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October 01, 2020, 02:20:49 am
News: First US presidential debate discussion thread link:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=400306.0

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 132477 times)
Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« on: January 07, 2018, 04:33:08 pm »

With all due respect you are the biggest hack on this site limbo
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 07, 2018, 08:38:10 pm »

The idea that a congressional race is a precursor to how senate races involving incumbents is utterly ridiculous and serious wishful thinking on part of atlas resident reps
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #2 on: January 07, 2018, 10:10:55 pm »

and lol at people acting like a poll of one congressional district is indicative of an entire state
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #3 on: January 25, 2018, 07:25:12 pm »

OMFG and we thought the Ossoff attack ad was bad. This was cancerous
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2018, 11:45:11 pm »

It takes a special level of incompetence to blow a seat like PA-18.
Saccone: Challenge accepted!
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #5 on: February 15, 2018, 01:09:31 pm »

Gotta love that we don't have to change the title
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #6 on: February 15, 2018, 05:29:16 pm »

Frustrated by the DCCC on this no reason they should be sitting this out. And just a fraction of Steyer’s $$ spent on those stupid impeachment ads could make a difference here.
On the flip side the DCCC might be staying out on purpose so The GOP can't nationlize the race ala GA-06
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #7 on: March 04, 2018, 12:17:08 pm »

https://twitter.com/hotlinejosh/status/970282763415941120?s=21

Goodbye "Trump tax cuts", hello "Lamb wants MS-13 to babysit your grandchildren."

"Here’s how tricky things have gotten for Republicans: GOP outside groups have dramatically scaled back their ads promoting the party’s tax cut, with the messaging barely moving the needle in the district’s working-class confines. The latest round of advertisements focus on law-and-order issues, like immigration and crime. A new spot from the Paul Ryan-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund super PAC slams Lamb for supporting “amnesty to illegal immigrants” because he “worked in the Obama administration.” A National Republican Congressional Committee ad portrays Lamb as soft on crime because he negotiated a plea deal with a notorious drug kingpin during his tenure as a federal prosecutor. These culture-war ads are reminiscent of those run by Ed Gillespie in his failed Virginia gubernatorial campaign, and they carry the whiff of desperation."
And on the flip side https://mobile.twitter.com/MediumBuying/status/970311872334454785
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2018, 09:48:41 pm »

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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #9 on: March 06, 2018, 05:29:04 pm »
« Edited: March 06, 2018, 05:49:21 pm by Hindsight is 2020 »


There's culture war, and then there's absolute desperation.
The Dems have been anti-cop (a union-heavy lean D demographic before) and soft on crime since about 7 years ago. It alienates white working class much more than other demographics. It's not so much desperation, but an unforced error on the Dems' side.
With all due respect f**k off with that bullsh*t
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #10 on: March 07, 2018, 09:42:35 am »

Constistant with toss-up but Lamb gaining momentum
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #11 on: March 09, 2018, 01:15:23 pm »

Apparently along with unions; Conor is getting help from seniors who are breaking for him over fear of social security cuts
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #12 on: March 13, 2018, 11:13:11 am »

Let's not jinx but having said that there is definitely better news on the ground for Conor then say Ossoff
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #13 on: March 13, 2018, 12:47:26 pm »

R's definitely want to downplay but there is no reason they would let bad polling data out unless it's true and they are ripping the bandaid off
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #14 on: March 13, 2018, 01:09:09 pm »


Good or bad for Lamb?
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #15 on: March 13, 2018, 02:21:09 pm »

Any updates on the ground?
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #16 on: March 13, 2018, 02:29:24 pm »

Big if true
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #17 on: March 13, 2018, 03:26:32 pm »

I haven't heard any exit polling in hours! That means Rick is ahead and no one wants to report it! We're doomed! Rain in NoVa has destroyed Lamb's chances
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #18 on: March 13, 2018, 03:31:58 pm »

I keep hearing that turnout is high all accross the district. According to Monmouth, that bodes very well for Lamb.
I can't help but get a bit of a GA-06 flasback though. Yes high turnout favored Lamb in Monmouth but that is 1 poll
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #19 on: March 13, 2018, 03:47:59 pm »


Good for Lamb, Steele?
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #20 on: March 13, 2018, 04:08:54 pm »

Yeah I'm getting to a point where I'll be really shocked if Lamb loses
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #21 on: March 13, 2018, 04:28:17 pm »

We got less than 3 hours till the polls close and because I'm evil I feel compelled to remind you all of this https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=FCiW-R5bY2k
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #22 on: March 13, 2018, 04:43:42 pm »

It sounds weird to put any weight into this but MAGA Twitter spearheaded by that Scott idiot Limo hates, is trying to get "cons are being turned away at the polls because of redistricting"/voter fraud conspiracy going. So even they seem to be bracing for a loss
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #23 on: March 13, 2018, 06:44:59 pm »

15 minutes
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Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,893
United States


« Reply #24 on: March 13, 2018, 06:50:00 pm »

10 minutes
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