PA-18 Special Election Prediction (user search)
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  PA-18 Special Election Prediction (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who will win the March special election in PA-18, and by how many points?
#1
Lamb by 5-10
 
#2
Lamb 0-5
 
#3
Saccone 0-5
 
#4
Saccone by 5-10
 
#5
Saccone by 10-20
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 138

Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election Prediction  (Read 11922 times)
Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,207


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW
« on: January 18, 2018, 10:05:47 PM »

Saccone + 9. I don't have much hope for this special election honestly, but I could be wrong like I was about Alabama.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,207


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW
« Reply #1 on: March 07, 2018, 08:10:25 PM »

Lamb + 2
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,207


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW
« Reply #2 on: March 12, 2018, 12:43:39 PM »

Lamb + 2
Logged
Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,207


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW
« Reply #3 on: March 12, 2018, 11:21:42 PM »
« Edited: March 13, 2018, 10:19:32 AM by DTC »

Breaking down the district by county predictions:

ALLEGHENY 47% of the vote - 56/44
WESTMORELAND 31% of the vote - 45/55
WASHINGTON 20% of the vote - 49/51
GREENE 2% of the vote - 45/54


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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,207


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.54

WWW
« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2018, 10:20:04 AM »

Breaking down the district by county predictions:

ALLEGHENY 47% of the vote - 56/44
WESTMORELAND 31% of the vote - 45/55
WASHINGTON 20% of the vote - 49/51
GREENE 2% of the vote - 43/56




Everyone seems to forget Greene was the closest to Obama 08 and is more ancestrally D. I can see it voting Lamb, but it will certainly match Washington if not exceed Lamb percent.

I did account for this by swinging Greene more towards Lamb than the other counties, but good point. I made it 45/54.
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