PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (user search)
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 200263 times)
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« on: March 13, 2018, 07:07:18 PM »
Wheeee!  Election nights like these won't stop being fun/exciting.  Feeling cautiously optimistic here.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2018, 07:41:16 PM »
Lamb is consistently beating his benchmarks in the Allegheny precincts that have reported.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:47 PM »
This looks like it's going to be really close.  We need a lot more from Westmoreland/Washington to get a better grasp on this thing.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #3 on: March 13, 2018, 08:14:49 PM »

I like the needle, but too many people overreact to it showing one candidate with a slight advantage very early in the count.  SACCONE at 59%!  GAME OVER FOLKS! 

Especially when they note that early overperformance in certain areas can throw off the needle early in the night.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #4 on: March 13, 2018, 08:47:18 PM »
Lamb is pretty much right at his benchmarks in Washington/Westmoreland.  This is going to be a less than 1 point race either way.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:06 PM »
If absentees come in as expected, Lamb should win in a crazy close squeaker.  Like 200-300 votes maybe?
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #6 on: March 13, 2018, 10:04:36 PM »
Absentees came in as expected, with Lamb winning 62% of them in Allegheny County and increases his margin by 752 votes.  Looks like Lamb in a squeaker.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #7 on: March 13, 2018, 11:02:19 PM »
Per Kornacki, the new numbers include the Westmoreland absentees.  This thing is a wrap.
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john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96
« Reply #8 on: March 14, 2018, 11:03:51 AM »
Quote from: Mondale on March 14, 2018, 10:51:11 AM
Imagine being this cucked:



Damn, son.  There's debasing yourself, and then there's this.
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