The GOP's suburbia problem

[Tekken_Guy]

Actually, the affluent and educated suburbs around St. Louis, like Ladue, Clayton, Wildwood, Ballwin, Town and Country, and Chesterfield all swung leftward. In the blue-collar areas like St. John, Hazelwood, and Overland is where Trump excelled relative to Romney or McCain. Most of the latter cities just happened to be closer to Ferguson than the former ones.

When will this great cultural divide drive you into the Democratic Party, do you think?

There's always an exception to the rule.

[Adam Griffin]

Here is some data that I just posted regarding the collapse of Republican support within the South Pittsburgh suburbs, that have generally been resistant towards the same types of massive swings towards the Democratic Party that we have seen elsewhere over the past 10+ years...

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=281457.msg6114284#msg6114284

There are obviously plenty of other Upper Middle Class Anglo suburban districts elsewhere within the Rust Belt, where this phenomenon might well accelerate in 2018 and 2020....

Obvious places to look out for it will be in the suburbs in Missouri, which were noticeably fluky in that they were some of the only big metro areas that didn't swing left. My guess is because of Ferguson, but we'll see!

I'm almost complete with a project (which I'll probably publish either here or on the demographics board) that basically breaks each state into two parts: "rural" and..."metro/not rural".

Anyway, of the 50 metro divisions, "MO-Metro" was the only one to vote Obama-Trump (along with WI-Rural, ME-Rural & CT-Rural).

[NOVA Green]

Here is some data that I just posted regarding the collapse of Republican support within the South Pittsburgh suburbs, that have generally been resistant towards the same types of massive swings towards the Democratic Party that we have seen elsewhere over the past 10+ years...

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=281457.msg6114284#msg6114284

There are obviously plenty of other Upper Middle Class Anglo suburban districts elsewhere within the Rust Belt, where this phenomenon might well accelerate in 2018 and 2020....

Obvious places to look out for it will be in the suburbs in Missouri, which were noticeably fluky in that they were some of the only big metro areas that didn't swing left. My guess is because of Ferguson, but we'll see!

I'm almost complete with a project (which I'll probably publish either here or on the demographics board) that basically breaks each state into two parts: "rural" and..."metro/not rural".

Anyway, of the 50 metro divisions, "MO-Metro" was the only one to vote Obama-Trump (along with WI-Rural, ME-Rural & CT-Rural).

Oooh.... looking forward to seeing this very much Fmr President, since I know how much work you put into your projects!!!!....   

[Adam Griffin]

Here is some data that I just posted regarding the collapse of Republican support within the South Pittsburgh suburbs, that have generally been resistant towards the same types of massive swings towards the Democratic Party that we have seen elsewhere over the past 10+ years...

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=281457.msg6114284#msg6114284

There are obviously plenty of other Upper Middle Class Anglo suburban districts elsewhere within the Rust Belt, where this phenomenon might well accelerate in 2018 and 2020....

Obvious places to look out for it will be in the suburbs in Missouri, which were noticeably fluky in that they were some of the only big metro areas that didn't swing left. My guess is because of Ferguson, but we'll see!

I'm almost complete with a project (which I'll probably publish either here or on the demographics board) that basically breaks each state into two parts: "rural" and..."metro/not rural".

Anyway, of the 50 metro divisions, "MO-Metro" was the only one to vote Obama-Trump (along with WI-Rural, ME-Rural & CT-Rural).

Oooh.... looking forward to seeing this very much Fmr President, since I know how much work you put into your projects!!!!....   

Thanks! I've posted it here.