PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
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Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 200438 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1950 on: March 13, 2018, 09:38:19 PM »
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AtorBoltox
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« Reply #1951 on: March 13, 2018, 09:38:58 PM »
Quote from: Fuzzy Bear on March 13, 2018, 09:36:21 PM
I'm not convinced Lamb has this.  He's only 585 votes ahead with 97 percent of the vote in.

Saccone was a really horrible candidate, and Lamb was a really good one.  The race was not overly nationalized, and this area is more ancestrally Democratic than the 2016 results show.  
Stop the spin. It was held by a margin of 20%. Even if Saccone ekes out a victory it's a disastrous result for the GOP
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #1952 on: March 13, 2018, 09:39:40 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on March 13, 2018, 09:37:32 PM


Nate cohn expects a 541 Saccone net from the remaining precincts, puts this really close for Lamb.

That guy never predicts anything right
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1953 on: March 13, 2018, 09:40:08 PM »
All things considered, I'm glad the Needle wasn't functional tonight.  It would have raised the anxiety level here to new levels.

This race won't be called tonight.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1954 on: March 13, 2018, 09:40:13 PM »
Lamb will win through absentees.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1955 on: March 13, 2018, 09:40:19 PM »
Washington County, Pennsylvania has just been added to by poop list.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #1956 on: March 13, 2018, 09:40:36 PM »
Quote from: Scott🦋 on March 13, 2018, 09:36:03 PM

UGH
Remember that Democrats still control almost all local offices in Greene and Washington County.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1957 on: March 13, 2018, 09:40:55 PM »
Anybody know when the absentee ballots will be counted?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1958 on: March 13, 2018, 09:40:58 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on March 13, 2018, 09:40:08 PM
All things considered, I'm glad the Needle wasn't functional tonight.  It would have raised the anxiety level here to new levels.

This race won't be called tonight.

No .... "The Needle" is the best!
LOL.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1959 on: March 13, 2018, 09:41:28 PM »
Quote from: Bagel23 on March 13, 2018, 09:40:55 PM
Anybody know when the absentee ballots will be counted?

Allegheny should report about midnight.  Greene & Washington won't report until tomorrow morning.  Not sure about Westmoreland.
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AtorBoltox
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« Reply #1960 on: March 13, 2018, 09:41:33 PM »
It's obvious Lamb is going to win, even if it can't officially be called
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #1961 on: March 13, 2018, 09:42:28 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on March 13, 2018, 09:30:55 PM
For the record, the official Bush margin of victory in Florida in 2000 was 537 votes. What are we thinking, closer than that?


NM by raw votes I believe was even closer than FL that year
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1962 on: March 13, 2018, 09:42:56 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on March 13, 2018, 09:41:28 PM
Quote from: Bagel23 on March 13, 2018, 09:40:55 PM
Anybody know when the absentee ballots will be counted?

Allegheny should report about midnight.  Greene & Washington won't report until tomorrow morning.  Not sure about Westmoreland.

I'll be up till 2 or 3am since its spring break so I'll be waiting.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1963 on: March 13, 2018, 09:43:07 PM »
Numbers moved again.
Lamb back up to leading by about 750 votes.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1964 on: March 13, 2018, 09:43:17 PM »
Lamb + 755
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Sestak
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« Reply #1965 on: March 13, 2018, 09:43:22 PM »
ALLEGHENY ALL IN.  LAMB BY 755.
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Doimper
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« Reply #1966 on: March 13, 2018, 09:43:28 PM »
Quote from: Fuzzy Bear on March 13, 2018, 09:36:21 PM
I'm not convinced Lamb has this.  He's only 585 votes ahead with 97 percent of the vote in.

Saccone was a really horrible candidate, and Lamb was a really good one.  The race was not overly nationalized, and this area is more ancestrally Democratic than the 2016 results show.  

Yikes. The delusion is strong.
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Hammy
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« Reply #1967 on: March 13, 2018, 09:43:31 PM »
Why the delay in absentee counting? Are they planning on "misplacing" some ballots?
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💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
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« Reply #1968 on: March 13, 2018, 09:43:37 PM »
I drove through this district a couple times in September 2016 and there were Trump signs everywhere. This is a good sign for 2018/2020.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1969 on: March 13, 2018, 09:43:52 PM »
DDHQ just tweeted these numbers:

Lamb (D) - 107, 456 (49.9%)
Saccone (R) - 106,345 (49.4%)
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Matty
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« Reply #1970 on: March 13, 2018, 09:44:00 PM »
Lost in all of this: monmouth pooped the bed.

their high turnout model (which this race is) is off by labout 5 points.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #1971 on: March 13, 2018, 09:44:37 PM »

They're saying 100% but unclear if this includes absentees. Greene is counting absentees tomorrow and says they are 100% reporting.
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Pennsylvania Deplorable
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« Reply #1972 on: March 13, 2018, 09:44:42 PM »
Quote from: Fuzzy Bear on March 13, 2018, 09:36:21 PM
I'm not convinced Lamb has this.  He's only 585 votes ahead with 97 percent of the vote in.

Saccone was a really horrible candidate, and Lamb was a really good one.  The race was not overly nationalized, and this area is more ancestrally Democratic than the 2016 results show.  
All of what you said is true in terms of why it's a close race to begin with, but the absentee ballots likely add at least another 1,000 to Lamb's lead. Saccone ran as a Bush republican while Lamb ran as a populist. Can't say that these are shocking results.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1973 on: March 13, 2018, 09:44:59 PM »
755 votes. I don't think Rick can make up raw vote and absentee should boost Lamb around midnight  
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1974 on: March 13, 2018, 09:45:10 PM »
I don't see how Saccone can get 756 votes.
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