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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 127477 times)
bandg
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Posts: 111
« on: January 07, 2018, 05:45:22 pm »

The topline seems OK but I'm skeptical about Trump's approval numbers.
The guy couldn't even break 50 at Alabama and he is at +15 here?

Trump obviously has a higher approval in Alabama than the polls or exit poll showed. There was a huge turnout gap due to Moore's toxicity, and thus GOP voters were not making it through LV screens. This deflated Trump's approval among special election voters, but it is certainly higher among the larger population of RVs.
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bandg
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Posts: 111
« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2018, 06:40:03 pm »

So much confusion in this thread
1. The BRD poll is completely fake/made-up
2. There is no Fox poll for now
3. Emerson is polling this Thursday-Saturday, and the poll is coming out Monday. So only 1/3 of the poll is done at this point.
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bandg
Rookie
**
Posts: 111
« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2018, 07:04:33 pm »

So much confusion in this thread
1. The BRD poll is completely fake/made-up
2. There is no Fox poll for now
3. Emerson is polling this Thursday-Saturday, and the poll is coming out Monday. So only 1/3 of the poll is done at this point.

Thanks for the summary.  Do we have any information as to when the pending Gravis poll is coming out?

No clue, but their last two polls have come out on Sundays, so that would be my best guess.
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