PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 197999 times)
ajc0918
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« Reply #1575 on: March 13, 2018, 08:03:54 PM »

Westmoreland partially dropped
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Horus
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« Reply #1576 on: March 13, 2018, 08:04:00 PM »

Saccone up to 2.1 in the needle, and climbing. This looks like a landslide folks!
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Rhenna
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« Reply #1577 on: March 13, 2018, 08:04:02 PM »

Sigh. Deep inside I knew Lamb would be Ossoffed.
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Torrain
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« Reply #1578 on: March 13, 2018, 08:04:11 PM »

Can anyone explain why NYT is making it look like it's Saccone to lose? Everyone seems to believe it's leaning strongly to Lamb. Buzzfeed/DDHQ seems like they're about to call it for Lamb.

NYTimes currently has Saccone favoured
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1579 on: March 13, 2018, 08:04:26 PM »

Lamb's raw vote lead is only increasing...
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fluffypanther19
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« Reply #1580 on: March 13, 2018, 08:04:42 PM »

why was saconne ahead for a second? big vote dump?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1581 on: March 13, 2018, 08:04:50 PM »

Where's Westmoreland?HuhHuh?
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jaichind
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« Reply #1582 on: March 13, 2018, 08:04:53 PM »


Does not look that impressive to me ... not enough to save Saccone in my view
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #1583 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:01 PM »

Sigh. Deep inside I knew Lamb would be Ossoffed.

Take a Lexapro, for God's sake. That goes for Horus, too. The NYT needle makes absolutely no goddamn sense right now.
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Badger
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« Reply #1584 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:03 PM »


Yeah, that's my recollection too. I believe Jones was actually up on the needle gauge for most of the night
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1585 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:20 PM »

Lamb is now only 0.25 points ahead of his benchmarks. :/
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Doimper
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« Reply #1586 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:29 PM »

Quote
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true if big
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #1587 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:37 PM »

Where is Westmoreland???
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1588 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:39 PM »

Why hasn't Nate Cohn addressed the needle yet?
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Torrain
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« Reply #1589 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:43 PM »

Nate Cohn

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Still quite early, but you can see the pattern on the bottom end of the chart. That shows that, in GOP areas, Saccone doing a bit better than we thought he would. But we don't have many GOP areas in so far. I'm a little concerned the needle is overreacting here, but we'll see
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #1590 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:47 PM »

This looks like it's going to be really close.  We need a lot more from Westmoreland/Washington to get a better grasp on this thing.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1591 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:01 PM »

OK wtf is going on
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1592 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:01 PM »

Can anyone explain why NYT is making it look like it's Saccone to lose? Everyone seems to believe it's leaning strongly to Lamb. Buzzfeed/DDHQ seems like they're about to call it for Lamb.

Their model doesn't seem to take differential turnout in account. It will be reliable once we have some Westmorland votes.
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fluffypanther19
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« Reply #1593 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:03 PM »

ok why is the needle in saccone's favor so much, I dont get
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TheBeardedOne
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« Reply #1594 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:19 PM »

Who is favored to win Westmoreland?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1595 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:25 PM »

Nate Cohn says he thinks the needle is overreacting
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Torrain
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« Reply #1596 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:31 PM »

64% Saccone. Yikes
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Badger
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« Reply #1597 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:45 PM »


Saccone, substantially
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #1598 on: March 13, 2018, 08:06:49 PM »

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones


Jones was up for the entire night except like 30 min
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1599 on: March 13, 2018, 08:07:00 PM »

Saccone.  It's Trumpland.
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