PA-18 Special Election Prediction

[Virginiá]

Don’t know nor do I particularly care. All I know is that Lamb is gonna beat Rothfus in the race that actually matters. Not some irrelevant R+11 seat that will be under new lines.

Yes but Democrats under-performed expectations in the Texas primaries so they are probably going to post a net loss of about 25 seats in the House.

[Virginiá]

Lamb + 4


Still, with reservations. I'd say Saccone but combined with recent polling, I do feel like the momentum is with Lamb now, which is not something Ossoff had (iirc).

I just hope Lamb wins, because if he doesn't, I can only imagine the dire predictions for Democrats that will inevitably be circulating among the punditocracy will be suffocating, regardless of the fact that this district isn't even one that Democrats would need to win in November to flip the House.

[Virginiá]

Can we kindly merge these two competing threads?

Right away, kind sir.