Forward? – A 2012 Election Game (Sign Up and Rules Thread)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 07:35:33 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Forum Community
  Election and History Games (Moderator: Dereich)
  Forward? – A 2012 Election Game (Sign Up and Rules Thread)
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 21 22 23 24 25 [26] 27 28 29 30 31 ... 46
Author Topic: Forward? – A 2012 Election Game (Sign Up and Rules Thread)  (Read 33388 times)
Senator Spiral
Spiral
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,551
Bosnia and Herzegovina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #625 on: February 03, 2018, 08:56:41 PM »

Next turn, could we see some GE polls against specific candidates? That would be interesting.

Not until the number of candidates drops a bit, because eight possible Democratic and Republican candidates for match-ups is too much for me.

I understand.

One other question I've had on my mind recently is with the delegates. Are delegates going to be given out the same way for each state as IRL (e.g. Florida is winner-take-all) or will it be proportional?
Logged
Lumine
LumineVonReuental
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,738
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #626 on: February 03, 2018, 09:03:41 PM »

Next turn, could we see some GE polls against specific candidates? That would be interesting.

Not until the number of candidates drops a bit, because eight possible Democratic and Republican candidates for match-ups is too much for me.

I understand.

One other question I've had on my mind recently is with the delegates. Are delegates going to be given out the same way for each state as IRL (e.g. Florida is winner-take-all) or will it be proportional?

Aye, we go with the IRL method, which can be simplified for the sake of the game (example: the Iowa delegates have been selected, no state convention shenanigans later on). I still have some doubts as to the Democrats, so their delegates will probably be all awarded in a proportional matter (and superdelegates through a personal estimation of the candidates's influence).
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,817
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #627 on: February 03, 2018, 09:09:02 PM »

Next turn, could we see some GE polls against specific candidates? That would be interesting.

Not until the number of candidates drops a bit, because eight possible Democratic and Republican candidates for match-ups is too much for me.

I understand.

One other question I've had on my mind recently is with the delegates. Are delegates going to be given out the same way for each state as IRL (e.g. Florida is winner-take-all) or will it be proportional?

Aye, we go with the IRL method, which can be simplified for the sake of the game (example: the Iowa delegates have been selected, no state convention shenanigans later on). I still have some doubts as to the Democrats, so their delegates will probably be all awarded in a proportional matter (and superdelegates through a personal estimation of the candidates's influence).

What about Superdelegates who are Congressman/Senators/Governors, like Bruce Braley (I don't think anyone asked for his endorsement). How are you calculating those specific Superdelegates?
Logged
Lumine
LumineVonReuental
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,738
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #628 on: February 03, 2018, 09:17:26 PM »

What about Superdelegates who are Congressman/Senators/Governors, like Bruce Braley (I don't think anyone asked for his endorsement). How are you calculating those specific Superdelegates?

I'm not calculating them in specific, I don't have that much time at my disposal. An estimation is, I'm afraid, about the best I can do.
Logged
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,530
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #629 on: February 03, 2018, 09:18:42 PM »

I'll just use the Front-Runners for these predictions. First, Christie v Biden:



Christie: 343
Biden: 195

Christie v Clinton:



Christie: 278
Clinton: 260

Clinton v Jones:



Clinton: 338
Jones: 200

Jones v Biden:



Jones: 278
Biden: 260

Clinton v Fletcher:



Clinton: 341
Fletcher: 176
Clark: 21

Fletcher v Biden:



Biden: 374
Fletcher: 146
Clark: 21

There are my GE predictions, though I know some might be very wrong.
Logged
wxtransit
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,105


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #630 on: February 03, 2018, 09:21:49 PM »


What would have been Jindal vs. Clinton?
Logged
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,530
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #631 on: February 03, 2018, 09:26:55 PM »





Clinton: 269
Jindal: 269

Electoral tie, but only because Wisconsin barely goes to Jindal, simply because both have the conservative appeal. Factoring in Clark, the Vote Splitting would make sure this time happens.
Logged
wxtransit
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,105


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #632 on: February 03, 2018, 09:29:15 PM »





Clinton: 269
Jindal: 269

Electoral tie, but only because Wisconsin barely goes to Jindal, simply because both have the conservative appeal. Factoring in Clark, the Vote Splitting would make sure this time happens.

Maybe I should have stayed in... Wink
Logged
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,530
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #633 on: February 03, 2018, 09:31:39 PM »





Clinton: 269
Jindal: 269

Electoral tie, but only because Wisconsin barely goes to Jindal, simply because both have the conservative appeal. Factoring in Clark, the Vote Splitting would make sure this time happens.

