PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 200684 times)
junior chįmp
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« Reply #1750 on: March 13, 2018, 08:42:56 PM »
Quote from: superbudgie1582 on March 13, 2018, 08:40:33 PM
Quote from: Mondale on March 13, 2018, 08:39:26 PM
Monomouth polling choked like Nate's model

Someone here mentioned a 3 point win for Lamb as a possibility, which would be in line with Monmouths polling results.

Edit: One of monmouth's turnout models had Lamb up by 2.

But that was a 2% lead in a low turnout Election

This isn't a low turnout Election I'm led to believe
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1751 on: March 13, 2018, 08:43:15 PM »
I'm not sure about this election.
I think it's going to be close.
It's hard to read.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #1752 on: March 13, 2018, 08:43:27 PM »
Still more outstanding absentee ballot in Allegheny county.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1753 on: March 13, 2018, 08:43:30 PM »
Quote from: Pennsylvania Deplorable on March 13, 2018, 08:38:02 PM
Well, I guess this saves the GOP the trouble of having to defend a weak candidate like Saccone in November. Lamb would go to the new 17th and probably win, although a competent republican candidate could hit Lamb hard over issues like amnesty rather than raving about Pelosi, and likely provide a tough challenge even in a much more D friendly district.
I think it's pretty clear immigration isn't going to be the major billy club that the GOP hopes it will be...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1754 on: March 13, 2018, 08:43:39 PM »
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1755 on: March 13, 2018, 08:43:53 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on March 13, 2018, 08:43:15 PM
I'm not sure about this election.
I think it's going to be close.
It's hard to read.

Yeah, it's going to be close.  But I think it would be better to be in Lamb's shoes at this point.
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Badger
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« Reply #1756 on: March 13, 2018, 08:43:59 PM »
Quote from: Sestak on March 13, 2018, 08:41:12 PM
Saccone I think needs at least 2-3k lead in rest of Washington.

Considering 15% of the vote is still out in Allegheny, which appears to have several times the vote of Washington County, I'm not sure even that would be enough.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #1757 on: March 13, 2018, 08:44:11 PM »
From the initial map, what's out in Washington was supposed to be the part with the biggest GOP margins.  This is going down to the wire.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #1758 on: March 13, 2018, 08:44:19 PM »
I think Lamp might have won this.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1759 on: March 13, 2018, 08:44:23 PM »
LMAO Wikipedia:


Member of the U.S. House of Representatives
from Pennsylvania's 18th district
In office
January 3, 2003 – October 21, 2017
Preceded by
Michael Doyle
Succeeded by
Rick Lamb
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1760 on: March 13, 2018, 08:44:27 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 13, 2018, 08:43:39 PM


Hmmm.
That's promising.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1761 on: March 13, 2018, 08:44:35 PM »
Whole bunch of Washington just dumped.

Just a 2,000 vote lead for Saccone in Washington. 75% in.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1762 on: March 13, 2018, 08:44:37 PM »
75% in Washington now. 14829 - 16569 - 244 Saccone
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1763 on: March 13, 2018, 08:44:48 PM »
Washington now at 75%, Lamb still up 2.6.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1764 on: March 13, 2018, 08:45:32 PM »
Lamb up only 1.4%...
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History505
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« Reply #1765 on: March 13, 2018, 08:45:43 PM »
Margin getting tighter.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1766 on: March 13, 2018, 08:45:55 PM »


NYT is ahead everywhere, but this is handy to look inside Westmoreland.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1767 on: March 13, 2018, 08:46:00 PM »
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #1768 on: March 13, 2018, 08:46:33 PM »
Lamb's lead down to 1.4%.
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Sestak
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« Reply #1769 on: March 13, 2018, 08:46:40 PM »
All 3 counties just jumped. Down to the wire.
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Badger
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« Reply #1770 on: March 13, 2018, 08:47:12 PM »
Lamb has a lead of barely 2500 votes overall. Still a lot to be counted. This is going to be close.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #1771 on: March 13, 2018, 08:47:18 PM »
Lamb is pretty much right at his benchmarks in Washington/Westmoreland.  This is going to be a less than 1 point race either way.
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #1772 on: March 13, 2018, 08:47:51 PM »
I think Saccone might just edge out a win here soon if things keep moving like this.
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Horus
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« Reply #1773 on: March 13, 2018, 08:48:03 PM »
God forbid we go to a recount..
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1774 on: March 13, 2018, 08:48:16 PM »
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I almost hate to task this, but...what are the recount rules in PA?
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