|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 06, 2020, 01:55:57 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 84 85 86 87 88 [89] 90 91 92 93 94 ... 104 Print
Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 127720 times)
Oryxslayer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,994


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2200 on: March 13, 2018, 10:52:07 pm »

Logged
America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,432
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2201 on: March 13, 2018, 10:52:42 pm »


O
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,764


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2202 on: March 13, 2018, 10:52:53 pm »

More
According to a source, one of the outstanding precincts (N. Ligonier, Westmoreland Co.) voted Saccone (R) 479-285. That's about what we expected, and it's consistent w/ Lamb (D) lead holding at around 400-600 votes.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973768397174517760
Logged
Webnicz
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2203 on: March 13, 2018, 10:53:33 pm »

waiting for Carlos Curbello's retirement announcement
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,715
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2204 on: March 13, 2018, 10:53:49 pm »

CNN saying trump is on track to lose 118 house seats in 2018, beating fdr's 71 seat loss in 1942.

If you directly extrapolate from these results.
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,568
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2205 on: March 13, 2018, 10:53:58 pm »

CNN saying trump is on track to lose 118 house seats in 2018, beating fdr's 71 seat loss in 1942.

List of the seats:

Logged
Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,156
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2206 on: March 13, 2018, 10:54:10 pm »

*darth vader voice* Nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
Logged
Oryxslayer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,994


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2207 on: March 13, 2018, 10:54:45 pm »

CNN saying trump is on track to lose 118 house seats in 2018, beating fdr's 71 seat loss in 1942.

114 less R than this one. Some of those mind you have incumbents or poor dem candidates or actually will see reasonable turnout on the R side. So, it is kinda grandstanding/strawmen depending n which side to say dems win that much.
Logged
YE
Moderators
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 9,737


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -0.52


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2208 on: March 13, 2018, 10:54:46 pm »

Special elections are much more elastic than national elections. I'd hold off the breaks on even a gain of 60-70 at this point.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,962
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2209 on: March 13, 2018, 10:55:03 pm »

So. Would Gina Cerilli have been a better candidate? Or would she not have prevailed without Lamb's Allegheny hometown advantage?
Logged
clash
CommanderClash
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458
Bermuda


Political Matrix
E: -1.74, S: 2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2210 on: March 13, 2018, 10:55:27 pm »

Beginning to notice a pattern among winning Democratic candidates but I can't put my finger on it.




are you honestly saying the democratic party is too white?  lol

Iím suggesting that the present policy of chasing white men out of the party may be illl-advised.
Logged
America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,432
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2211 on: March 13, 2018, 10:55:53 pm »

CNN saying trump is on track to lose 118 house seats in 2018, beating fdr's 71 seat loss in 1942.

If you directly extrapolate from these results.
I don't see that happening in reality.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,757


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2212 on: March 13, 2018, 10:56:04 pm »

CNN saying trump is on track to lose 118 house seats in 2018, beating fdr's 71 seat loss in 1942.

If you directly extrapolate from these results.

Why wouldn't that be a reasonable thing to do? Saccone is a generic R and lamb seems like a typical midwest dem.
Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,500


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2213 on: March 13, 2018, 10:56:13 pm »

More
According to a source, one of the outstanding precincts (N. Ligonier, Westmoreland Co.) voted Saccone (R) 479-285. That's about what we expected, and it's consistent w/ Lamb (D) lead holding at around 400-600 votes.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973768397174517760

Lamb lead now down to 653. Probably will end up around 500 +/-100
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,715
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2214 on: March 13, 2018, 10:57:32 pm »

More
According to a source, one of the outstanding precincts (N. Ligonier, Westmoreland Co.) voted Saccone (R) 479-285. That's about what we expected, and it's consistent w/ Lamb (D) lead holding at around 400-600 votes.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973768397174517760

Lamb lead now down to 653. Probably will end up around 500 +/-100

Latrobe won't be that bad for Lamb. He's already won one of the precincts there.
Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,500


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2215 on: March 13, 2018, 10:57:38 pm »

Both Westmoreland precincts in: Lamb lead goes from 847 to 579. Positioned to win with absentee ballots still uncounted in Washington, Westmoreland, and Greene counties.
Logged
Sentor MAINEiac4434 of Lincoln
MAINEiac4434
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,307
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2216 on: March 13, 2018, 10:57:42 pm »

Last two Westmoreland precincts finally came in. Lamb lead now 579.
Logged
libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,618
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2217 on: March 13, 2018, 10:57:44 pm »

More
According to a source, one of the outstanding precincts (N. Ligonier, Westmoreland Co.) voted Saccone (R) 479-285. That's about what we expected, and it's consistent w/ Lamb (D) lead holding at around 400-600 votes.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973768397174517760

Lamb lead now down to 653. Probably will end up around 500 +/-100
Ahh, the real LimoLiberal is back!
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,087
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2218 on: March 13, 2018, 10:59:27 pm »

CNN saying trump is on track to lose 118 house seats in 2018, beating fdr's 71 seat loss in 1942.

If you directly extrapolate from these results.

Why wouldn't that be a reasonable thing to do? Saccone is a generic R and lamb seems like a typical midwest dem.

Lamb is well to the right of most potential nominees. The Dems will win 30 seats in the house at the absolute most.
Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,500


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2219 on: March 13, 2018, 10:59:43 pm »

More
According to a source, one of the outstanding precincts (N. Ligonier, Westmoreland Co.) voted Saccone (R) 479-285. That's about what we expected, and it's consistent w/ Lamb (D) lead holding at around 400-600 votes.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/973768397174517760

Lamb lead now down to 653. Probably will end up around 500 +/-100
Ahh, the real LimoLiberal is back!

Wut? I'm literally saying Lamb is going to win.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2220 on: March 13, 2018, 11:01:16 pm »

Last two Westmoreland precincts finally came in. Lamb lead now 579.
That is including the absentees.   
Logged
Buckhead Kelly
Patrick97
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,458
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2221 on: March 13, 2018, 11:01:27 pm »

Lamb won. Saccone has to do better with absentee ballots than the election day votes to overcome Lamb's lead. That basically game over for Republicans.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,715
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2222 on: March 13, 2018, 11:01:38 pm »

Logged
Sentor MAINEiac4434 of Lincoln
MAINEiac4434
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,307
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2223 on: March 13, 2018, 11:01:53 pm »

WESTMORELAND ABSENTEES ARE IN TOO
Logged
Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,156
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2224 on: March 13, 2018, 11:02:06 pm »

According to Harry Enten that Westermoreland vote dump included absentees. No good for Rick
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 84 85 86 87 88 [89] 90 91 92 93 94 ... 104 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines