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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 127706 times)
Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #450 on: February 19, 2018, 12:34:23 am »

This is a good profile on Lamb:

https://www.politico.com/magazine/amp/story/2018/02/18/conor-lamb-pennsylvania-special-election-profile-217018
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PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #451 on: February 19, 2018, 07:53:15 am »

Conor met with Moms Demand Action yesterday...

It looks like he’s trying to find a position where Saccone can’t attack him.

https://twitter.com/conorlambpa/status/965389456869126149
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #452 on: February 19, 2018, 11:59:32 am »

See, Lamb is sucha. flip flopper, ridiculous.
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hofoid
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« Reply #453 on: February 19, 2018, 12:04:45 pm »

See, Lamb is sucha. flip flopper, ridiculous.
Way to completely shatter any progress he made from that smart move he made in a tough district.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #454 on: February 19, 2018, 12:42:22 pm »

Does meeting with a group automatically change all of your policy position to match the ones they support? I am not sure that is how it works.
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hofoid
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« Reply #455 on: February 19, 2018, 12:44:18 pm »

Does meeting with a group automatically change all of your policy position to match the ones they support? I am not sure that is how it works.
Optics is everything. I'm sure no GOP candidate in a similar situation (Let's say a D+11) should line up to appear with Milo Yiannopoulos.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #456 on: February 19, 2018, 12:58:13 pm »

See, Lamb is sucha. flip flopper, ridiculous.
Way to completely shatter any progress he made from that smart move he made in a tough district.

I would bet $1,000,000 that less than 2% of people actually voting in the special election will know that Lamb took this meeting, less than 1% will know what "Mom's demand action" is, less than 0.5% will have a negative opinion of them, and less than 0.01% will care. Not everybody is an atlas forum poster, dude.
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OkThen
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« Reply #457 on: February 19, 2018, 01:06:01 pm »

Lamb basically saying new gun laws are not the answer, the focus should be on mental health...

http://triblive.com/local/allegheny/13308322-74/democrat-conor-lamb-says-new-gun-laws-not-needed-to-prevent-violence
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Holmes
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« Reply #458 on: February 19, 2018, 01:09:25 pm »

Some of these posts remind me of the people who were writing Northam's campaign autopsy a week before the election.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #459 on: February 19, 2018, 01:21:51 pm »

Some of these posts remind me of the people who were writing Northam's campaign autopsy a week before the election.

Remember when a union left Fairfax out of their campaign literature?
That really killed his campaign.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #460 on: February 19, 2018, 01:27:38 pm »

Some of these posts remind me of the people who were writing Northam's campaign autopsy a week before the election.

Remember when a union left Fairfax out of their campaign literature?
That really killed his campaign.

Looking back, GOP operatives were extremely successful at getting MSM to concern-troll and hype every singe little "scandal" of the Northam campaign. There was the union flyer thing, the sanctuary cities "issue", Buena Vista Parade-gate, the Latino Victory ad.

It's legitimately crazy. There was day after day of frenzied media coverage of the truck ad, people calling it racist, pundits declaring it the downfall of Northam. Somehow everyone forgot that ED GILLESPIE HAD BEEN RUNNING RACIST ADS FOR THE PAST TWO MONTHS!

But Northam won in a landslide, so whatevs.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #461 on: February 19, 2018, 01:30:59 pm »

Does meeting with a group automatically change all of your policy position to match the ones they support? I am not sure that is how it works.
Optics is everything. I'm sure no GOP candidate in a similar situation (Let's say a D+11) should line up to appear with Milo Yiannopoulos.

So, meeting a group that wants to prevent high school shootings is the same as meeting a Nazi.
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THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #462 on: February 19, 2018, 04:36:27 pm »

Looks like PA-18 — now PA-14 — got more conservative in order to creater more Democratic districts elsewhere?
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Ses
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« Reply #463 on: February 19, 2018, 04:57:32 pm »

Looks like PA-18 — now PA-14 — got more conservative in order to creater more Democratic districts elsewhere?

I don't believe either Lamb or Saccone live here anyway...
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #464 on: February 19, 2018, 05:21:42 pm »

Neither Lamb nor Saccone live in the new PA-14 which is the Heir to PA-18. That said, I'm not sure PA requires congressmen to live in their districts - there is no national requirement for it. Saccone lives in Elizabeth township in South Allegheny, if he wins, he is fine. He is close enough to the district that he shouldn't need to move if there are no residency requirements, and moving shouldn't be a hassle if needed since the district is just a few miles away. Lamb on the other hand lives in Mt Lebanon, which is now in PA-17. If he wins, he has to challenge Rothfus to stay in congress.
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« Reply #465 on: February 19, 2018, 05:22:44 pm »

Lamb will be the favorite to challenge Rothfus in PA17, and he will probably win.
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Vosem
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« Reply #466 on: February 19, 2018, 05:25:55 pm »

Incidentally, if Lamb does win, Rothfus could conceivably choose to run for reelection here; he is not particularly far outside of this seat's boundaries and could easily move, and given how Republican the seat is he would pretty much have a safe seat for life. You could see Lamb and Rothfus simply switching districts.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #467 on: February 19, 2018, 07:20:42 pm »

I'm watching the debate here: https://www.facebook.com/CBSPittsburgh/videos/10155616382643822/

Lamb is a very good speaker... I'll be disappointed if he loses. He has a very good message. Saccone is basically just Trump, Trump, Trump.
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Mondale
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« Reply #468 on: February 19, 2018, 07:29:32 pm »

I'm watching the debate here: https://www.facebook.com/CBSPittsburgh/videos/10155616382643822/

Lamb is a very good speaker... I'll be disappointed if he loses. He has a very good message. Saccone is basically just Trump, Trump, Trump.

I watched 5 minutes of that and Suckone puts me to sleep
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YE
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« Reply #469 on: February 19, 2018, 07:47:56 pm »

"Social Security is going to go broke this year" - Saccone

And Saccone just admitted to not paying his workers minimum wage.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #470 on: February 19, 2018, 07:51:11 pm »

"Social Security is going to go broke this year" - Saccone

And Saccone just admitted to not paying his workers minimum wage.

What is he smoking?  Isn't the current estimate for the trust fund to be depleted around 2035?
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PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #471 on: February 19, 2018, 07:53:10 pm »

Yeah, Lamb is obviously the more superior and appealing candidate. Saccone is just trying to tap into the Trump base... he needs to realize that Trump only has a 51% approval in the district. He also sounds like an asshole.
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#Solid4096
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« Reply #472 on: February 19, 2018, 07:54:19 pm »

I still think this race is Lean R, but I am revising my estimate to Saccone winning 50-49.
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« Reply #473 on: February 19, 2018, 08:00:54 pm »
« Edited: February 19, 2018, 08:03:58 pm by PittsburghSteel »

Oh God, that debate was painful for Team Saccone. If we are going off of Facebook and Twitter, Lamb should win in a landslide.

All Saccone really did was attack him on his nonexistent devotion to Nancy Pelosi...

This debate showed us that America needs young people with fresh ideas in congress.
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nerd73
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« Reply #474 on: February 19, 2018, 08:02:17 pm »

I have a feeling this will be another 51-49% heartbreaker for Democrats similar to GA-06.

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