Oryxslayer
Atlas Icon
Posts: 10,790
|
 |
« on: November 25, 2017, 05:44:07 PM » |
|
|
« edited: November 25, 2017, 05:50:37 PM by Oryxslayer »
|
Don't buy CA losing seats - how exactly does this happen? If it is drought then why are the more vulnerable Colorado Rover states boom? I don't buy a lack of growth, CA has never stopped growing - the entire state isn't the high priced bay area. The only way I think CA can lose 5 districts in 3 cycles (CA is keeping all 53 in 2020, and earlier in the cycle was on track for 54) is a nuclear strile from NK, which isn't the best thing for these maps.
Similarly, Florida only haiming 3 seats isn't possible. Projections put it ar a gain of 2 this cycle, which means Florida only gains 1 seat in3 cycles. No.
Arizona gains 7, when they are currently gaining 1ish a cycle. Perhaps more growth could change that.
Utah gains 3??? Utah currently will only gain 1 in 2030. How does it gain two more? Does lighting growth occur in SLC? If so, then why is the state still safe R?
NY losing 7. Huh? NY is currently losing one a cycle, putting the state at a minimum of 25 EVs in 2050. The other thing about NY though is NYC and tge suburbs are still growing, upstate is just shrinking to fast for that growth to matter. Eventually this soft floor of NYC growth will prevent the state from losing a seat some cycles, but this may not happen by 2020.
|
