PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose

[Brittain33]

Looks like a little more Red Washington came in.

[Brittain33]

.4% lead with 6% left

But that's after a lot of Westmoreland...

[Brittain33]

Monmouth isn't looking great tonight.

[Brittain33]

Moon Twp came in and increased Lamb's lead slightly.

[Brittain33]

I don't see Saccone picking up 900 votes in those parts of Washington County.

[Brittain33]

So Lamb practically won. Those absentees are going to boost him.

Are they usually Dem leaning? Why?

Wasserman says that in the past, the absentees have run slightly more D than the overall vote.

I expect the fact that only Lamb had a robust and functional campaign helps here.

[Brittain33]

Based on what we have seen since the GA election, I honestly think Ossof actually was a disappointment.

No sh**t, Sherlock?

Many independents and Republicans have soured on the national party since Ossoff's race. He'd win narrowly today.

[Brittain33]

Not going to stop some Bernie supporters from slamming "the DNC" for abandoning candidates.

[Brittain33]

It seems that the close race, and a the now chance of a recount is allowing the GOP to basically avoid talking about the fact they lost a seat they should never have lost

They can avoid talking, they can spin, but the representatives know what's happening.

[Brittain33]

I can’t tell you how old those posts calling Conor a daddy make me feel.

[Brittain33]

LOL @ the Republican spin that "Conor Lamb is practically a Republican".

Are we going to hear that excuse on November 6 too? "The Democrats may have retaken the House, but many of these newly elected Democratic representatives are in fact true conservatives and closet Trumpists!"

They used this after the shellacking in 2006. Democrats won all over the country and Republicans didn’t flip a single seat, so every Republican on tv pointed to Heath Shuler's win as a conservative victory.

[Brittain33]

A few months ago, when Murphy resigned and the special election was called, I remember Sean Trende tweeting that "here is another chance for the Democrats to lose another race by 5-6 points and claim moral victory afterwards".

I guess things went a little differently than he anticipated.

Sean Trende is a neutral political observer and I don't know why you'd imply otherwise.