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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  MI-Glengariff: Stabenow +20/21
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Author Topic: MI-Glengariff: Stabenow +20/21  (Read 1509 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: January 23, 2018, 07:54:23 PM »

https://www.scribd.com/document/369748990/January-Statewide-Survey

42-30 favorables with 91% job identification

Matchups:

Stabenow (D): 50
Pensler (R): 30

Stabenow (D): 51
James (R): 30

Whole lot of other goodies in that poll too.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #1 on: January 23, 2018, 09:06:20 PM »

No doubt shes up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: January 23, 2018, 09:08:39 PM »

No doubt shes up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.

Michigan has always been a really hard state to poll, at almost every level.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2018, 09:29:36 PM »

What about the wyoming red wall?
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Holmes
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« Reply #4 on: January 23, 2018, 09:41:38 PM »

Remember those "polls" showing Kid Rock beating Stabenow
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UWS
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« Reply #5 on: January 23, 2018, 10:00:29 PM »

No doubt shes up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.

Indeed, according to a new Morning Consult poll that shows the approval ratings of all the 100 senators, Stabenow only has a 44 % approval rating.

https://morningconsult.com/2018/01/23/senator-rankings-jan-2018/
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #6 on: January 23, 2018, 10:26:03 PM »

No doubt shes up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.

Indeed, according to a new Morning Consult poll that shows the approval ratings of all the 100 senators, Stabenow only has a 44 % approval rating.

https://morningconsult.com/2018/01/23/senator-rankings-jan-2018/

That actually matches her 42-30 approvals in this poll.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #7 on: January 24, 2018, 12:52:45 AM »

For such a spineless senator she does well. I guess it says more about the Republicans than anything else.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: January 24, 2018, 05:21:38 PM »

Remember when Atlas thought Kid Rock was inevitable? lol
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: January 29, 2018, 01:58:24 PM »

Stabenow wont lose, but the margin will still tell us a lot. If Republicans are losing here by 21 points, its unlikely that they can even hold the Senate. I think this poll is too D-friendly, though.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: January 29, 2018, 02:07:33 PM »

Stabenow wont lose, but the margin will still tell us a lot. If Republicans are losing here by 21 points, its unlikely that they can even hold the Senate. I think this poll is too D-friendly, though.

Not necessarily. Michigan wasn't exactly the best bellwether in 2014, lol.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: January 29, 2018, 02:51:34 PM »

Stabenow wont lose, but the margin will still tell us a lot. If Republicans are losing here by 21 points, its unlikely that they can even hold the Senate. I think this poll is too D-friendly, though.

Not necessarily. Michigan wasn't exactly the best bellwether in 2014, lol.

Neither was PA Tongue The Republican candidates this year seem to be stronger than Terri Lynn Land. If Democrats are winning a state like MI by 21 points, it means that lots of Trump voters are abandoning the GOP, and that doesnt bode well for Republicans in WV, MO, IN either.
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McGovernForPrez
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« Reply #12 on: January 30, 2018, 04:50:25 PM »

No doubt shes up by double digits, but this poll has some odd results with lots of undecideds. Safe D anyway, but I think this is a junk poll.

Indeed, according to a new Morning Consult poll that shows the approval ratings of all the 100 senators, Stabenow only has a 44 % approval rating.

https://morningconsult.com/2018/01/23/senator-rankings-jan-2018/
That's misleading. That morning consult poll has Stabenow +19 in approvals. She's just not super strongly recognize. This poll is actually highly in line with the morning consult results.
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Wolverine22
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« Reply #13 on: February 07, 2018, 02:38:18 PM »

Former MI Supreme Court Justice Bob Young has dropped out of the race citing financial concerns. This means the Republicans will nominate yet another unknown Republican candidate who Stabenow will likely run up 60% on. As I've said before, it amazes me that the Republicans who control everything else in this state haven't been able to find a credible candidate since 1994. They have quite the bench for governor, but they can't get a real candidate for Senate.

Abraham went down in 2000 pretty much because it was a good year for Senate Democrats. Since then, they've nominated two unknown right-wing bozos who both got crushed.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: February 12, 2018, 02:45:38 PM »

Former MI Supreme Court Justice Bob Young has dropped out of the race citing financial concerns. This means the Republicans will nominate yet another unknown Republican candidate who Stabenow will likely run up 60% on. As I've said before, it amazes me that the Republicans who control everything else in this state haven't been able to find a credible candidate since 1994. They have quite the bench for governor, but they can't get a real candidate for Senate.

Abraham went down in 2000 pretty much because it was a good year for Senate Democrats. Since then, they've nominated two unknown right-wing bozos who both got crushed.

They probably read the tea leaves and know governor is the better bet. In the alternate universe where Hillary wins Michigan by <1% and the presidency, my guess is a strong challenger would've jumped in.
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