|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 09, 2020, 07:31:16 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 127804 times)
Former Kentuckian
Cal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,176


« on: January 07, 2018, 09:57:48 pm »

Iím quite surprised at the margin that Saccone is up by. If the dems lose this by 10 or more it could spell doom for Manchin-Casey-Wolf-Brown-Donnelly because this area trump is still very popular.

This is a textbook case of moving the goalposts. Expectations of Democrats have increased and thus some Republicans, such as yourself, are realigning your benchmarks to unreasonable positions in order to bolster your own opinions. Murphy was winning PA-18 by like 28 points in 2012 while Casey and Manchin won comfortably and in a landslide, respectively. Losing by more than 10 points in this special means none of what you said, Greedo.
But Iím saying that cause trumps approval rating could make or break manchin. If trump goes into PA-OH-WV and attacks those 3 non stop they could lose.

Maybe OH and WV, but not PA. Casey dominates Trump in the state.
Well yeah but I mentioned PA as well since itís WV in the SW. but if I were manchin I would start to get scared because he didnít vote for the tax reform it makes it a lot harder for me and trump to support manchin.

lmao, I'm sure Manchin is gravely concerned about some socially maladjusted teenager from Washington's opinion of him.

He should be concerned with something even worse though: WV voters.

He has a better approval rating than Shelley Moore Capito: https://morningconsult.com/2017/10/31/americas-most-and-least-popular-senators-october-2017/
Logged
Former Kentuckian
Cal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,176


« Reply #1 on: January 07, 2018, 10:02:17 pm »

and lol at people acting like a poll of one congressional district is indicative of an entire state
Logged
Former Kentuckian
Cal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,176


« Reply #2 on: January 13, 2018, 11:07:56 pm »


This is what I mean. Pennsylvania is souring on Trump, especially the western part of PA. The workers are realizing that Trump lied to them to get their votes. Who knows? This could be 370 workers plus their spouses and 18 year-old kids going to the polls for Conor Lamb.

And Trump is probably coming next week to brag about how great things are..meanwhile close to 400 people will be out of work. Lamb or some group needs to be up on air, where is the small donor $$ for him?

Lamb needs to air an ad featuring the closing of the mine juxtaposed with Trump's remarks about bringing back coal and how he said there'd be so many coal jobs that miners wouldn't know what to do.
Logged
Former Kentuckian
Cal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,176


« Reply #3 on: January 14, 2018, 12:29:43 am »

The thing is, you run ads showing Trump promising to bring these jobs back on the backdrop of this mine closure. Then what? Lamb promises to bring the jobs back? Why would voters believe him after just being burned? henster is right in that the focus should be on bringing in new industries and tech to the area but would the people who live there even want that?

Good point.
Logged
Former Kentuckian
Cal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,176


« Reply #4 on: March 14, 2018, 01:51:22 am »

Congratulations to Conor Lamb, I am very pleased to see Democrats finally win a Special House Election, and I am very happy to be so wrong in my prediction.

On behalf of the rest of the Forum other than Limo Liberal, may I respond with a hearty and heartfelt:

"Blow me, troll".
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines