PA-18 Special Election Prediction

[Badger]

I was waiting for the final Monmouth poll. At this point I'll say Lamb by 0 to 5 Points. On fact, I would say there is an ever so slightly higher chance of lamb exceeding a five point margin than there is of Saccone winning.

[Badger]

Can we kindly merge these two competing threads?

[Badger]

Can we kindly merge these two competing threads?

Right away, kind sir.

Thank you, oh queen of mods.

[Badger]

Breaking down the district by county predictions:

ALLEGHENY 47% of the vote - 56/44
WESTMORELAND 31% of the vote - 45/55
WASHINGTON 20% of the vote - 49/51
GREENE 2% of the vote - 43/56

Everyone seems to forget Greene was the closest to Obama 08 and is more ancestrally D. I can see it voting Lamb, but it will certainly match Washington if not exceed Lamb percent.

Or at least almost certainly his Westmoreland percentage.