2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[Cactus Jack]

It's clear the Democrats have a massive problem. Yougov went from D+6 to D+4 this week even as Trump's approval went down. Disastrous month.

If this is true, it’s going to be worse then I thought, by the way can you post the yougov poll?

yeah whoa you guys are so smart. the numbers going down means democrats wont do good, i cant belive that they dont see that? there so dumb that even TRUMP has insmarted them

The new gimmick was funny for about one post, Doc.

[forgotten manatee]

The shutdown was so shortlived and so inconsequential, I doubt it is going to have long-term ramifications for the Democrats.

[kph14]

Republicans are nearing extinction as a party as their collapse continues in a new Quinnipiac poll:

51% Democrats (+1)
38% Republicans (-1)

Source

I like that! We should stop trying to bring Limo and Lear to reason and just fight fire with fire!

[GeorgiaModerate]

It's clear the Democrats have a massive problem. Yougov went from D+6 to D+4 this week even as Trump's approval went down. Disastrous month.

If this is true, it’s going to be worse then I thought, by the way can you post the yougov poll?

yeah whoa you guys are so smart. the numbers going down means democrats wont do good, i cant belive that they dont see that? there so dumb that even TRUMP has insmarted them

The new gimmick was funny for about one post, Doc.

Geometric progression of humor (use a joke once, you're a wit; use it twice, it decreases by half).

[Virginiá]

The shutdown was so shortlived and so inconsequential, I doubt it is going to have long-term ramifications for the Democrats.

This was probably the case no matter who was blamed, unless it was maybe a weeks-long shutdown a month or two before the election, where it then would have factored heavily into campaign strategy.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Republicans are nearing extinction as a party as their collapse continues in a new Quinnipiac poll:

51% Democrats (+1)
38% Republicans (-1)

Source

Jesus christ, is any republican even going to be left after this? Total disaster for the GOP - imagine what happens in a recession.

Democrats surging as people realize how bad tax reform was.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

FOX

Dems: 44%
GOP: 38%


They had Trump's approval rating rebound. This is absolutely catastrophic for the GOP if the Democrats are leading by this much in a Fox poll.

[LimoLiberal]

FOX

Dems: 44%
GOP: 38%


They had Trump's approval rating rebound. This is absolutely catastrophic for the GOP if the Democrats are leading by this much in a Fox poll.

change from last poll

44 (-6)
38 (+3)

[Blackacre]

Yeah, Fox isn't an R-baised pollster. These findings aren't great for Dems, but they're not awful either.

[BudgieForce]

A +7 lead seems a safe bet right now.

[Young Conservative]

FOX

Dems: 44%
GOP: 38%


They had Trump's approval rating rebound. This is absolutely catastrophic for the GOP if the Democrats are leading by this much in a Fox poll.

Fox isn’t GOP biased. It’s a reliable pollster.

[Boss_Rahm]

FOX

Dems: 44%
GOP: 38%


They had Trump's approval rating rebound. This is absolutely catastrophic for the GOP if the Democrats are leading by this much in a Fox poll.

Fox isn’t GOP biased. It’s a reliable pollster.

[Young Conservative]

FOX

Dems: 44%
GOP: 38%


They had Trump's approval rating rebound. This is absolutely catastrophic for the GOP if the Democrats are leading by this much in a Fox poll.

Fox isn’t GOP biased. It’s a reliable pollster.

Their night TV is just talk radio on air now, but their polling remains accurate. Their news team isn't bad either (Smith/Wallace/Baier)

[junior chįmp]

Democracy Corps/Greenberg Poll: Democrats +11 on Generic Ballot

[Ronnie]

Quinnipiac:
Democrats 51
Republicans 38

[Mike Thick]

January seems to be a bit of a “choose your own adventure” month thus far

[smoltchanov]

January seems to be a bit of a “choose your own adventure” month thus far

IMHO - "choose a pollster you are comfortable with, and believe him only..."

[GeorgiaModerate]

January seems to be a bit of a “choose your own adventure” month thus far

There was also a wide variation in polls near the end of both VA-GOV and AL-SEN, although a lot of that was due to differing likely voter screens.  But most of the generic ballot polls are RV, so it wouldn't be as much of a factor.

[Gass3268]

January seems to be a bit of a “choose your own adventure” month thus far

There was also a wide variation in polls near the end of both VA-GOV and AL-SEN, although a lot of that was due to differing likely voter screens.  But most of the generic ballot polls are RV, so it wouldn't be as much of a factor.

I think Mourning Consult does a LV screen like Rassy, even this far out.

[KingSweden]

Quinnipiac:
Democrats 51
Republicans 38

DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

[Horus]

Quinnipiac:
Democrats 51
Republicans 38

I don't see how the Dems make gains with numbers like this.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2018/01/25/mia-love-has-a-small-lead-over-ben-mcadams-in-exceptionally-close-race-to-represent-utah-in-congress-new-poll-shows/

UT-4: Love 47, McAdams 42

[KingSweden]

Quinnipiac:
Democrats 51
Republicans 38

I don't see how the Dems make gains with numbers like this.

.....

[Dr. Arch]

Quinnipiac:
Democrats 51
Republicans 38

I don't see how the Dems make gains with numbers like this.

.....

[LimoLiberal]

https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2018/01/25/mia-love-has-a-small-lead-over-ben-mcadams-in-exceptionally-close-race-to-represent-utah-in-congress-new-poll-shows/

UT-4: Love 47, McAdams 42

I love that Trump approval number. 42-56. In a district he won 39-32-22.