PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose

[TheRocketRaccoon]

INBOX: Conor Lamb has raised a whopping $3.2 million since January.  It's why he's been able to be competitive with the outside GOP ad buys -- even with the DCCC pulling out of the race.

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/968549891835400192

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/968553250235568128

And now Cook thinks it's a TOSS UP.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://www.axios.com/when-will-trump-start-his-trade-war-tariffs-b9fdefad-4cd8-4cdf-b013-72c37e27500e.html

Trump wants to start a trade war to win the PA18 special.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

It sucks expectations have gotten so high that not winning an R+11 seat will obviously spark 'Dems r doomed' & 'GOP surge' stories much like GA-06. A few weeks ago I would've been elated if Lamb got within 10 now I'd be dissapointed/demoralized if he lost.

It's worse if Lamb wins, because then the news media will jump on it as proof that a D wave is coming, despite the fact that it's only one election.  Most of the elections that have happened since 2016 had too many extenuating circumstances to be seen as reliable indicators of what may happen in November.

lmoa

[TheRocketRaccoon]

Not a great news story for Saccone to wake up to.

Yeah, I can't see how a chaotic day at the WH will help turnout for him at all.

I assume this is what we're talking about.

I don't know that it will really affect turnout or Saccone's support ... however, it is a pretty surefire way to make sure the likely (but by no means guaranteed) GOP loss tonight will barely register in the papers over the next few days.

I'm not saying Trump did this, btw. Dumping a secretary of state in order to distract attention away from a single special election loss is spectacularly poor strategy. But to be honest, it fits Trump's modus pretty comfortably.

If he can impose steel tariffs for the sake of this election, then nothing is off the table tbh.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

Lou Barletta should drop out tomorrow.

Rep. Lou Barletta could still give Sen. Bob Casey a tough race in November.

PA-SEN is Lean D.

lol the  is this

[TheRocketRaccoon]

Lamb's lead expanded by 62 after the WashCo absentee vote dump.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

There are still the ~200 Greene absentees too, but those obviously won't move the needle.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://twitter.com/AdrienneLaF/status/974098794928394240

https://twitter.com/elainaplott/status/974106530487382017