It's election day in bama- roughly describe how you view the state of the race
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  It's election day in bama- roughly describe how you view the state of the race
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Poll
Question: How would you handicap it?
#1
Moore with a solid lead (5 or more)
 
#2
Moore with a slim lead (4 or less)
 
#3
Jones with a solid lead (5 or more)
 
#4
Jones with a slim lead (4 or less)
 
#5
WTF IS GOING ONNNNNN
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 105

Author Topic: It's election day in bama- roughly describe how you view the state of the race  (Read 3574 times)
Matty
boshembechle
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« on: December 12, 2017, 01:20:24 AM »

Go.
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Cactus Jack
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« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2017, 01:23:48 AM »

I am one confused cactus.
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Perlen vor den Schweinen
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« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2017, 01:25:23 AM »

They call Alabama the Crimson Tide. Call me Deacon Blues.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2017, 01:32:35 AM »

Toss-up. Tilt-Jones.
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wxtransit
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« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2017, 01:36:25 AM »

Wow. Well that went by a bit quick. My best guess is Moore winning by 3-6 points.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2017, 01:54:23 AM »

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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2017, 01:54:53 AM »

53-45 Moore.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2017, 02:02:23 AM »

Moore with around 52-53%, Jones at around 43-44%. Expect a slim but decent shy Moore vote.
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Horus
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« Reply #8 on: December 12, 2017, 02:02:51 AM »

55-44 Moore
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: December 12, 2017, 02:06:22 AM »


FTFY
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: December 12, 2017, 02:20:59 AM »

I'll predict a few counties that will be interesting to watch the margins.

Jefferson County

Jones: 65%
Moore: 32%

Montgomery County

Jones: 72%
Moore: 26%

Mobile County

Jones: 57%
Moore: 40%

Madison County

Jones: 55%
Moore: 41%

Shelby County

Moore: 60%
Jones: 37%

Baldwin County

Moore: 63%
Jones: 34%

Lee County

Jones: 49%
Moore: 48%

Tuscaloosa County

Jones: 56%
Moore: 39%

As far as compared to a race in Alabama in the past, I expect we'll see some of the accelerated trends from the 2016 election, like with the Virginia gubernatorial race. The whole state will obviously swing Democratic but metropolitan areas should be the strongest and rural areas with low incomes and educational levels should be least. Of course, it's Alabama, so the effect won't be that strong. I could be wrong though and this might be more like Louisiana 2015. There's no way to be sure.
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Pericles
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« Reply #11 on: December 12, 2017, 02:28:46 AM »

Anything could happen but I think Senator Jones will happen. Mind you Moore could easily win and maybe by a landslide.
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King Lear
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« Reply #12 on: December 12, 2017, 02:33:32 AM »

I sadly believe Roy Moore will win by a 10 point margin, however if I'm wrong and jones pulls it out that will foreshadow a devastating midterm for the GOP.
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: December 12, 2017, 02:47:43 AM »

Moore will win and it won't be that close. I'd love to be proven wrong, but I just can't fathom Jones winning.
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OriginalJeremiah
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« Reply #14 on: December 12, 2017, 03:04:35 AM »

I don't want to say Roy Moore will win because everything depends in this election, EVERYTHING! I think at the end of the night Doug Jones will win but it'll be close. when looking at Roy's 2012 election which he won with 51% (y'all are crazy to say he is gonna win with 52+% of the vote) I think with everything going on Alabama WILL make the right decision. DOUG!
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #15 on: December 12, 2017, 03:44:39 AM »

This is a state loaded with evangelicals--they have supported the Jim Bakker and Jimmy Swaggart type.    Moore fits in well with this ilk and will win it unfortunately.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #16 on: December 12, 2017, 05:41:54 AM »

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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #17 on: December 12, 2017, 07:03:03 AM »

Some of these late polls make me hopeful for Jones but this is Alabama.

Either way, Moore will be an albatross not only because of his alleged pedophelia, but he was a walking, talking relic of the Antebellum South. Watching Republicans squirm as they explain all of his inflammatory remarks will be nice.
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #18 on: December 12, 2017, 07:07:46 AM »

Roy Moore: 48.0%
Doug Jones: 46.5%
Write-In: 5.5%


I'm probably overestimating the number of votes that don't go to the Republican or the Democrat again, but whatever.
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forgotten manatee
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« Reply #19 on: December 12, 2017, 08:23:55 AM »

Chose the 'wtf' option. Moore is extremely unfit for serve for many reasons and would be DOA nearly anywhere else but its Alabama. That Jones + 10 Fox News poll was encouraging but its Alabama. I want Jones to win because I want a "North remembers" 2018 mid-term but its Alabama.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #20 on: December 12, 2017, 09:00:24 AM »
« Edited: December 12, 2017, 09:11:09 AM by Brittain33 »

Trolling deleted. -Mod
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Holmes
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« Reply #21 on: December 12, 2017, 09:37:10 AM »

I'll predict a few counties that will be interesting to watch the margins.

Jefferson County

Jones: 65%
Moore: 32%

Montgomery County

Jones: 72%
Moore: 26%

Mobile County

Jones: 57%
Moore: 40%

Madison County

Jones: 55%
Moore: 41%

Shelby County

Moore: 60%
Jones: 37%

Baldwin County

Moore: 63%
Jones: 34%

Lee County

Jones: 49%
Moore: 48%

Tuscaloosa County

Jones: 56%
Moore: 39%

As far as compared to a race in Alabama in the past, I expect we'll see some of the accelerated trends from the 2016 election, like with the Virginia gubernatorial race. The whole state will obviously swing Democratic but metropolitan areas should be the strongest and rural areas with low incomes and educational levels should be least. Of course, it's Alabama, so the effect won't be that strong. I could be wrong though and this might be more like Louisiana 2015. There's no way to be sure.

Those numbers seem like a comfortable Jones victory, provided the more rural areas have a decent swing towards Jones too. We'll see.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #22 on: December 12, 2017, 09:38:39 AM »

What I have thought, since the allegations emerged is: Expect a Moore victory, but don't be surprised if Jones pulls it out.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #23 on: December 12, 2017, 10:58:26 AM »


So now my predictions are trolling? I'm not just posting that to get reactions, its what I believe.
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TexArkana
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« Reply #24 on: December 12, 2017, 11:49:09 AM »


So now my predictions are trolling? I'm not just posting that to get reactions, its what I believe.
You cannot seriously believe that Roy Moore is going to win by the same margin over Jones as Trump did over Clinton. not even the most hardcore Moore supporters would say something like that.
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