Day 12: Idaho
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 06:40:48 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  Day 12: Idaho
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Day 12: Idaho  (Read 3778 times)
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 05, 2005, 02:07:17 AM »



This is actually a very interesting state.

Discuss away, scurvy sea dogs.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2005, 07:35:45 AM »

Author Ernest Hemingway commited suicide in Idaho in 1961.

John Kerry defeated John Edwards in this state 58-24% in the largely ignored Feb 24 Idaho caucuses.

That's all I know about Idaho.
Logged
WalterMitty
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,572


Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2005, 08:25:43 AM »

i actually heard someone on here once (cant remember who) say that in 10 years idaho would be voting like oregon.

that was lol funny.
Logged
Joe Republic
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,080
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 05, 2005, 10:06:06 AM »

Its governor is Republican.  Its two senators are both Republican.  Its congressional representatives are both Republican.  Its state Senate is 80% Republican.  Its state House is 81% Republican.  It gave the Republican a 38% margin of victory in 2004.  All but one county voted for the Republican in 2000 and 2004.

A battleground swing state for sure.
Logged
MaC
Milk_and_cereal
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,787


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 05, 2005, 10:50:37 AM »

Its governor is Republican.  Its two senators are both Republican.  Its congressional representatives are both Republican.  Its state Senate is 80% Republican.  Its state House is 81% Republican.  It gave the Republican a 38% margin of victory in 2004.  All but one county voted for the Republican in 2000 and 2004.

A battleground swing state for sure.

'nuff said.  I'd say probably 2nd most Republican state (behind Utah)
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2005, 11:57:00 AM »

An interesting contrast between the agricultural (and heavily Mormon) South, white collar Boise, and the Panhandle (kinda Montana-ish really) isn't there?
Logged
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,033
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 05, 2005, 12:06:33 PM »

i actually heard someone on here once (cant remember who) say that in 10 years idaho would be voting like oregon.

that was lol funny.

Kind of like when you said Oregon was the Gore state most likely to flip.
Logged
Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,983
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 05, 2005, 01:11:25 PM »

It did go to Johnson in '64... by 1.8% Tongue

Logged
Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,983
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 05, 2005, 01:14:19 PM »
« Edited: September 05, 2005, 01:16:04 PM by htmldon »

1992 is also interesting - Perot was just over a point away from beating Clinton in the state.  Libertarian "Bo" Gritz got 2.1% in the state that year.

Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 05, 2005, 04:35:01 PM »

An interesting contrast between the agricultural (and heavily Mormon) South, white collar Boise, and the Panhandle (kinda Montana-ish really) isn't there?

Yes, which is exactly why it's interesting.  There is also Moscow, in Latah County, in the panhandle, a college city that voted Kerry.

There are a number of working class, heavily white cities in northern Idaho that voted for Kerry, such as Smelterville and Wallace.
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 05, 2005, 04:51:58 PM »

Northern Idaho is the only place that could go Democrat sometime in the near future. And even then that would probably only be a few counties. But still, this area is part of the Eastern WA/Western MT area. It should be part of Washington actually, but Idaho put their university there so the feds would let them keep it. Jerks.

Now you know why Northern Idaho uses Pacific time.
Logged
Colin
ColinW
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,684
Papua New Guinea


Political Matrix
E: 3.87, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 05, 2005, 07:55:55 PM »

An interesting contrast between the agricultural (and heavily Mormon) South, white collar Boise, and the Panhandle (kinda Montana-ish really) isn't there?

Yes, which is exactly why it's interesting.  There is also Moscow, in Latah County, in the panhandle, a college city that voted Kerry.

Those damn Commies in Moscow. Tongue
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 05, 2005, 08:15:32 PM »

An interesting contrast between the agricultural (and heavily Mormon) South, white collar Boise, and the Panhandle (kinda Montana-ish really) isn't there?

Yes, which is exactly why it's interesting.  There is also Moscow, in Latah County, in the panhandle, a college city that voted Kerry.

