|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 30, 2020, 09:52:07 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 44 45 46 47 48 [49] 50 51 52 53 54 ... 104 Print
Author Topic: PA-18 Special Election - Lamb by a nose  (Read 127535 times)
History505
Guest
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1200 on: March 13, 2018, 03:37:54 pm »

I keep hearing that turnout is high all accross the district. According to Monmouth, that bodes very well for Lamb.
I can't help but get a bit of a GA-06 flasback though. Yes high turnout favored Lamb in Monmouth but that is 1 poll
Days before election:
Ossoff- losing momentum
Lamb- gaining momentum
I don't see a similarity.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,682
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1201 on: March 13, 2018, 03:39:52 pm »

Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1202 on: March 13, 2018, 03:41:58 pm »

If I read “GA-06” or “Jon Ossoff” one more time...
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 7,569
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1203 on: March 13, 2018, 03:43:39 pm »

If people want to vote they will vote at end of the day. If people don't want to vote then they won't vote. I doesn't matter if there is bad weather or long lines odds are they were never going to vote in the first place. People need to stop giving people excuses for just being lazy.

Not everyone can wait in line for hours. Some people have to pick up the kids, go between 2 jobs, etc...
Logged
Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,111
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1204 on: March 13, 2018, 03:47:59 pm »


Good for Lamb, Steele?
Logged
Truvinny
Rookie
**
Posts: 57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1205 on: March 13, 2018, 03:48:17 pm »

I keep hearing that turnout is high all accross the district. According to Monmouth, that bodes very well for Lamb.
I can't help but get a bit of a GA-06 flasback though. Yes high turnout favored Lamb in Monmouth but that is 1 poll
Days before election:
Ossoff- losing momentum
Lamb- gaining momentum
I don't see a similarity.

This.
Logged
Sentor MAINEiac4434 of Lincoln
MAINEiac4434
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,307
France


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -8.78


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1206 on: March 13, 2018, 03:52:47 pm »

I don't think that's right @Oryx. The red-republicans, blue-democrats color scheme was in use during 90s election coverage.
Nope, it only came to be in 2000 when all major networks used red-GOP blue-Dem. And then we had to stare at that map every day for another six weeks, so it kind of got ingrained in our heads.

It used to be the networks flipped back-and-forth between the two colors and two parties.
Logged
Babeuf
Rookie
**
Posts: 249


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1207 on: March 13, 2018, 03:56:40 pm »

If people want to vote they will vote at end of the day. If people don't want to vote then they won't vote. I doesn't matter if there is bad weather or long lines odds are they were never going to vote in the first place. People need to stop giving people excuses for just being lazy.

Not everyone can wait in line for hours. Some people have to pick up the kids, go between 2 jobs, etc...
Agreed. Long lines to vote are awful when preventable. They exclude people, especially working-class people, from the democratic process.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,682
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1208 on: March 13, 2018, 03:57:04 pm »

Turnout in Westmoreland county might be slipping:

Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,763


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1209 on: March 13, 2018, 03:58:26 pm »

Would have hoped for at least 40% in Allegheny, the snow has probably shaved 1-2% off of Lamb’s vote.
Logged
Truvinny
Rookie
**
Posts: 57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1210 on: March 13, 2018, 03:59:45 pm »

Turnout in Westmoreland county might be slipping:



Westmoreland is heavily Republican.
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1211 on: March 13, 2018, 04:01:00 pm »

Would have hoped for at least 40% in Allegheny, the snow has probably shaved 1-2% off of Lamb’s vote.

Lol no
Logged
ExSky
Rookie
**
Posts: 20


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1212 on: March 13, 2018, 04:01:56 pm »

Republicans having to pour 10 million+ into this, and outspending Lamb atleast 2 to 1 in an easy district, just to be trailing is not good....what’s going to happen on November 6
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,393
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1213 on: March 13, 2018, 04:03:02 pm »

Also:





Mount Lebanon is of course the one Democratic stronghold in the Allegheny portion of this district, and IRC Lambs home town.
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1214 on: March 13, 2018, 04:03:30 pm »

Anyways, Westmoreland having a slightly higher turnout than Allegheny is no big deal since the latter has more voters. But Allegheny having a higher turnout would certainly be more reassuring.
Logged
LimoLiberal
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,500


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1215 on: March 13, 2018, 04:03:40 pm »

Also:





Mount Lebanon is of course the one Democratic stronghold in the Allegheny portion of this district, and IRC Lambs home town.

Yes he'll get 70%+ there.
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1216 on: March 13, 2018, 04:04:45 pm »

More good news for Lamb-

Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,959
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1217 on: March 13, 2018, 04:05:04 pm »

henster is the new LimoLiberal.
Logged
ExSky
Rookie
**
Posts: 20


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1218 on: March 13, 2018, 04:05:34 pm »

Would have hoped for at least 40% in Allegheny, the snow has probably shaved 1-2% off of Lamb’s vote.

Bad weather keeps the old people home, not the young people
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1219 on: March 13, 2018, 04:06:29 pm »

Bad weather only deters those who aren't very enthusiastic about their candidate. In this election, that candidate is clearly Saccone.
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1220 on: March 13, 2018, 04:08:35 pm »

So with the exceeding turnout we are seeing, this election should be leaning more towards the "High Turnout" model Monmouth gave us. But, Allegheny exceeding expectations does increase the changes of the "Surge" model. IMO
Logged
Hindsight is 2020
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 6,111
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1221 on: March 13, 2018, 04:08:54 pm »

Yeah I'm getting to a point where I'll be really shocked if Lamb loses
Logged
Oryxslayer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,980


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1222 on: March 13, 2018, 04:10:19 pm »

I can't help but think that Lamb needs more out of Allegheny if Westmoreland is keeping pace with it, but we will see in a few hours...
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1223 on: March 13, 2018, 04:11:47 pm »

Yeah I'm getting to a point where I'll be really shocked if Lamb loses

We should still remain cautiously optimistic. Saccone could still win, but turnout exceeding expectations makes that very hard to believe. Let's also remember Monmouth has an A+ rating from 538 and they said that Conor should win by a comfortable margin if turnout is high.
Logged
#Bidemings2020
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,575
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1224 on: March 13, 2018, 04:12:49 pm »

I can't help but think that Lamb needs more out of Allegheny if Westmoreland is keeping pace with it, but we will see in a few hours...

Remember that Allegheny has way more voters than Westmoreland. Also, Westmoreland has a lot of Trump Democrats in it.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 44 45 46 47 48 [49] 50 51 52 53 54 ... 104 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines