PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose

[ProudModerate2]

1 hour until polls close.

[ProudModerate2]

For those that are interested, here is the direct link to The New York Times tracking of this election.
Their minute to minute forecasting, live estimates and other tools seemed to be extremely helpful (and right-on-the-money) with the past Alabama Senate/Moore election.

Link: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html

[ProudModerate2]

Can you guys actually see the note I pinned at the top of the thread? It appears on every page. It has the results link lol
I'm wondering if it's even visible now.

Yes, but it's so small that it's easy to miss.

Oh OK ..... it is there Virginia, but I guess it is easy to miss seeing.
Didn't know that that was a special mod tool, or something we should watch for.
Thank you.
8-)

[ProudModerate2]

Which Atlas member was it, who didn't trust the NYT numbers (at all) during the Alabama Senate (Moore) election, and kept "making a call" that Moore had already won hours before the numbers were all in?
This member was moded, corroded, candy-coated about the entire incident.

Has these member made any predictions for this election?

[ProudModerate2]

Which Atlas member was it, who didn't trust the NYT numbers (at all) during the Alabama Senate (Moore) election, and kept "making a call" that Moore had already won hours before the numbers were all in?
This member was moded, corroded, candy-coated about the entire incident.

Has these member made any predictions for this election?

Pretty sure Ben Kenobi just fycked off and hasn't been seen in the forum since.

yeah he was so stupid and smug..... and stupid

Yes ... that is it! That was him.
LOL.
And you guys are right ... I haven't seen any comments, anywhere on Atlas from Kenobi, since that night.

[ProudModerate2]

That needle is crazy, it's swinging literally right before my eyes.

Turn off the jitter.

Yes.
There is a link, right underneath the needle, so you can turn off the jitter.

[ProudModerate2]

Was Roy Moore ever favored in the needle?

Multiple times. Right before the Montgomery-Birmingham vote dump right at the end, he was at +5.

Agree.
It wasn't until later in the result counting (like 60 to 70% counted) that the needle and other NYT tools started to show a swing towards Jones' direction.
(Correct me, if I am wrong with this. But I think that is how it went.)

[ProudModerate2]

This needle idea is the devil

LMAO.

[ProudModerate2]

This is gonna give me a heart attack.
Even worse than the Super Bowl

LOL.
Don't go "nutty" over "The Needle."
Something tells me this NYT "Needle" thing, is going to be a hit on Atlas (now and in the future).
8-)

[ProudModerate2]

The Republicans probably would be comfortably winning this had their convention not chosen Saccone.

And we would have won Colorado in Delaware if we hadn't nominated tea party crackpots, oh, and Nevada to. We would have won the popular vote if we had nominated Trump. But there seems to be an addiction my party to the farthest right extremist candidates.

That's the problem, I am part of the solution.

Badger I love you but come to the Democrats please

nah, we need a viable opposition party if the reps burn and crash; and badger can be part of that

Agree. It's nice to see blue avatars who are "open-minded" and can see the obvious repulsiveness of trump and some of the wacky Pubs.

[ProudModerate2]

NYT have shut off their needle lol.

The New York Times needle just went kaput.

How can they do this!
"The Needle" was our oxygen. We are dying!

[ProudModerate2]

I'm not sure about this election.
I think it's going to be close.
It's hard to read.

[ProudModerate2]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973734664530792454

Hmmm.
That's promising.

[ProudModerate2]

God forbid we go to a recount..

I think the recount rule here, is 0.5%

[ProudModerate2]

Lamb has a lead of barely 2500 votes overall. Still a lot to be counted. This is going to be close.

Oh wow.
Lamb now leading by only 700 votes.

[ProudModerate2]

Lamb now leading by about 1000 votes.

[ProudModerate2]

Lamb increasing his small lead. Now leading by about 1,100 votes.

[ProudModerate2]

CNN just reported that Allegheny absentee count is estimated to be complete around midnight.

Hmmm.
We may need to wait until tomorrow morning for the final result.

[ProudModerate2]

Lamb continuing to slowly increase his lead again.
He is now leading by 1200 votes.
Kool.

[ProudModerate2]

Numbers seem to be "stuck" on this ....

207,572 votes,  96% reporting  (568 of 593 precincts)

[ProudModerate2]

Numbers just moved.
Lamb lead went down slightly to about 918 votes (from 1100).

[ProudModerate2]

I'm just now reading that Saccone said that his opponents (Lamb) "hate God."
What a d*ck!
And then Pubs wonder why their party is dying.

[ProudModerate2]

This actually looks like lean Saccone before absentees. Maybe not after.

I think you might be correct.
What a nail biter.
But what will it be after the recount?

[ProudModerate2]

Regardless of what the final results are, this is why you don’t get over confident and start jinxing stuff people.

jinxing ?
You believe in "jinxing?"
LOL.

[ProudModerate2]

I'm not convinced Lamb has this.  He's only 585 votes ahead with 97 percent of the vote in.

Saccone was a really horrible candidate, and Lamb was a really good one.  The race was not overly nationalized, and this area is more ancestrally Democratic than the 2016 results show.  

Keep up to date, Fuzzy.
The lead went back up to 700 exactly.