Those damn Commies in Moscow. Tongue

I think Immy lives in Moscow.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 06, 2005, 02:57:07 AM »

Al's post belongs in the past tense - while the contrast is still there, it's not as marked as it was in political results (it's still the obvious division on other sociopolitical levels, it's just not as much of a political cleavage anymore.)
Blaine Co is Sun Valley. It's one of the wealthier counties in Idaho - and it swung further Dem by a good deal, your usual Western resort city trend there.
Boise, traditionally a very Republican city, also swung Dem by something like 5 points from 2000 to 2004.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 06, 2005, 03:44:56 AM »

Al's post belongs in the past tense - while the contrast is still there, it's not as marked as it was in political results (it's still the obvious division on other sociopolitical levels, it's just not as much of a political cleavage anymore.)

It is in state level elections
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 06, 2005, 03:47:57 AM »

Al's post belongs in the past tense - while the contrast is still there, it's not as marked as it was in political results (it's still the obvious division on other sociopolitical levels, it's just not as much of a political cleavage anymore.)

It is in state level elections
If the state Senate's 80% Rep, there's gotta be some Republicans elected in NW Idaho too... Smiley
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 06, 2005, 04:01:20 AM »

If the state Senate's 80% Rep, there's gotta be some Republicans elected in NW Idaho too... Smiley

All of that areas state senators are currently Republicans; the Democrats do pretty well up their in state house elections though... it's pretty much (but not quite) the reverse in Boise for some reason.
Unless my figures are wrong.
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 06, 2005, 05:01:28 AM »

If the state Senate's 80% Rep, there's gotta be some Republicans elected in NW Idaho too... Smiley

All of that areas state senators are currently Republicans; the Democrats do pretty well up their in state house elections though... it's pretty much (but not quite) the reverse in Boise for some reason.
Unless my figures are wrong.
That's weird.
Logged
bejkuy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 329


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 06, 2005, 12:56:31 PM »

In my opinion, 2 factors doomed the democratic party in northern Idaho (they were already dead in southern ID).

The democrats' shift to more extreme environmental policy and their attack on guns rights, beginning in the 90's.

My dad was born in Lewiston.  Historically this town as well as many others in the north, was blue-collar democrat.  Look at the voting records before 2000.

My grandparents still live in the area, so I spend a fair amount of time over there.  I would compare the people in Lewiston to the people of West Virginia.  Socially conservative but economically, more along the populist lines.  This was enough to keep them in the dem camp for years.

When Clinton destroyed the forest products industry( throuh the northwest forest plan) that employed many of these blue-collar democrats, and then had the nerve to take away their "assult rifles" the deal was done.

The last minute ban on development in roadless areas withnin the National Forests hit Idaho particularily hard. 

I know that the State of Oregon lost fully one half of it's lumber mills in the 1990's.  I would imagine Idaho suffered similar losses.  It's tough to stay loyal to the party that destroyed your town.       
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,724
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 06, 2005, 01:07:57 PM »

The swing in much of northern Idaho between the '80's/'90's and the '00's has been huge; from over 50% for Dukakis to over 70% for Bush in some areas...

Nice to see you again, btw Smiley
Logged
bejkuy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 329


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 06, 2005, 04:26:51 PM »

The swing in much of northern Idaho between the '80's/'90's and the '00's has been huge; from over 50% for Dukakis to over 70% for Bush in some areas...

Nice to see you again, btw Smiley

Thank you Al.

I am always interested in subjects related to rural Norhwest life.
Logged
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 07, 2005, 06:05:43 AM »

Bejkuy, haven't seen you in a LONG while. Nice to see you. You were one of those crazy Christian conservatives, if memory serves me. Wink
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,206
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 07, 2005, 08:10:38 AM »

Yeah, he was...wonder what brought him back...or maybe he's been lurking all this while?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.242 seconds with 12 queries.