Day 8.5: District of Columbia

[Alcon]

Discuss this endless sea of red.

Will the Republicans finally take Precinct 9 in Ward 3, which they only lost by 22 points!

So much excitement!

[Frodo]

If Republicans could take New York City among others, I see no reason why they can't eventually be viable in Washington, D.C. with a growing white middle class gradually displacing the currently overwhelmingly black majority.  The city is so overwhelmingly Democratic that there are bound to be dissensions among various constituencies (as in NYC) that could eventually open the way for a Republican like Rudy Giuliani to take over if Democrats screw up enough.   

[Jake]

Um, maybe when the blacks either improve their standing financially and see voting for the GOP makes sense DC would vote Republican, but not for the foreseable future. DC is treated like it's unique, but if you took a massively black area of NY and patched a white majority rich suburban area onto it, it would vote like DC.

[bgwah]

That map is sexy.

[Alcon]

Um, maybe when the blacks either improve their standing financially and see voting for the GOP makes sense DC would vote Republican, but not for the foreseable future. DC is treated like it's unique, but if you took a massively black area of NY and patched a white majority rich suburban area onto it, it would vote like DC.

D.C. is actually wealthier per capita, I think, than any other state.  I'm not sure why, but it certainly isn't all that poor - even among blacks.

[Jake]

It's because of Georgetown and the northwestern suburbs being so wealthy. When a fifth of the city is bringing hom 200,000 a year and the other four fifths are bringing home 20,000, that averages out to 56,000 per capita. Now, those numbers are approximations, but describe my point.

[Alcon]

It's because of Georgetown and the northwestern suburbs being so wealthy. When a fifth of the city is bringing hom 200,000 a year and the other four fifths are bringing home 20,000, that averages out to 56,000 per capita. Now, those numbers are approximations, but describe my point.

The median household income is also the highest, so that doesn't exactly support that theory.

[Hatman 🍁]

2000

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Have a look at this

This too. Almost surreal this map in some ways

[minionofmidas]

There are a couple of Black Middle Class enclaves within the city proper I see, but nowhere near the Western part of the city.
Also, good to see that even in DC Whites vote less Democratic than Blacks.

[Alcon]

Apparently the northeasternmost corner of the city has a median household income above $75,000 and votes over 90% Democratic.  Yikes.

[minionofmidas]

Apparently the northeasternmost corner of the city has a median household income above $75,000 and votes over 90% Democratic.  Yikes.

Neighboring PG's county is similarly rich, further out in the suburbs, and votes 82% Democratic, so why are you surprised? One of the most interesting trends of the past 20 years is the extinction of the Black middle class Republican.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Apparently the northeasternmost corner of the city has a median household income above $75,000 and votes over 90% Democratic.  Yikes.

That's pretty common in the bay area.

[Alcon]

Apparently the northeasternmost corner of the city has a median household income above $75,000 and votes over 90% Democratic.  Yikes.

Neighboring PG's county is similarly rich, further out in the suburbs, and votes 82% Democratic, so why are you surprised? One of the most interesting trends of the past 20 years is the extinction of the Black middle class Republican.

That's true.  However, are these areas predominately black?  The race map won't load for me.

Apparently the northeasternmost corner of the city has a median household income above $75,000 and votes over 90% Democratic.  Yikes.

That's pretty common in the bay area.

I'm sure it is, although one has to realise that Bay Area median incomes are a tad inflated - San Jose, not what I'd call a wealthy city, has a median income over $70,000, which is quite wealthy most anywhere else.

[minionofmidas]

Apparently the northeasternmost corner of the city has a median household income above $75,000 and votes over 90% Democratic.  Yikes.

Neighboring PG's county is similarly rich, further out in the suburbs, and votes 82% Democratic, so why are you surprised? One of the most interesting trends of the past 20 years is the extinction of the Black middle class Republican.

That's true.  However, are these areas predominately black?  The race map won't load for me.

Yes.

[Alcon]

Apparently the northeasternmost corner of the city has a median household income above $75,000 and votes over 90% Democratic.  Yikes.

Neighboring PG's county is similarly rich, further out in the suburbs, and votes 82% Democratic, so why are you surprised? One of the most interesting trends of the past 20 years is the extinction of the Black middle class Republican.

That's true.  However, are these areas predominately black?  The race map won't load for me.

Yes.

I suppose that makes sense.  How do the predominately white affluent areas of D.C. (if there are a significant number of them) vote?  I take it that would be the >60% precincts.

[minionofmidas]

The sixty and seventy ones, basically.

[MaC]

Looks like a GOP stonghold.
It'll probably be a very long time before anything changes.  The city becomes more and more Democratic every year it seems.  For it to go Republican, there'd have to be a mass Republican appeal in other cities also (Detroit, Chicago, New York, LA)  This alone would take a LOT longer than the typical re-alignment to where Democrats took the rural vote and Republicans took the urban vote.

[bgwah]

The city could be redder though. I just hope it breaks 90% in 2008!

[A18]

Discuss this endless sea of red.

Will the Republicans finally take Precinct 9 in Ward 3, which they only lost by 22 points!

So much excitement!

Where's that map from?

[Alcon]

The Atlas precinct information.  Only members can have it show up.

EDIT: ...Or maybe not.

[A18]

I am a member. Are there any other precinct maps?

[Alcon]

I am a member. Are there any other precinct maps?

Not that I know of.  Just D.C. 2000 and 2004.

[nclib]

It is interesting that from 2000 to 2004, D.C. trended Democrat, since most Northeastern cities trended Republican (albeit slightly) in 2004.

[minionofmidas]

The island of Manhattan trended Dem too. It's the 9/11 effect.