|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 30, 2020, 09:46:27 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 47 48 49 50 51 [52] 53 54 55 56 57 ... 104 Print
Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 127530 times)
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,500


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1275 on: March 13, 2018, 05:23:44 pm »



Wow! This was one of the most democratic precincts in Wash co. in 2018! 48-48 between Trump and Hillary.
Logged
Oryxslayer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,980


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1276 on: March 13, 2018, 05:23:54 pm »

Hereís a random question

Has a party that holds national power ever won in a ďbig upsetĒ special election?

Like, letís say in a Massachusetts election with trump as prez, a republican knocked off a Democrat for a debate or house race.

Has something like that ever happened?



Kathy Hochul in 2011?

Best example I can think of

Yeah these things have happened in the past, the tend to usually be because of scandal with the 'expected' party, pushing the defending party to victory.
Logged
Canis
canis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,504


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -7.13

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1277 on: March 13, 2018, 05:24:02 pm »

Just got on things looking great for lamb cautiously optimistic
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1278 on: March 13, 2018, 05:24:12 pm »



I REALLY can't see Lamb losing tonight.
Logged
History505
Guest
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1279 on: March 13, 2018, 05:30:06 pm »

I mean they say March goes out with a Lamb so...
Logged
Torrain
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,266
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1280 on: March 13, 2018, 05:31:20 pm »

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/13/upshot/needle-forecast-pennsylvania-special-election.html
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

This editorial is sponsored by King Lear, your one stop shop for breathlessly negative hottakes
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1281 on: March 13, 2018, 05:32:24 pm »



Likely D
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,758


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1282 on: March 13, 2018, 05:34:10 pm »

I donít know why, I just canít bring myself to care as much about this race as I did ga 6 or the Kansas race

Maybe itís because there will be another election at end of year in this district, maybe because I like Conor lamb and think he is actually pretty centrist or right leaning

Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,500


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1283 on: March 13, 2018, 05:35:53 pm »

I feel confident on Lamb, but this is a tiny bit worrying (and interesting) from a just-published Washington Post article:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/in-pennsylvanias-trump-country-a-surging-democrat-takes-house-race-down-to-the-wire/2018/03/13/d9192ccb-eba1-4cdc-bda3-dffab0ebaddc_story.html?__twitter_impression=true&__twitter_impression=true&__twitter_impression=true&utm_term=.6e6aa7fb5458

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
Logged
YPestis25
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 860


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1284 on: March 13, 2018, 05:40:08 pm »

So is it true that we're gonna get an exit poll for this? Seems like an awfully small race for that to be the case.
Logged
DTC
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,299


Political Matrix
E: 9.53, S: 10.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1285 on: March 13, 2018, 05:41:02 pm »

I donít know why, I just canít bring myself to care as much about this race as I did ga 6 or the Kansas race

Maybe itís because there will be another election at end of year in this district, maybe because I like Conor lamb and think he is actually pretty centrist or right leaning



He's definitely left leaning on economics, although fairly center on cultural issues.

He's a good, honest dude that we need more of in politics.
Logged
DemocraticKing
Rookie
**
Posts: 94


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1286 on: March 13, 2018, 05:42:13 pm »


We knew that already, but insiders said newer overnight numbers were bad for Saccone.
Logged
VirginiŠ
Virginia
Administrator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,120
Ukraine


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1287 on: March 13, 2018, 05:42:25 pm »

I am not able to be here / monitor the thread closely tonight, so I'm not moving LimoLiberal posts for the time being.

If he becomes a problem in any way, let me know and I will put him on mod review for tonight and just let the posts backlog into the abyss.

(so please don't go mad reporting his posts all night)

Logged
Ses
jk2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 9,662



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1288 on: March 13, 2018, 05:43:56 pm »

I am not able to be here / monitor the thread closely tonight, so I'm not moving LimoLiberal posts for the time being.

If he becomes a problem in any way, let me know and I will put him on mod review for tonight and just let the posts backlog into the abyss.

