2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[Young Conservative]

Not sure if this has been posted here yet, WA-08 poll from GBA Strategies/House Majority Pac:

Rossi- 51%
Schrier- 45%

Rossi- 51%
Hader- 45%

Rossi- 52%
Rittereiser- 43%

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4492869-WA-8-Baseline-Survey-Analysis.html

Are these the numbers before or after candidate descriptions?

I would guess before. Rossi has the best name Rec.

[Predictor]

Not sure if this has been posted here yet, WA-08 poll from GBA Strategies/House Majority Pac:

Rossi- 51%
Schrier- 45%

Rossi- 51%
Hader- 45%

Rossi- 52%
Rittereiser- 43%

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4492869-WA-8-Baseline-Survey-Analysis.html

Are these the numbers before or after candidate descriptions?

Would like to add that this poll is over a month old, but I just found it.

[Virginiá]

Are these the numbers before or after candidate descriptions?

Before.

After candidate info is given, Rittereiser ends up doing better and tying Rossi, while the others mostly suck, and one of them implodes (I forget which, I'm just going off what I read yesterday).

[Politician]

How much would you bet that if Grimm wins the primary, Trump's going to pardon him?

[Politician]

By the way, Tilt R, tossup if Grimm wins thw primary.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Rossi is a strong candidate and would be a good rep, just like Reichert was. He won't win by as much as he's polling now, but probably wins by about 2-3%.

[Maxwell]

Woof, do the Democrats have a decent candidate running here?

Max Rose is a very solid recruit.

[NewYorkExpress]

Woof, do the Democrats have a decent candidate running here?

Max Rose is a very solid recruit.

Let's be honest, Trump's approval would have to below 15% AND De Blasio/Cuomo's approval would have to be above 65% for Rose to win, even against Grimm.

[Brittain33]

Vito Fossella should join the primary, too.

[LimoLiberal]

Staten Island = worthless.

[NewYorkExpress]

Woof, do the Democrats have a decent candidate running here?

Max Rose is a very solid recruit.

Let's be honest, Trump's approval would have to below 15% AND De Blasio/Cuomo's approval would have to be above 65% for Rose to win, even against Grimm.

15%? LOL

Cuomo routinely carries Staten Island by double digits, so I fail to see how he’s a liability for Rose here.

Cuomo's no liability, but De Blasio is, and Trump would have to be a huge one for Rose to win.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Likely D.

[BBD]

Vito Fossella should join the primary, too.

HAHAHAHA.

[Devils30]

We'll see what happens, Cook mentioned that open seats where a President's party lost in the previous presidential election almost always flip. That said WA-8 is much more red locally.

[KingSweden]

Not sure if this has been posted here yet, WA-08 poll from GBA Strategies/House Majority Pac:

Rossi- 51%
Schrier- 45%

Rossi- 51%
Hader- 45%

Rossi- 52%
Rittereiser- 43%

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4492869-WA-8-Baseline-Survey-Analysis.html

And out there in the wild friends, you can faintly hear the high pitched scream of joy from a prepubescent boy all the way in the Seattle ‘burbs.

I think Greedo was from Clark, which is near Portland

[Bidenworth2020]

Not sure if this has been posted here yet, WA-08 poll from GBA Strategies/House Majority Pac:

Rossi- 51%
Schrier- 45%

Rossi- 51%
Hader- 45%

Rossi- 52%
Rittereiser- 43%

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/4492869-WA-8-Baseline-Survey-Analysis.html

And out there in the wild friends, you can faintly hear the high pitched scream of joy from a prepubescent boy all the way in the Seattle ‘burbs.

I think Greedo was from Clark, which is near Portland

he'll be back....

[Suburbia]

A new CBS News/NYT tracker poll conducted May 24-30, 2018 and released Sunday, June 3, 2018 shows that if the 2018 midterm election was held today, the Democrats would barely win control of the House, putting Nancy Pelosi back as Speaker, barely.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-battleground-tracker-the-house-is-a-toss-up/

What's happening? It's June 2018, are most Americans are tuning out for a couple of months to...
1) Baseball races/Sports/NBA Finals
2) World Cup
3) Personal and daily lives
4) Democrats' lackluster messaging, GOP only appealing to partisans
5) Neither party talking about real issues
6) Apathy/fatigue over wage stagnation, gas prices increase, racial tensions, no third party, gun crisis

In the poll, it shows:
-that 51% of Americans don't want to hear candidates talk about the Russia investigation.
-54% of Americans want to tune out politics over the past year
-44% of Americans like that Trump is upsetting media elites and establishment

77% of the participants in this poll were white Americans.
7% were black Americans.

Doesn't mean anything, white and black Americans want to hear more about what candidates will do.

[KingSweden]

I think Greedo was from Clark, which is near Portland

I could’ve sworn he said via discord he was from the suburbs in Seattle. Maybe I’m misremembering or he just likes to tell different stories.

I may be remembering wrong myself

[KingSweden]

Has been discussed in the generic poll thread

[Seattle]

I think Greedo was from Clark, which is near Portland

I could’ve sworn he said via discord he was from the suburbs in Seattle. Maybe I’m misremembering or he just likes to tell different stories.

I may be remembering wrong myself

I remember Clark too. I think his home LD is the 18th.

[Pollster]

Important to remember that while Staten Island gets most of the attention with regards to this district, around 30% of the voting population here lives in Brooklyn.

Max Rose is a strong recruit - a veteran, and lives on Staten Island (Dems running here often come from the Southern tip of Brooklyn). I may be mistaken, but I believe he also is Jewish, which is a strong constituency in this district as well.

[IceSpear]

I'm really not convinced the Deplorables on Staten Island won't elect the criminal again.

[Doimper]

I'm really not convinced the Deplorables on Staten Island won't elect the criminal again.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

People want their problems solved,  don't want to hear about shutdowns, either.

[Jeppe]

I think Greedo was from Clark, which is near Portland

I could’ve sworn he said via discord he was from the suburbs in Seattle. Maybe I’m misremembering or he just likes to tell different stories.

He’s definitely near Vancouver (in Washington state). He always complained about his congresswoman, Jaime Herrera Beutler, not being conservative enough for him.