PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose

[bilaps]

this anecdotal stuff is so stupid

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So, after reading last 6 or 7 pages of this thread i only have one thing to say. If Lamb doesn't win, I hope pittsburgh steel bans himself forever.

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Watching CNN for some reason and it's one thing to put a narrative around Trump like they do any given day but to argue that Republicans have spent more dollars here without mentioning how much campaign raised themselves and to argue that Saccone is doing poorly in polls because of Trump when his approval in district is 51 according to Monmouth, it's just fake news really.

[bilaps]

It's a win for Lamb. Saccone won election day vote. Lamb wins because of Allegheny absantees.

It's a big win for Dems.

[bilaps]

Tax cuts though!

I really really doubt the tax cuts played a role here.

Polling shows around 51% of Americans support it, but it will not end up being a midterm savior.

It didn't  and that is the problem.

The GOP was banking on the cuts moving the needle and it did nothing. They need to wake up to reality, the issue is Trump and no tax cut is going to help him as long as he polling 35-40%.

Trump was not issue here, his approval is 51% in a Monmouth poll which showed 6% Lamb win, so probably even better among today's electorate. Problem for Republicans is enthusiasm gap. Saccone hit the marks he needed for a tight race in 3 counties outside Allegheny but turnout in Allegheny was higher than in these counties. Generic republican can't energise the base like Trump, that's whay they're in a rough shape. They lose suburbs because of Trump among higher educated voters, that's true and generic republican isn't Trump to offset these losses among rural not so educated communities

[bilaps]

Tax cuts though!

I really really doubt the tax cuts played a role here.

Polling shows around 51% of Americans support it, but it will not end up being a midterm savior.

It didn't  and that is the problem.

The GOP was banking on the cuts moving the needle and it did nothing. They need to wake up to reality, the issue is Trump and no tax cut is going to help him as long as he polling 35-40%.

Trump was not issue here, his approval is 51% in a Monmouth poll which showed 6% Lamb win, so probably even better among today's electorate. Problem for Republicans is enthusiasm gap. Saccone hit the marks he needed for a tight race in 3 counties outside Allegheny but turnout in Allegheny was higher than in these counties. Generic republican can't energise the base like Trump, that's whay they're in a rough shape. They lose suburbs because of Trump among higher educated voters, that's true and generic republican isn't Trump to offset these losses among rural not so educated communities

Lol, keep thinking that.

You sound like delusional Democrats after they lost Teddy's seat in 2010.

Keep thinking what exactly? It's a fact it's not thinking when you cite a poll.