Mitt Romney is only up by 45 despite the campaign not starting yet. Mitt Romney is currently riding high over left leaning voters thinking Mitt Romney is anything but a slime ball. Once the campaign starts, all the people who didn't vote for Trump will vote for a #resistance candidate (Trump only got 45.5% of the vote in Utah). Now add the fact that the #resistance will turn out more than Trumpists, and it's clear Wilson will win 57-43.
This is a much easier race for democrats than West Virgina or even North Dakota, where Trump got over 60% of the vote.
Are you drunk, or willfully blind? Even Republicans in Utah who hate Trump, love Romney.
You're underestimating how strong #TheResistance is.