CT-TPA LLC: Generic Republican leads Generic Democrat by 13 points.

[choclatechip45]

I don’t think that a gubernatorial race in a state that has an astonishingly unpopular Democrat Governor and a history of Republican success in statewide races is even close to a bellwether for the national environment. Remember, Jodi Rell won re-election 63-36 in 2006.

Rell was also able to run on the fact she governed as a moderate. Most of these republican candidates are running on a trump platform.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Only Corporate Democrats could lose to Republicans in Connecticut by this margin.

[Meatball Ron]

Dan Drew is a nobody, whereas Republicans have several well-known/well-liked candidates. Gun to my head, Mark Boughton is the next Governor of CT, but the race still isn't fully formed and there has been no good polling.

Bysiewicz or Bronin would probably be the Dems' best bet here (Wyman is old/uninterested, Jepsen is an idiot, and none of the Congressmen/women are leaving their seats anytime soon unless it's to fully retire). Though I could see why Bysiewicz might be a little gun shy after getting trounced by Murphy in 2012. Bronin isn't well-known but has a more compelling narrative/is more likable than Dan Drew.

It wouldn't be all that surprising to see Dems pick up like 6-8 governorships but lose all in New England except Maine...

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Only Corporate Democrats could lose to Republicans in Connecticut by this margin.

Suuuuure.

[The Other Castro]

Dan Drew is a nobody, whereas Republicans have several well-known/well-liked candidates. Gun to my head, Mark Boughton is the next Governor of CT, but the race still isn't fully formed and there has been no good polling.

Bysiewicz or Bronin would probably be the Dems' best bet here (Wyman is old/uninterested, Jepsen is an idiot, and none of the Congressmen/women are leaving their seats anytime soon unless it's to fully retire). Though I could see why Bysiewicz might be a little gun shy after getting trounced by Murphy in 2012. Bronin isn't well-known but has a more compelling narrative/is more likable than Dan Drew.

It wouldn't be all that surprising to see Dems pick up like 6-8 governorships but lose all in New England except Maine...

Nobody likes Bysiewicz. If she is the nominee, I do not like Democrats' odds. She was a good candidate for State Senate, but now she's going to throw it away on some misplaced idea that she can win the primary. Bronin wouldn't be my first pick, but he may be the best remaining Democratic candidate left.

[Free Bird]

Like I said, each state has different circumstances. Helps that Tom "it's your fault" Foley isn't running again.

[RINO Tom]

Dan Malloy gets a ton of undeserved dislike.

He is a good person with excellent job performance.

The dislike for him is just irrational people who have no idea of how taxes work.

Oh, I think the people of CT have a VERY good idea of how taxes work.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

And Charlie Crist was leading Rick Scott by double digits at this point!

[Xing]

Dang, guess I need to retract my endorsement of Generic Democrat.

I doubt a Republican would win by this much, but I stand by my belief that this is the most likely pick-up for Republicans. Malloy's unpopularity will weigh down the Democrats, and some states do buck national trends (Democrats almost won Kansas in a "red wave" year), so it's quite plausible that Republicans could pick up CT while getting beaten badly in many other races.

[MAINEiac4434]

Dang, guess I need to retract my endorsement of Generic Democrat.

I doubt a Republican would win by this much, but I stand by my belief that this is the most likely pick-up for Republicans. Malloy's unpopularity will weigh down the Democrats, and some states do buck national trends (Democrats almost won Kansas in a "red wave" year), so it's quite plausible that Republicans could pick up CT while getting beaten badly in many other races.

See also: Lingle, Linda; Schwarzenegger, Arnold; Wolf, Tom.

[FairBol]

So the GOP has a small edge in CT? I'm happy with that news.  Every other poll I've seen rates CT as a toss-up....but if the Republicans can pull it off, this state MAY actually get on the road to recovery.  BTW, just was looking at Malloy's approval numbers as of the last major poll (Quinnipiac University).  His last approval rating (that I can find) was TWENTY-FOUR PERCENT.  Among Republicans, that number falls to just eight percent (ya think?).  On the state economy, only twenty-eight percent of respondents are satisfied with it....I'm shocked that number is so high, LOL. 

[FairBol]

Dang, guess I need to retract my endorsement of Generic Democrat.

I doubt a Republican would win by this much, but I stand by my belief that this is the most likely pick-up for Republicans. Malloy's unpopularity will weigh down the Democrats, and some states do buck national trends (Democrats almost won Kansas in a "red wave" year), so it's quite plausible that Republicans could pick up CT while getting beaten badly in many other races.

If the GOP can't win here, then it doesn't deserve to win.  And if the governor's mansion goes Dem again, I will have no choice but to move out of Connecticut, the state I've called home for thirty plus years.  I just can't take it anymore. 

[NewYorkExpress]

Dan Drew is a nobody, whereas Republicans have several well-known/well-liked candidates. Gun to my head, Mark Boughton is the next Governor of CT, but the race still isn't fully formed and there has been no good polling.

Bysiewicz or Bronin would probably be the Dems' best bet here (Wyman is old/uninterested, Jepsen is an idiot, and none of the Congressmen/women are leaving their seats anytime soon unless it's to fully retire). Though I could see why Bysiewicz might be a little gun shy after getting trounced by Murphy in 2012. Bronin isn't well-known but has a more compelling narrative/is more likable than Dan Drew.

It wouldn't be all that surprising to see Dems pick up like 6-8 governorships but lose all in New England except Maine...

If Olympia Snowe came out of retirement...Maine could be a GOP hold too.

[Former Kentuckian]

I was unfamiliar with Susan Bysiewicz but reading her Wikipedia, she sounds like she'd be a disastrous nominee. Her career has been riddled with controversy

[Young Conservative]

Tbh this is history repeating and is evidence of a blue wave (in a weird way). Blue wave 2006--->CT Republican governor wins in a landslide.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Atlas needs to get its heads out of the sand: Republican governors are going to be doing fantastic across New England. Kim Guadagno should have lost by more than 14% given Chris Christies 20% approval and Trumps 35% approval.

Clearly new england enjoys moderate republican governors.

[Senator Incitatus]

Atlas needs to get its heads out of the sand: Republican governors are going to be doing fantastic across New England. Kim Guadagno should have lost by more than 14% given Chris Christies 20% approval and Trumps 35% approval.

Clearly new england enjoys moderate republican governors.

I agree except that New Jersey isn't in New England.

[MT Treasurer]

Can we please not call this race for the GOP based on one junk poll conducted 11 months before the actual election?

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

It's plausible that Maine will be the only New England state with a Democratic governor after 2018, making for a map that's the perfect reverse of pre-2014. I don't think it's going to happen, but it's an amusing possibility.

Ironically, this is also what happened after 2002, but I really doubt Republicans will sweep CT, RI and NH this year.

Especially not TITANIUM D New Hampshire.