Historic Alaska Presidential Results Megathread (user search)
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  Historic Alaska Presidential Results Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Historic Alaska Presidential Results Megathread  (Read 7427 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: January 27, 2018, 03:04:18 AM »


It has trended D in every election since 2004, and Trump underperformed there in 2016 (even though his opponent was an awful fit for the state). The state has also gotten a lot more competitive at the state level as well. I'll believe AK acutally trending back to Rs when I see it.

We don’t really know what’s driving the population growth in the Anchorage exurbs, but these areas don’t seem to have gotten a lot more R in recent years either. I certainly hope I’m wrong, though.

One thing I have noticed looking over the last five Presidential elections, the Democratic vote has not changed that much in raw numbers. In fact it has also declined since 2008, but only slightly.

The GOP number spiked in 2004 and again in 2008 for obvious reason, and has declined since but has remained stable at the same general number seen in 2000, 2012 and 2016.

   Donald J. Trump   Michael R. Pence   Republican   163,387   51.28%   3
   Hillary Clinton   Timothy Kaine   Democratic   116,454   36.55%   0

   Willard Mitt Romney   Paul Ryan   Republican   164,676   54.80%   3
   Barack H. Obama   Joseph R. Biden, Jr.   Democratic   122,640   40.81%   0

John S. McCain, III   Sarah Palin   Republican   193,841   59.42%   3
   Barack H. Obama   Joseph R. Biden, Jr.   Democratic   123,594   37.89%   0

George W. Bush   Richard Cheney   Republican   190,889   61.07%   3
   John Kerry   John Edwards   Democratic   111,025   35.52%   0

George W. Bush   Richard Cheney   Republican   167,398   58.62%   3
   Albert Gore Jr.   Joseph Lieberman   Democratic   79,004   27.67%   0
   Ralph Nader   Winona LaDuke   Green   28,747   10.07%   0

The Democrats have also lost votes in every election since 2008 in Alaska. In fact they have lost more votes than the Republicans have excluding the surge in 2004/2008
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,123
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2018, 07:48:31 PM »

Anchorage has been turning democratic on the down ballot though and it swung D doing 2016
Anchorage has reelected its democratic mayor and voted for Begich both times I am interested to know did Walker carry Anchorage in 2014? Alaska in the long long term like 2032 will become a battle ground state imo

I soured on this notion from looking at the numbers over the past few elections. When you account for the Palin effect and the unusually large turnout in 2004, Republicans have obtained about 165,000 votes in 2000, 2012 and 2016.

Meanwhile Democrats peaked in 2008 (buried under the Palin surge) and have lost votes ever since.
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