PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (user search)
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 141391 times)
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #75 on: March 13, 2018, 07:21:58 PM »

Highkey excruciating.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #76 on: March 13, 2018, 07:28:08 PM »

FIRST RESULT FROM ALLEGHANY SHOWS LAMB LEADING BY 5 IN DISTRICT TRUMP WON BY 15.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #77 on: March 13, 2018, 07:33:57 PM »

Allegheny precinct and he's only up by that much?

It's a precinct Clinton lost by 15 and Obama lost by 18. The benchmark for Lamb in the precinct is +3.

Apparently it's a district that both Casey and Wolf lost too.

Yep - it's affluent col ed, so I would think that this result may be deceptively better for Lamb than a simple comparison would show.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #78 on: March 13, 2018, 07:35:42 PM »

F**k yeah GREENE COUNTY! THAT'S MY BLUE DOGS!
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #79 on: March 13, 2018, 07:48:27 PM »

Sources saying that Lamb got 78% in Mt. Lebanon. That's going to blast the needle.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #80 on: March 13, 2018, 07:52:01 PM »

Moon looking a little iffy for Lamb... that's where Trump had his rally, of course.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #81 on: March 13, 2018, 07:53:55 PM »

I don't think the race is as over as some on this board are predicting. NYT needle still shows it very very close.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #82 on: March 13, 2018, 07:56:14 PM »

Please guys, calm down.

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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #83 on: March 13, 2018, 07:58:20 PM »

Saccone now favored in the needle. This is why you don't celebrate too early.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #84 on: March 13, 2018, 08:01:17 PM »

Saccone now favored by 1.8 in the needle.
Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #85 on: March 13, 2018, 08:04:50 PM »

Where's Westmoreland?HuhHuh?
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #86 on: March 13, 2018, 08:05:37 PM »

Where is Westmoreland???
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #87 on: March 13, 2018, 08:07:32 PM »

People are saying Westmoreland county partially dropped. Where are their results?
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #88 on: March 13, 2018, 08:09:56 PM »

LAMB UP IN THE NEEDLE AGAIN I NEED SOME F**KING XANAX
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #89 on: March 13, 2018, 08:11:19 PM »

Saccone is doing well in the southern tip of Allegheny. It appears that Lamb, while making substantial gains among traditionally democrat WWC voters who supported Trump, isn't getting the same swing from more educated suburban white voters.

nah... it's Saccone's state legislative district that's overperforming for him.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #90 on: March 13, 2018, 08:15:05 PM »

Looking at NYT, basically all of the remaining Allegheny precincts are Lamb country.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #91 on: March 13, 2018, 08:17:29 PM »

judging by the way southern Allegheny has gone for Lamb, I think Washington co. could be pretty bad for him as most remaining precincts are in Saccone's district.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #92 on: March 13, 2018, 08:22:32 PM »

Saccone now leading in Westmoreland 56-44 with 53% reporting. Fairly weak, IMO.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #93 on: March 13, 2018, 08:27:12 PM »

Praying to god that the remaining Westmoreland precincts are more D than the county as a whole.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #94 on: March 13, 2018, 08:34:49 PM »

Lamb slipping a little in Westmoreland county.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #95 on: March 13, 2018, 08:37:51 PM »

Saccone will need to net 6000 votes in the rest of Westmoreland and Washington. I have no idea if it can be done.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #96 on: March 13, 2018, 08:49:02 PM »

24 of the last 79 precincts are in Allegheny county. Idk if that's enough.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #97 on: March 13, 2018, 08:51:18 PM »

Lamb just netted +300 in Allegheny with 5 precincts. Still 18 to go there.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #98 on: March 13, 2018, 08:57:20 PM »

12 precincts remaining in Allegheny. They're Lamb leaning.
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LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,377


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

« Reply #99 on: March 13, 2018, 09:06:47 PM »

Anybody know how absentee ballots lean in PA?
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