MT-WPA (Rosendale internal): Rosendale +16 in GOP primary

[Pollster]

Rosendale 28%
Downing 12%
Fagg 11%
Oszewski 5%
Murray 1%

Link

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Good news for Republicans. As I say in my ratings document, Rosendale is the only one who would make MT-SEN a Toss-Up. It's Likely D otherwise.

[Bidenworth2020]

Good news for Republicans. As I say in my ratings document, Rosendale is the only one who would make MT-SEN a Toss-Up. It's Likely D otherwise.

>a republican who only won by 7 when trump won by 20 could make a tossup

[MT Treasurer]

Good news for Republicans. As I say in my ratings document, Rosendale is the only one who would make MT-SEN a Toss-Up. It's Likely D otherwise.

>a republican who only won by 7 when trump won by 20 could make a tossup

I don’t necessarily agree with his analysis or everything else that’s going to be posted in this thread, but it really doesn’t work that way. MT is more Democratic-friendly down-ballot, he was outspent 4 to 1, Laslovich was a fairly strong candidate, Stapleton won by more and still wouldn’t be a stronger candidate, etc.

I believe the race is Tilt/Lean D right now, but I’m not buying that Rosendale is as “unelectable” as most people seem to think. He probably would have won in a Clinton midterm.

Also, it’s still early and there are way too many undecideds for this poll to tell us anything about what’s going to happen.