Polish Politics and Elections (user search)
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March 29, 2024, 10:44:37 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Author Topic: Polish Politics and Elections  (Read 104472 times)
Former President tack50
tack50
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« on: September 17, 2019, 04:44:09 PM »

How likely is Lewica to actually get past the threshold. After all last time they fell short.
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2019, 05:30:14 PM »

How likely is Lewica to actually get past the threshold. After all last time they fell short.

In my opinion pretty high. There is now no Nowoczesna or Razem to siphon their potential younger electorate (younger I mean people not being 50 or more years old) as Nowoczesna is pretty dead (although some of its members might get into parliament from PO lists) and Razem is now collaborating with SLD. I think 10% is safe, although polls are more generous. Still, I think that in the end some of the more liberal voters might end up voting PO "to stop PiS".

Wait I thought Poland had a "reversed" age gap? (With young people voting right and old people left)
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2019, 04:16:59 AM »

So PiS narrowly loses its majority and will depend on Korwin for support? On one hand good that they lost, but Korwin is even worse (other than for memes)
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #3 on: June 29, 2020, 11:40:51 AM »

My prediction for round 2 is Duda wins 52-48
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #4 on: June 30, 2020, 05:26:24 AM »


Looks like Poland is realigning in a way from the usual West vs East alignment to a more "traditional" rural areas vs urban areas alignment or is the map misleading in that way?

Tbf I do think Trzaskowski will win in the rural west in the runoff.
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Former President tack50
tack50
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Posts: 11,891
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« Reply #5 on: July 13, 2020, 04:46:30 AM »


I thought the Polish youth leaned conservative and the old people were more left wing and not the other way around?
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