Alabama Megathread 3: Results Thread

[Virginiá]

Oh

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https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/10/roy-moore-alabama-philadelphia-football-army-navy-288861

This won't have much of an impact, but this is truly deplorable.

“Desperate to steal this Senate race"

Do they even know what 'steal' means?

[Arkansas Yankee]

I have about changed course.

I thought Moore could be expelled for denying writing part of the yearbook notation.  I believe he wrote the potion below the signature.  Still think there is a strong possibility Nelson manufactured the signature. After some research I have found that almost nothing during a campaign, except corruption can get a Senator expelled. I guess that is best.  If lying was a grounds, there would be no one in the Senate.

I am not sure there would even be grounds for an ethics hearing.  Would he lie under oath?

Moore is a nut.  I do not want him in the Senate. I also think he is mean personally and publicly. I hate Bannon.

I would now join Senator Shelby in casting a write in vote.

If people like me change, Jones may have a chance.  He needs to run ads that Moore, if elected, can not be expelled.

I do think you should have run a true Blue Dog.

[MAINEiac4434]

Emerson poll tweets that their poll released tomorrow morning will show one candidate taking control

Emerson Poll Podcast‏ @EmersonPodcast
New @emersonpolling -> One candidate TAKES CONTROL in #ALSen - Has Doug Jones completed the COMEBACK v #RoyMoore ? Find out Monday morning on the podcast | SUBSCRIBE:

https://twitter.com/EmersonPodcast/status/939914880316002304

I hate this.

Right? Just release the goddamn poll. We’re not advertising the Super Bowl.

[Former Kentuckian]

Oh

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https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/10/roy-moore-alabama-philadelphia-football-army-navy-288861

That was nightmarish from start to finish, damn.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Moore by single digits, but there's about a 30% chance that Jones shocks the world and wins. Democrats should call for Moore's explusion and Alabama's secession, unless Jones wins of course.

What would be the grounds for expulsion?  

[Sestak]

Moore by single digits, but there's about a 30% chance that Jones shocks the world and wins. Democrats should call for Moore's explusion and Alabama's secession, unless Jones wins of course.

What be the grounds for expulsion? 

67.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Bright side for all of you, if Moore, would be a mill around the GOP’s neck,

[Pericles]

Just shows to show the arrogance of Alabama Republics that they think an Alabama Senate race belongs to them automatically so if Democrats win they 'stole' the race.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Bright side for all of you, if Moore, would be a mill around the GOP’s neck,

True.

[Tx_Longhorn]

What would the race look like if Jones ran as a pro-life Democrat?

[Pragmatic Conservative]

What would the race look like if Jones ran as a pro-life Democrat?

Maybe a 1% or 2% better at best but not much more so. The election seems to be coming down to whether voters believe the allegations against Roy Moore.

[America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗]

What would the race look like if Jones ran as a pro-life Democrat?

He does maybe 1-2% better, at most. I really think Jones has run a nearly flawless campaign, and if he loses, the blame lies solely on Alabama being too deeply Republican.

[Hydera]

What would the race look like if Jones ran as a pro-life Democrat?

Doug Jones losing by 3-8% to winning by 1-3%.

I'm mainly basing this on Alabama being more white than neighboring Louisiana by 6% so if you assume Bel Edward's win and put Alabama demographics and the different political history between the two states then probably Doug Jones winning by 1-3%.

[junior chįmp]

 Molestin' Moore is even more batshìt than previously thought:

Report: Roy Moore quoted Hitler, questioned 9/11 attacks in 2011 interviews

[Young Conservative]

What would the race look like if Jones ran as a pro-life Democrat?

Doug Jones losing by 3-8% to winning by 1-3%.

I'm mainly basing this on Alabama being more white than neighboring Louisiana by 6% so if you assume Bel Edward's win and put Alabama demographics and the different political history between the two states then probably Doug Jones winning by 1-3%.

This race would not even be close if Doug Jones was actually moderate and was profile. He would win by 5 or more.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

What would the race look like if Jones ran as a pro-life Democrat?

Maybe a 1% or 2% better at best but not much more so. The election seems to be coming down to whether voters believe the allegations against Roy Moore.

Moore's reason for not debating Jones was his position that Trans people have rights; I don't think it would make a huge difference if Jones was pro-life. There would be reasons to hate Jones regardless of his abortion positions. 1-2% sounds about right. I'd err towards 1%.

[Cactus Jack]

If Moore actually blows this, I really think it'll be more akin to a death by a thousand cuts aided by the assault deathblow in November. Even before he turned out to be a pedophiliac freak, he was a proven loser prone to saying plenty of wacky s**t anathema even to Alabamans, like the 9/11 gaffes.

[Holmes]

I've heard through the grapevines from someone who was in the know about VA polls before they released that there's a good poll for Jones releasing tomorrow. Could be the Emerson one?

[YPestis25]

I've heard through the grapevines from someone who was in the know about VA polls before they released that there's a good poll for Jones releasing tomorrow. Could be the Emerson one?

I wonder if it's the SUSA one someone was posting about earlier.

[Cactus Jack]

I've heard through the grapevines from someone who was in the know about VA polls before they released that there's a good poll for Jones releasing tomorrow. Could be the Emerson one?

I wonder if it's the SUSA one someone was posting about earlier.

Either one would be fantastic news for Jones, considering Emerson and SUSA both lean Republican (Emerson more dramatically).

[Holmes]

Does SUSA lean rep? Honestly I consider them a pretty good pollster. Too bad a lot of their clientele are lame local news stations that have them ask about how people feel about Christmas shopping or the crappy potholes downtown.

[Cactus Jack]

Does SUSA lean rep? Honestly I consider them a pretty good pollster. Too bad a lot of their clientele are lame local news stations that have them ask about how people feel about Christmas shopping or the crappy potholes downtown.

I seem to recall that they gave way too much benefit of the doubt to Rossi, Buck, and Angle in late 2010, but don't quote me on that. It's been a while.

[The Other Castro]

I've heard through the grapevines from someone who was in the know about VA polls before they released that there's a good poll for Jones releasing tomorrow. Could be the Emerson one?

I wonder if it's the SUSA one someone was posting about earlier.

Looks like that was just someone mixing up SUSA with SurveyMonkey unfortunately.

[YPestis25]

I've heard through the grapevines from someone who was in the know about VA polls before they released that there's a good poll for Jones releasing tomorrow. Could be the Emerson one?

I wonder if it's the SUSA one someone was posting about earlier.

Looks like that was just someone mixing up SUSA with SurveyMonkey unfortunately.

Rip. Well unless we get a surprise quality poster tomorrow, guess we'll be settling for Emerson.

[Matty]

Does SUSA lean rep? Honestly I consider them a pretty good pollster. Too bad a lot of their clientele are lame local news stations that have them ask about how people feel about Christmas shopping or the crappy potholes downtown.

Holmes, could it be a fox poll? Fox has been pretty friendly for Jones