PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (user search)
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  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 199837 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #50 on: March 13, 2018, 09:10:23 PM »
Thing to note, many of the precincts left in Washington County are in areas Trump only got in the high 50's in. Lamb has been flipping many of these locations. Just something to think about.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #51 on: March 13, 2018, 09:40:19 PM »
Washington County, Pennsylvania has just been added to by poop list.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #52 on: March 13, 2018, 09:46:39 PM »
Quote from: marty on March 13, 2018, 09:44:00 PM
Lost in all of this: monmouth pooped the bed.

their high turnout model (which this race is) is off by labout 5 points.

That's still in the margin of error.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #53 on: March 13, 2018, 09:51:38 PM »
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on March 13, 2018, 09:46:58 PM

There are 8 Washington Co. precincts left, all he has to do is get each of them by 100, and so far, every surrounding precinct out has been won by at least that.

Maybe in Peters Township, but Lamb has done well in Canton Township and Chartiers Township for those to probably lean towards Lamb. No idea for Midway Borough.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #54 on: March 13, 2018, 09:56:48 PM »

Only Washington County Township to swing towards Hillary in 2016.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #55 on: March 13, 2018, 09:58:10 PM »
It would be great to know what is out still in Westmoreland County. There are some areas (predominately cities) were Lamb is winning.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #56 on: March 13, 2018, 09:59:57 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on March 13, 2018, 09:58:36 PM
And since Westmoreland isn't reporting results by precinct tonight, we don't know anything about the two remaining ones.

Miles needs to update his map!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #57 on: March 13, 2018, 10:02:33 PM »
Saccone only won his own PA-House seat by 9 points:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #58 on: March 13, 2018, 10:04:07 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #59 on: March 13, 2018, 10:08:28 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on March 13, 2018, 10:04:33 PM
DDHQ says the last 2 Westmoreland precincts are:

Latrobe, 2nd ward
Ligonier (North Ligonier)

These and their absentees will report within the next hour.

Latrobe appears to be a pretty decent area for Lamb. Ligonier is going to be pretty Republican.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #60 on: March 13, 2018, 10:13:54 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #61 on: March 13, 2018, 10:17:26 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #62 on: March 13, 2018, 10:18:24 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #63 on: March 13, 2018, 10:21:29 PM »
Quote from: Jbrase on March 13, 2018, 10:20:11 PM
Why doesnt NYT have Westmoreland precincts on the map?

Westmoreland didn't tabulate them and provide them to the NYT.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #64 on: March 13, 2018, 10:33:13 PM »
Seeing that eastern blue nub in Eastern Washington County makes me think that removing the townships and boroughs from the along the Monongahela River probably prevented Lamb from winning by even more. Gerrymandering at work!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #65 on: March 13, 2018, 10:45:55 PM »
Steve Kornaki is saying that Trump did 7% worst in both Washington and Westmoreland counties in the absentee votes then the day of votes.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #66 on: March 13, 2018, 10:51:32 PM »
Stephen Hawking died RIP
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Gass3268
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« Reply #67 on: March 13, 2018, 10:53:49 PM »
Quote from: marty on March 13, 2018, 10:52:05 PM
CNN saying trump is on track to lose 118 house seats in 2018, beating fdr's 71 seat loss in 1942.

If you directly extrapolate from these results.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #68 on: March 13, 2018, 10:57:32 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on March 13, 2018, 10:56:13 PM
Quote from: henster on March 13, 2018, 10:52:53 PM
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According to a source, one of the outstanding precincts (N. Ligonier, Westmoreland Co.) voted Saccone (R) 479-285. That's about what we expected, and it's consistent w/ Lamb (D) lead holding at around 400-600 votes.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973768397174517760

Lamb lead now down to 653. Probably will end up around 500 +/-100

Latrobe won't be that bad for Lamb. He's already won one of the precincts there.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #69 on: March 13, 2018, 11:01:38 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #70 on: March 13, 2018, 11:02:51 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #71 on: March 14, 2018, 07:22:56 AM »
PPP did a post election survey of the PA-18 electorate

Out of those who voted last night, Trump only had a 50-48 approval rating.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #72 on: March 14, 2018, 08:43:35 AM »
Saccone probably would have won if he would have done better in his house district:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #73 on: March 14, 2018, 10:12:36 AM »
Quote from: PittsburghSteel on March 14, 2018, 09:54:42 AM
Lamb lead down to 627, still no way Saccone can take the win.

Ok, major networks, call the damn election.

This was the Greene absentee votes.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #74 on: March 14, 2018, 12:53:36 PM »
The race that I am now excited for is OH-12. Will we see the Democratic suburban surge in Columbus like we did in Pittsburg last night?
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