PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose

[Cactus Jack]

IceSpear, before you start calling results months before an election again, may I just remind you of Alabama.

[Cactus Jack]

Bold prediction: if Lamb actually wins and manages to hold on until 2022 (a singularly long shot), he'll be a shoo-in to move up and face Toomey.

[Cactus Jack]

Is Saccone an establishment Republican or a polarizing Bannonite loon? I don't know very much about that region of PA.

The latter, with a side of being so lazy he legitimately fell asleep in the state legislature once.

[Cactus Jack]

Is Saccone an establishment Republican or a polarizing Bannonite loon? I don't know very much about that region of PA.

The latter, with a side of being so lazy he legitimately fell asleep in the state legislature once.

So he's a kook who would fail to make the runoff if he ran in my House district (beaten by David Clifford (R-Long Beach, CA) for the second runoff spot)?

That's about the sum of it. He's a sleepwalking Trump purist.

[Cactus Jack]

Was Saccone nominated in an open or closed primary?

He was nominated by party officials, which ought to tell you something about the PAGOP.

[Cactus Jack]

If Lamb pulls it out here, I wager that the PAGOP will be feeling the pain of nominating Saccone for years. Come November, Lamb will be able to run in Rothfus' new swing district, another matchup he's very likely to win given the climate this year, and after that point they're unlikely to ever be rid of him. If the stars align for him, Lamb will be a shoo-in to take on (and likely take out) Toomey in 2022.

[Cactus Jack]

I would rail Conor all night, like seriously look

Please don't be that profane here.

The epitome of class is lecturing us about being "profane" now?

[Cactus Jack]

I phonebanked a little this morning. Was talking with this woman who supported Lamb when I saw the Gravis poll. Unfortunately, this race is now Safe R and I told the woman that she shouldn't bother voting. She had heard about the Democratic collapse in the Texas primary and thought the same.

So I see you've given up even attempting to troll.

Mods, please nuke.

[Cactus Jack]

Looks like Saccone has this...

?

[Cactus Jack]

Was Roy Moore ever favored in the needle?

Multiple times. Right before the Montgomery-Birmingham vote dump right at the end, he was at +5.

[Cactus Jack]

Sigh. Deep inside I knew Lamb would be Ossoffed.

Take a Lexapro, for God's sake. That goes for Horus, too. The NYT needle makes absolutely no goddamn sense right now.