NH-UNH: Sununu ahead, tons of undecideds
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  NH-UNH: Sununu ahead, tons of undecideds
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Author Topic: NH-UNH: Sununu ahead, tons of undecideds  (Read 807 times)
Skye
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« on: February 14, 2018, 07:55:40 AM »

Sununu: 41
Van Ostern: 31

Sununu: 41
Marchand: 29

Sununu: 42
Marchand: 28

Sununu Approval:
Approve 61
Disapprove 17

https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2018_winter_govapp21318.pdf
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Gallatine
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« Reply #1 on: February 14, 2018, 02:00:33 PM »

With that many undecideds this doesn't seem super useful. I'd probably chalk up the difference to name rec - all the Dems have DK + neutral at 80% or more. Having said that, this is lean R for now, Sununu's got fairly amazing popularity, but it has fluctuated over the last year.

Wee mistake there - 29% should be for Connolly.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #2 on: February 15, 2018, 10:39:45 AM »

Actually, this is a terrible poll for Sununu (not to mention the fact that this is a notoriously bad pollster). Despite his alleged “popularity”, he seems to be stuck at 41%, with most undecideds leaning Democratic. He’ll lose to Molly Kelly or any halfway competent Democratic candidate, and I doubt it will be particularly close either.

But obviously anyone who doesn’t believe this is Likely R is delusional or a troll.
oh no not this again
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crazy jimmie
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2018, 11:10:59 AM »

Actually, this is a terrible poll for Sununu (not to mention the fact that this is a notoriously bad pollster). Despite his alleged “popularity”, he seems to be stuck at 41%, with most undecideds leaning Democratic. He’ll lose to Molly Kelly or any halfway competent Democratic candidate, and I doubt it will be particularly close either.

But obviously anyone who doesn’t believe this is Likely R is delusional or a troll.
oh no not this again

This forum can not handle the truth about New Hampshire and Illinois. They will be both ironclad Democratic states for decades.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2018, 09:15:30 PM »

Obviously, NH, MD, OH , Iowa are Tilt R, Scott Walker is Dems prime target in Nov aside from picking up MI, IL, NM, NV, FL and perhaps AZ.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: February 21, 2018, 02:40:13 PM »

Polls with this many undecideds are worthless.

But it is interesting that despite a 61% approval rating he's stuck at 41-42%. Even if Sununu wins re-election, it's very possible he could be like Hassan in 2014, who was super popular and was expected to cruise to re-election, but the political environment got a some dude relatively close.
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Doimper
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« Reply #6 on: February 21, 2018, 02:43:53 PM »

Polls with this many undecideds are worthless.

But it is interesting that despite a 61% approval rating he's stuck at 41-42%. Even if Sununu wins re-election, it's very possible he could be like Hassan in 2014, who was super popular and was expected to cruise to re-election, but the political environment got a some dude relatively close.

Scott Brown's not a some dude, though an established New Hampshire GOP pol who wasn't obviously carpetbagging would've won that race.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: February 21, 2018, 02:45:40 PM »

Polls with this many undecideds are worthless.

But it is interesting that despite a 61% approval rating he's stuck at 41-42%. Even if Sununu wins re-election, it's very possible he could be like Hassan in 2014, who was super popular and was expected to cruise to re-election, but the political environment got a some dude relatively close.

Scott Brown's not a some dude, though an established New Hampshire GOP pol who wasn't obviously carpetbagging would've won that race.

Scott Brown ran against Shaheen, not Hassan...
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Doimper
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« Reply #8 on: February 21, 2018, 02:47:18 PM »

Polls with this many undecideds are worthless.

But it is interesting that despite a 61% approval rating he's stuck at 41-42%. Even if Sununu wins re-election, it's very possible he could be like Hassan in 2014, who was super popular and was expected to cruise to re-election, but the political environment got a some dude relatively close.

Scott Brown's not a some dude, though an established New Hampshire GOP pol who wasn't obviously carpetbagging would've won that race.

Scott Brown ran against Shaheen, not Hassan...

Whoops, got my angry women mixed up. My bad.
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