Maybe I should have stayed in... Wink

At the very least, I can run as Lamar Alexander in the 2016 sequel if we have one.
Logged
wxtransit
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,105


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #634 on: February 03, 2018, 09:33:18 PM »





Clinton: 269
Jindal: 269

Electoral tie, but only because Wisconsin barely goes to Jindal, simply because both have the conservative appeal. Factoring in Clark, the Vote Splitting would make sure this time happens.

Maybe I should have stayed in... Wink

At the very least, I can run as Lamar Alexander in the 2016 sequel if we have one.

If there's a 2016 sequel, I'm running. For sure.
Logged
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,530
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #635 on: February 03, 2018, 09:34:33 PM »





Clinton: 269
Jindal: 269

Electoral tie, but only because Wisconsin barely goes to Jindal, simply because both have the conservative appeal. Factoring in Clark, the Vote Splitting would make sure this time happens.

Maybe I should have stayed in... Wink

At the very least, I can run as Lamar Alexander in the 2016 sequel if we have one.

If there's a 2016 sequel, I'm running. For sure.

Just remember to not drop out last minute. Tongue
Logged
adamevans
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 742
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #636 on: February 03, 2018, 09:35:53 PM »

I'd say I would beat Wesley in West Virginia. I've been very vocal in my support for keeping coal jobs alive. Hell, I stated that in my first rally.
Logged
wxtransit
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,105


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: 2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #637 on: February 03, 2018, 09:37:32 PM »





Clinton: 269
Jindal: 269

Electoral tie, but only because Wisconsin barely goes to Jindal, simply because both have the conservative appeal. Factoring in Clark, the Vote Splitting would make sure this time happens.

Maybe I should have stayed in... Wink

At the very least, I can run as Lamar Alexander in the 2016 sequel if we have one.

If there's a 2016 sequel, I'm running. For sure.

Just remember to not drop out last minute. Tongue

I dropped out because I had the flu Wink
Logged
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,530
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #638 on: February 03, 2018, 09:38:27 PM »

I'd say I would beat Wesley in West Virginia. I've been very vocal in my support for keeping coal jobs alive. Hell, I stated that in my first rally.

I think The vote splitting between you and Clinton would be too great for you to win, but Wesley would win within .10%, making it eligible for a recount if need be. Same for you v Biden.
Logged
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,530
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #639 on: February 03, 2018, 09:39:33 PM »





Clinton: 269
Jindal: 269

Electoral tie, but only because Wisconsin barely goes to Jindal, simply because both have the conservative appeal. Factoring in Clark, the Vote Splitting would make sure this time happens.

Maybe I should have stayed in... Wink

At the very least, I can run as Lamar Alexander in the 2016 sequel if we have one.

If there's a 2016 sequel, I'm running. For sure.

Just remember to not drop out last minute. Tongue

I dropped out because I had the flu Wink

Strangely enough *Knocks on wood* I haven't gotten the flu this entire Flu Season though I haven't gotten the vaccination.
Logged
Lumine
LumineVonReuental
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,738
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #640 on: February 03, 2018, 10:06:07 PM »

Turn closed.
Logged
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,530
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #641 on: February 03, 2018, 10:09:32 PM »

Representative Upton drops out in the race of the nomination and endorsed Fmr. Governor Fletcher hoping for a Vp pick when the convention comes around.

https://youtu.be/ztVMib1T4T4
Logged
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,530
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #642 on: February 03, 2018, 10:10:00 PM »

Representative Upton drops out in the race of the nomination and endorsed Fmr. Governor Fletcher hoping for a Vp pick when the convention comes around.
RIP JONES CHANCE AT FLIPPING UPTON VOTERS

Yep
Logged
Senator Spiral
Spiral
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,551
Bosnia and Herzegovina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #643 on: February 03, 2018, 10:12:09 PM »

Representative Upton drops out in the race of the nomination and endorsed Fmr. Governor Fletcher hoping for a Vp pick when the convention comes around.
RIP JONES CHANCE AT FLIPPING UPTON VOTERS

lol like people who were attracted to a candidate calling for repealing Taft-Hartley would switch over en masse to a doctrinaire conservative
Logged
adamevans
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 742
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #644 on: February 03, 2018, 10:16:41 PM »

Representative Upton drops out in the race of the nomination and endorsed Fmr. Governor Fletcher hoping for a Vp pick when the convention comes around.
RIP JONES CHANCE AT FLIPPING UPTON VOTERS

lol like people who were attracted to a candidate calling for repealing Taft-Hartley would switch over en masse to a doctrinaire conservative
Ernie is only socially doctrinaire conservative. Not so much economically.
Logged
Senator Spiral
Spiral
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,551
Bosnia and Herzegovina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #645 on: February 03, 2018, 10:24:40 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2018, 10:27:27 PM by Senator Spiral »

Representative Upton drops out in the race of the nomination and endorsed Fmr. Governor Fletcher hoping for a Vp pick when the convention comes around.
RIP JONES CHANCE AT FLIPPING UPTON VOTERS

lol like people who were attracted to a candidate calling for repealing Taft-Hartley would switch over en masse to a doctrinaire conservative
Ernie is only socially doctrinaire conservative. Not so much economically.

