.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Since I’m on mobile and can’t see the map, can anyone please tell me if Manchin is losing any counties?

He is not, closest appears to be Mingo, 55.4-44.6

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Overall, it's not that bad. Braun winning sucks, but it was expected. Blankenship winning would've been the dream scenario, but Manchin is favoured against Morrisey I would say.

And the GOP practically handing us NC-09 by nominating a right-wing religious extremist tops it off

This is almost as sure a thing as President Hillary Clinton's win over Donald Trump.

Different environment, different candidates. Your point?

[Doimper]

Since I’m on mobile and can’t see the map, can anyone please tell me if Manchin is losing any counties?

Manchin's worst county in Monongalia, which he's winning 55-44.

[136or142]

Overall, it's not that bad. Braun winning sucks, but it was expected. Blankenship winning would've been the dream scenario, but Manchin is favoured against Morrisey I would say.

And the GOP practically handing us NC-09 by nominating a right-wing religious extremist tops it off

This is almost as sure a thing as President Hillary Clinton's win over Donald Trump.

Different environment, different candidates. Your point?

Don't assume any race is a sure thing.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Does Talley Sergent have a serious shot against Alex Mooney in the general?

No.

[GeorgiaModerate]

206/210 precincts

Harris 17,036 48.51%
Pittenger 16,238 46.24%

Harris's lead is actually widening a bit.

[Nyvin]

206/210 precincts

Harris 17,036 48.51%
Pittenger 16,238 46.24%

Harris's lead is actually widening a bit.

Yeah, that's over, Pittenger lost.

[IceSpear]

I find it hilarious that Swearengin's two best counties are the ones that gave Hillary her highest percentage of the vote (Monongalia) and her lowest percentage of the vote (Mingo). What a coalition! lol

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Finishing up NC:

District 5
Democratic Primary

Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
53.9%   DD Adams   12,867   
46.1%   Jenny Marshall   11,006   
86.7% of precincts reporting (228/263)
23,873 total votes

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

I find it hilarious that Swearengin's two best counties are the ones that gave Hillary her highest percentage of the vote (Monongalia) and her lowest percentage of the vote (Mingo). What a coalition! lol

Mingo was not her lowest.

Grant was.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I know you guys warned against using raw vote total in the primaries to predict the general, but NC-09 has an extremist on the GOP side now, and almost 10K more Dems voted in the primary than Reps.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Seems like Kucinich won 0 Counties.

[Skill and Chance]

I find it hilarious that Swearengin's two best counties are the ones that gave Hillary her highest percentage of the vote (Monongalia) and her lowest percentage of the vote (Mingo). What a coalition! lol

Not really surprising.  Bernie's 2016 base was college towns + conservadems.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

How would you all personally rate NC-09 now? Tilt D?

[Sestak]

I'm probably still going to move WV to lean D; I had assumed Jenkins would be the nominee.

[Gass3268]

I know you guys warned against using raw vote total in the primaries to predict the general, but NC-09 has an extremist on the GOP side now, and almost 10K more Dems voted in the primary than Reps.

This is nuts!

[Sestak]

How would you all personally rate NC-09 now? Tilt D?

Lean R (or maybe even Likely) -> Tossup

[ON Progressive]

How would you all personally rate NC-09 now? Tilt D?

Lean D.

[TarHeelDem]

Yeah, NC-09 should probably be considered Lean (or at least Tilt) D now. The state party should use this opportunity to expand the map a bit. Lots of energy on the Left across NC right now.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Don't know much about Mark Harris. What has he done that makes him such a poor candidate?

[Skill and Chance]

I know you guys warned against using raw vote total in the primaries to predict the general, but NC-09 has an extremist on the GOP side now, and almost 10K more Dems voted in the primary than Reps.

I'm willing to consider McCready the favorite.

This.  But Dems will make at least one own goal in CA top two, so they need some GOP flops like this to cancel it out.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Looks like Ohio and Indiana are unmitigated disasters for the Dems based on the turnout numbers, especially with Indiana practically ensuring Donnelly is a 1-termer.  

[Gass3268]

Weird to see Manchin do so poorly in Mingo, but still clearing 70% in almost all of the other coal counties.

What makes Mingo different?