(so please don't go mad reporting his posts all night)

He's actually been fine so far. But we'll see.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,758


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1289 on: March 13, 2018, 05:45:55 pm »

Canít you just ignore limo?
Logged
VirginiŠ
Virginia
Administrator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,120
Ukraine


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1290 on: March 13, 2018, 05:47:12 pm »


This issue has been talked to death over the past week (re: The Atlas), so let's just focus on the PA election in this thread.
Logged
Hollywood756
Rookie
**
Posts: 118


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1291 on: March 13, 2018, 05:48:04 pm »

one must know how the enemy thinks.

On another note, I'm working on a state-level democratic campaign in a deep-red district. we've been moving with a very progressive campaign, but this Lamb race is making me think that maybe we need to center a bit more. Doesn't seem like a Bernie kinda guy.
Logged
Oryxslayer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,980


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1292 on: March 13, 2018, 05:50:00 pm »

I donít know why, I just canít bring myself to care as much about this race as I did ga 6 or the Kansas race

Maybe itís because there will be another election at end of year in this district, maybe because I like Conor lamb and think he is actually pretty centrist or right leaning



I get that feeling as well, and I am fairly confident it is because there is no scandal or overwhelming pressure forced upon the race. Georgia was the outside dems wanting to send a message. Kansas was Brownback. Montana was Assultforte. Alabama was Moore's diddling. When a scandal or outside controversy seizes control of a special campaign, the race becomes more then D v R. If Moore won then Rs would be seen as supporting pedophilia for example. If ot doesn't though, than it is just a (relatively) sleepy special, like South Carolina, Utah, and now this.
Logged
Pro-Life Single Issue Voter
ExtremeRepublican
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,601


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: 7.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1293 on: March 13, 2018, 05:53:55 pm »

I have followed this race remarkably little because I just assumed it would be a semi-underwhelming but ultimately comfortable win for Saccone.  It's clear that it will be close, though, so I'm just hoping for the best.  Also really waiting for TN SD 14.
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1294 on: March 13, 2018, 05:56:54 pm »

I have followed this race remarkably little because I just assumed it would be a semi-underwhelming but ultimately comfortable win for Saccone.  It's clear that it will be close, though, so I'm just hoping for the best.  Also really waiting for TN SD 14.

Itíll be close, but not a nail biter.
Logged
#Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 5,934
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1295 on: March 13, 2018, 05:58:43 pm »

I have followed this race remarkably little because I just assumed it would be a semi-underwhelming but ultimately comfortable win for Saccone.  It's clear that it will be close, though, so I'm just hoping for the best.  Also really waiting for TN SD 14.

Itíll be close, but not a nail biter.
in favor of who?
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1296 on: March 13, 2018, 06:00:05 pm »

I have followed this race remarkably little because I just assumed it would be a semi-underwhelming but ultimately comfortable win for Saccone.  It's clear that it will be close, though, so I'm just hoping for the best.  Also really waiting for TN SD 14.

Itíll be close, but not a nail biter.
in favor of who?

Lamb. All the information we are getting just points to a narrow but comfortable win of maybe 4 or 5 points.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,935
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1297 on: March 13, 2018, 06:00:46 pm »

May the handsomest man win!
Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,500


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1298 on: March 13, 2018, 06:00:49 pm »

I am not able to be here / monitor the thread closely tonight, so I'm not moving LimoLiberal posts for the time being.

If he becomes a problem in any way, let me know and I will put him on mod review for tonight and just let the posts backlog into the abyss.

(so please don't go mad reporting his posts all night)

Won't be concern-trolling tonight (or anytime in the future). Might be depressed if Lamb loses, but I certainly recognize that even a close loss signifies a democratic wave.
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,216
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1299 on: March 13, 2018, 06:01:07 pm »

1 hour until polls close.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 47 48 49 50 51 [52] 53 54 55 56 57 ... 104 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines