Gravis Polling: Nelson 44 (D)-Scott 39 (R)

[Oryxslayer]

Nelson will win.

I mean in the end yeah probably, it is Bill Nelson after all, but is there any reason why polling has been so all over the place for this one?

Florida is a huge state and there have not been many high quality pollsters testing the race.

Also Scott got a massive boost from his administrations dealings with the summer Hurricanes. While that boost still lingers - this poll gives him 70% approval on his efforts, it has slightly worn off.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Meh, I'd say Likely D. Rick Scott saying No probably means someone like David Jolly jumps in, who wouldn't have much of  a chance, but you never count anything out in swing state Florida. Republicans aren't going to actually nominate Augustus Sol Invictus.

Jolly will never win a Republican primary.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Nelson will be facing an extremely tough race next year against Rick Scott, at this point I’d give a slight edge to Rick Scott, however that doesn’t mean Nelson can’t squeak it out. To me this race should be a national bellwether for Democrats, if their winning it their probably holding Down republican gains in the senate while if their losing it their probably facing a wipeout.

Ha ha sure Mr 'Moore by 10'.

His predictions are only slightly less absurd than LimoLIberal's.

[Hoosier_Nick]

Yeah, I agree with everyone that says with Nelson it's probably somewhere between Lean D and Tilt D. Without Scott, honestly it's Likely D.

[Brittain33]

Scott wins by 1% in Republican wave years, so of course he's going to trounce Nelson in a Democratic wave year if he's stupid enough to run, amirite?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Even if Nelson wins, Scott could make Democrats waste resources here.

I wouldn't say waste, it is a swing state.

[henster]

Nelson's biggest problem is his age he's the oldest incumbent in a competitive race right now. When there is a big age gap the incumbent is usually at a disadvantage.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Nelson's biggest problem is his age he's the oldest incumbent in a competitive race right now. When there is a big age gap the incumbent is usually at a disadvantage.

I'd say Darren Soto is his best possible successor as of now.

[Kamala]

Nelson's biggest problem is his age he's the oldest incumbent in a competitive race right now. When there is a big age gap the incumbent is usually at a disadvantage.

I'd say Darren Soto is his best possible successor as of now.

I’d say Kathy Castor is also a good pick.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I like Castor too and hope she runs for higher office down the road as well, but I think Soto is the best choice. Moderate look, looks decent, represents a younger generation, puerto rican origin, reminds me of our version of Marco Rubio, I think he has a lot of potential. I like Castor too though, got no beef with her at all.

[Donerail]

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Maybe I'm really daft, but what does this have to do with FL-SEN?

[Meatball Ron]

Maybe I'm really daft, but what does this have to do with FL-SEN?

This was a poem/song written by Darren Soto (incumbent Democratic Rep for FL-9) while he was in law school, for GWU Law's satirical law review. Some view Soto as a potential successor to Nelson when he likely retires in '24 (or if he were to announce a surprise retirement this year), and this could maybe get in his way given the current climate around sexual misconduct.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

Maybe I'm really daft, but what does this have to do with FL-SEN?

This was a poem/song written by Darren Soto (incumbent Democratic Rep for FL-9) while he was in law school, for GWU Law's satirical law review. Some view Soto as a potential successor to Nelson when he likely retires in '24 (or if he were to announce a surprise retirement this year), and this could maybe get in his way given the current climate around sexual misconduct.

I don't see an issue. That sh!t is lit.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Lol.

I like him even more.

[Former Kentuckian]

Maybe I'm really daft, but what does this have to do with FL-SEN?

This was a poem/song written by Darren Soto (incumbent Democratic Rep for FL-9) while he was in law school, for GWU Law's satirical law review. Some view Soto as a potential successor to Nelson when he likely retires in '24 (or if he were to announce a surprise retirement this year), and this could maybe get in his way given the current climate around sexual misconduct.

I don't see an issue. That sh!t is lit.

I want Cardi B to cover this

[Brittain33]

Bill Nelson is 75. That's like 34 in Senate years

[King Lear]

It's amazing that Florida still has a Democratic Senator, considering the state Leans Republican at the Presidential level (it's voted more Republican then the nation in every election since 1980) and it hasen't elected a Democratic governor since 1994. However, if Bill Nelson loses in November, then Florida will become one of many Southern states where Democrats don't hold any statewide elected offices.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It's amazing that Florida still has a Democratic Senator, considering the state Leans Republican at the Presidential level (it's voted more Republican then the nation in every election since 1980) and it hasen't elected a Democratic governor since 1994.

Clarence William Nelson is a miracle worker.

[Bidenworth2020]

It's amazing that Florida still has a Democratic Senator, considering the state Leans Republican at the Presidential level (it's voted more Republican then the nation in every election since 1980) and it hasen't elected a Democratic governor since 1994.

Clarence William Nelson is a miracle worker.

[pppolitics]

It's amazing that Florida still has a Democratic Senator, considering the state Leans Republican at the Presidential level (it's voted more Republican then the nation in every election since 1980) and it hasen't elected a Democratic governor since 1994. However, if Bill Nelson loses in November, then Florida will become one of many Southern states where Democrats don't hold any statewide elected offices.

The Florida Democratic Party is incompetent.

[McGovernForPrez]

Gravis has actually been on point lately. At least when they decide not to herd.

[CookieDamage]

Nelson will be facing an extremely tough race next year against Rick Scott, at this point I’d give a slight edge to Rick Scott, however that doesn’t mean Nelson can’t squeak it out. To me this race should be a national bellwether for Democrats, if their winning it their probably holding Down republican gains in the senate while if their losing it their probably facing a wipeout.

[kyc0705]

I don’t remember these lyrics in "Mr. Brightside."