Well, it hasn't been evident nearly as much compared to the guy who's talked about bringing back Glass-Steagal. Upton voters are likely people who just vote for the contrarians in the party, so the majority will most likely go to Jones or Carolla. When I got the endorsements of both Jindal and Palin, I definitely didn't get the majority right away.

Anyway, Lumine will be the ultimate judge here, not your friend Wink
Logged
adamevans
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 742
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #646 on: February 03, 2018, 10:29:18 PM »

Representative Upton drops out in the race of the nomination and endorsed Fmr. Governor Fletcher hoping for a Vp pick when the convention comes around.
RIP JONES CHANCE AT FLIPPING UPTON VOTERS

lol like people who were attracted to a candidate calling for repealing Taft-Hartley would switch over en masse to a doctrinaire conservative
Ernie is only socially doctrinaire conservative. Not so much economically.

Well, it hasn't evident nearly as much compared to the guy who's talked about bringing back Glass-Steagal. Upton voters are likely people who just vote for the contrarians in the party, so the majority will most likely go to Jones or Carolla. When I got the endorsements of both Jindal and Palin, I definitely didn't get the majority right away.

Anyway, Lumine will be the ultimate judge here, not your friend Wink
You're comparing people that had anywhere from 6% to 25% nationally to someone with barely 1% in national polling. Upton voters are likely going to be swayed by his endorsement at the last minute.
Logged
Senator Spiral
Spiral
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,551
Bosnia and Herzegovina


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #647 on: February 03, 2018, 10:33:01 PM »

Representative Upton drops out in the race of the nomination and endorsed Fmr. Governor Fletcher hoping for a Vp pick when the convention comes around.
RIP JONES CHANCE AT FLIPPING UPTON VOTERS

lol like people who were attracted to a candidate calling for repealing Taft-Hartley would switch over en masse to a doctrinaire conservative
Ernie is only socially doctrinaire conservative. Not so much economically.

Well, it hasn't evident nearly as much compared to the guy who's talked about bringing back Glass-Steagal. Upton voters are likely people who just vote for the contrarians in the party, so the majority will most likely go to Jones or Carolla. When I got the endorsements of both Jindal and Palin, I definitely didn't get the majority right away.

Anyway, Lumine will be the ultimate judge here, not your friend Wink
You're comparing people that had anywhere from 6% to 25% nationally to someone with barely 1% in national polling. Upton voters are likely going to be swayed by his endorsement at the last minute.

I thought we were talking about New Hampshire here. That's the only place where Upton mattered and he was at 6%, so he was still matching Palin's national numbers. That's why Jason came to your rescue lol
Logged
adamevans
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 742
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #648 on: February 03, 2018, 10:36:21 PM »

Representative Upton drops out in the race of the nomination and endorsed Fmr. Governor Fletcher hoping for a Vp pick when the convention comes around.
RIP JONES CHANCE AT FLIPPING UPTON VOTERS

lol like people who were attracted to a candidate calling for repealing Taft-Hartley would switch over en masse to a doctrinaire conservative
Ernie is only socially doctrinaire conservative. Not so much economically.

Well, it hasn't evident nearly as much compared to the guy who's talked about bringing back Glass-Steagal. Upton voters are likely people who just vote for the contrarians in the party, so the majority will most likely go to Jones or Carolla. When I got the endorsements of both Jindal and Palin, I definitely didn't get the majority right away.

Anyway, Lumine will be the ultimate judge here, not your friend Wink
You're comparing people that had anywhere from 6% to 25% nationally to someone with barely 1% in national polling. Upton voters are likely going to be swayed by his endorsement at the last minute.

I thought we were talking about New Hampshire here. That's the only place where Upton mattered and he was at 6%, so he was still matching Palin's national numbers. That's why Jason came to your rescue lol
You're comparing 6% in a small state to 6% nationally tho which is nothing close to each other.
Logged
Jaguar4life
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,598
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #649 on: February 04, 2018, 12:02:50 AM »

Does my final post count?
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 21 22 23 24 25 [26] 27 28 29 30 31 ... 46  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.164 seconds with 9 queries.