MO-Remington Research (R): Hawley +4 (user search)
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  MO-Remington Research (R): Hawley +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-Remington Research (R): Hawley +4  (Read 5196 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: January 08, 2018, 03:18:52 PM »
Yep. McCaskill will come close, but there doesn't seem to be enough Democrats left in the state for her to win.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 08, 2018, 03:54:46 PM »
Quote from: Solid4096 on January 08, 2018, 03:41:57 PM
It is impossible to look at Castros analysis + this poll + the national environment and not conclude that this shows McCaskill as a clear favorite.

This poll performed well in the 2016 Senate Race ( https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=250717.0) and any poll with a positive Trump approval is bad for McCaskill. She's not doomed, but taking a poll showing her trailing as further justification for your Safe D rating  (which should mean she'll win even if everything that could possibly go wrong does) makes little sense.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: January 08, 2018, 11:32:18 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on January 08, 2018, 10:34:36 PM
Quote from: Greedo The Hunter on January 08, 2018, 07:09:02 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on January 08, 2018, 03:54:46 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on January 08, 2018, 03:41:57 PM
It is impossible to look at Castros analysis + this poll + the national environment and not conclude that this shows McCaskill as a clear favorite.

This poll performed well in the 2016 Senate Race ( https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=250717.0) and any poll with a positive Trump approval is bad for McCaskill. She's not doomed, but taking a poll showing her trailing as further justification for your Safe D rating  (which should mean she'll win even if everything that could possibly go wrong does) makes little sense.

Dude, no one here thinks this is safe D LOL. Tilt R, still winnable for McCaskill though.

Look at the prediction link in Solid's sig
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: January 09, 2018, 06:14:04 PM »
Quote from: King Lear on January 09, 2018, 06:11:51 PM
My prediction is that Josh Hawley wins 57-42, I don't think any Democrats can come within single-digits of winning Missouri due to partisan polarization.

Okay, this is ridiculous. Now I know why LimoLiberal stopped being a republican shill, he just got you to do it instead.
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