PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Saw a picture on Instagram of somebody voting in Forward Township in Allegheny. Nobody was in line. Trump won here with 66% of the vote.

Looks like Saccone will win it with 100%!

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

this anecdotal stuff is so stupid

Yeah lol

Unless we have a bunch of data points to compare to, this is kinda misleading

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I think y'all are getting a little too excited. I like how people in this thread are way more confident about PA-18 than they were about Virginia.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

https://twitter.com/coopieallen/status/973668263375851530

I fail to see how Saccone would win with turnout exceeding expectations.

Obviously it's a red wave of Republicans for Saccone

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I don’t know why, I just can’t bring myself to care as much about this race as I did ga 6 or the Kansas race

Maybe it’s because there will be another election at end of year in this district, maybe because I like Conor lamb and think he is actually pretty centrist or right leaning

He's definitely left leaning on economics, although fairly center on cultural issues.

He's a good, honest dude that we need more of in politics.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I'm not convinced Lamb has this.  He's only 585 votes ahead with 97 percent of the vote in.

Saccone was a really horrible candidate, and Lamb was a really good one.  The race was not overly nationalized, and this area is more ancestrally Democratic than the 2016 results show.  

All of what you said is true in terms of why it's a close race to begin with, but the absentee ballots likely add at least another 1,000 to Lamb's lead. Saccone ran as a Bush republican while Lamb ran as a populist. Can't say that these are shocking results.

Wrong. Saccone ran as a Trump republican.

Turns out being a "deplorable" is a garbage strategy because you lose educated whites, hispanics, african americans, and asians (all of these groups are growing Bigly). Oh, and this district didn't have any of the 3 latter groups, although it did have a bit more educated whites than the US as a whole.

I am a potential GOP voter (I voted Johnny Isakson and Drew Ferguson), but it is very very hard to get me with the Trump strategy.

Even if Saccone wins (which is still possible), this is a completely embarrassing result for you trumptards. Stop effing my party up and get the hell out.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Alleghaney Absentee

1930 Lamb
1178 Snowcone

Is that all of the absentees? I thought there were supposed to be ~4200 in Allegheny.

That many were sent out I believe. These were returned.

Got it.

Does seem like Lamb wins at this point. Can't see Saccone managing 848 votes net from maybe 3000 absentee ballots, max.

Yeah, and the Allegheny absentee ballots leaned dem by 10% more than the county at large.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

If only Democrats were as pro-labor as Conor Lamb, they'd easily win back Obama voters in the WWC. Lamb isn't a progressive but much like Joe Biden is a good match for the WWC anyway. 

They are. The difference is they don't focus their campaigns on unions and union-friendly economic issues.

They definitely should in these sorts of midwestern/appalachian districts. It's a big mistake not to.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Not the word is Washington results will come in around anywhere from 2:15 to 3

Of course lol