VA-Wason Center: unsettled Republican primary, Kaine leads Rs by 20+ points

[ON Progressive]

Safe D, but rain in NOVA could make this Likely R.

[ON Progressive]

I think Kaine improves virtually everywhere and stomps his opponents by 10-15 points, but I think if Stewart is the GOP nominee, he will either narrowly win Prince William or keep it very close.

If a GOPer is keeping it close in Prince William, they aren't getting blown out by double digits.

[ON Progressive]

I mean its his home county where he is head supervisor, and has shown great prowess in elections there. That is why I think even though he would get stomped by Kaine by around 13 points ish, I still think he would make Prince William an anomaly/buck the trend, and either win it, or keep it very close here.

You realize those were elections where 10% of voters voted when Obama was in the White House, no? You can’t be this ignorant, can you?

If even Ed Gillespie 2014 couldn't win PW County when he was a pretty good fit for NoVA as far as Republicans go, someone like Corey Stewart just isn't. The state is bluer than it was in 2014, and the turnout won't be in the GOPs favor like 2014. Not only that, but Stewart is just about as bad a fit for NoVA as anyone could be.

He won't just lose PW County against Kaine, he'll lose it by at best, 25 points.