MO-Remington Research (R): Hawley +4

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Greitens has probably pushed this to about a McCaskill 1+ or 2+ at this point now, I wonder if it will stay.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Also Claire has a giant coffer, so once she starts pouring in, I could see her go up a few points, and honestly now, I think she might eek it out by a point tilt R--->tossup.

[Former Kentuckian]

Also Claire has a giant coffer, so once she starts pouring in, I could see her go up a few points, and honestly now, I think she might eek it out by a point tilt R--->tossup.

She's also not afraid to go out and meet with voters who may be actively opposed to her. She's been holding Town Halls in hostile territory for months now: https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/08/30/claire-mccaskill-senate-dems-2018-215556

She held 50 Town Halls, nearly one per week, last year: https://www.mccaskill.senate.gov/media-center/news-releases/the-town-hall-senator-mccaskill-armed-with-missourians-input-from-50-public-town-halls-is-ready-as-ever-to-fight-for-the-state-i-love

[Dr. Arch]

Also Claire has a giant coffer, so once she starts pouring in, I could see her go up a few points, and honestly now, I think she might eek it out by a point tilt R--->tossup.

She's also not afraid to go out and meet with voters who may be actively opposed to her. She's been holding Town Halls in hostile territory for months now: https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/08/30/claire-mccaskill-senate-dems-2018-215556

She held 50 Town Halls, nearly one per week, last year: https://www.mccaskill.senate.gov/media-center/news-releases/the-town-hall-senator-mccaskill-armed-with-missourians-input-from-50-public-town-halls-is-ready-as-ever-to-fight-for-the-state-i-love

She's not given enough credit.

[Adam Griffin]

Now I doubt 25% of the electorate will be 70+ in 2018 midterms. There may be a slight biased against McCaskill in this poll.

Honestly, this might be one of the few remaining states where a Democrat like McCaskill's support could be higher among the oldest voters in a D-friendly midterm than it would be among, say, 45-65 year-olds. This certainly wasn't the case in 2012 but in lower-turnout elections where the most motivated show up, that old residual lean from the 2000s among older voters might reappear.

[jamestroll]

Now I doubt 25% of the electorate will be 70+ in 2018 midterms. There may be a slight biased against McCaskill in this poll.

Honestly, this might be one of the few remaining states where a Democrat like McCaskill's support could be higher among the oldest voters in a D-friendly midterm than it would be among, say, 45-65 year-olds. This certainly wasn't the case in 2012 but in lower-turnout elections where the most motivated show up, that old residual lean from the 2000s among older voters might reappear.

I am hoping so for sure.

McCaskill does have some residual good will from older voters from her time as state auditor. If we could somehow get heavy youth/black turn out and motivated old school Democrats out she could win.

Shy McCaskill voters.. it is probably a thing.. but I think she will fall short.